2010 United States Senate election in Colorado

The 2010 United States Senate election in Colorado took place on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. In December 2008, President-elect Barack Obama nominated incumbent U.S. Senator Ken Salazar as Secretary of the Interior. After Salazar resigned from his seat, Democratic governor Bill Ritter appointed Denver Public Schools Superintendent Michael Bennet to fill the seat.

2010 United States Senate election in Colorado

← 2004
November 2, 2010
2016 →
 
Nominee Michael Bennet Ken Buck
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 854,685 824,789
Percentage 48.08% 46.40%

Bennet:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Buck:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      No votes

U.S. senator before election

Michael Bennet
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Michael Bennet
Democratic

Bennet won a full term, defeating former state House speaker Andrew Romanoff in the Democratic primary, and Republican nominee Ken Buck in the general election. With a margin of 1.7%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2010 Senate election cycle after the concurrent one in Illinois.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Michael Bennet, incumbent U.S. Senator

Eliminated in primary

  • Andrew Romanoff, former speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives

Endorsements

Bennet

  • President Barack Obama
  • U.S. Senator Russ Feingold
  • Congresswoman Diana DeGette
  • Congressman Ed Perlmutter
  • Congresswoman Betsy Markey
  • U.S. Senator Mark Udall
  • Congressman Jared Polis
  • Congressman John Salazar
  • Former U.S. Senator Gary Hart
  • Governor Bill Ritter

Romanoff

  • Former president Bill Clinton

Polling

Poll Source Dates Administered Michael
Bennet
Andrew
Romanoff
Undecided
The Tarrance Group September 16–17, 2009 41% 27% 32%
Public Policy Polling May 19, 2010 46% 31% 23%
Survey USA June 15–17, 2010 53% 36% 11%
Survey USA August 1, 2010 45% 48% 7%
Public Policy Polling August 7–8, 2010 49% 43% 9%

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michael Bennet (incumbent) 184,714 54.15%
Democratic Andrew Romanoff 156,419 45.85%
Total votes 341,133 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Ken Buck, Weld County District Attorney

Eliminated in primary

  • Jane Norton, former Lieutenant Governor of Colorado

Eliminated in convention

  • Cleve Tidwell, businessman
  • Robert Greenheck
  • Steve Barton

Withdrew

  • Tom Wiens, former state senator

Declined

Endorsements

Notable Individuals and Organizations endorsing Ken Buck
  • Jim DeMint, U.S. Senator
  • Erick Erickson, blogger
  • Tom Wiens, state senator
Notable Individuals and Organizations endorsing Jane Norton

According to her website:

  • American Conservative Union
  • Family Research Council
  • Susan B. Anthony List
  • Bill Owens, Governor
  • Sarah Palin, former Governor
  • William L. Armstrong, former U.S. Senator
  • Hank Brown, former U.S. Senator
  • Sam Brownback, U.S. Senator
  • Tom Coburn, U.S. Senator
  • Bob Beauprez, former U.S. Congressman
  • John Suthers, State Attorney General
  • Mark Hillman, former state treasurer
  • Jan Brewer, Arizona Governor
  • Wayne Allard, Former U.S. Senator
  • Orrin Hatch, U.S. Senator
  • Josh Penry, state senator
  • United States Chamber of Commerce

Polling

Poll Source Dates Administered Ken
Buck
Jane
Norton
The Tarrance Group September 16–17, 2009 15% 45%
Public Policy Polling March 3, 2010 17% 34%
Magellan March 14, 2010 13% 41%
Magellan April 19, 2010 32% 29%
Public Policy Polling May 19, 2010 26% 31%
Magellan June 8, 2010 42% 32%
Survey USA June 15–17, 2010 53% 37%
Public Opinion Strategies June 20–21, 2010 33% 39%
Survey USA August 1, 2010 50% 41%
Public Policy Polling August 7–8, 2010 43% 45%

Results

Republican Primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ken Buck 211,099 51.57%
Republican Jane Norton 198,231 48.43%
Total votes 409,330 100.0%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Mac Stringer

Eliminated in primary

  • John Finger


Results

Libertarian Primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Mac Stringer 1,186 52.45%
Libertarian John Finger 1,075 47.55%
Total votes 2,261 100.0%

General election

Candidates

Major

  • Michael Bennet (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Ken Buck (R), Weld County DA

Minor

  • Bob Kinsey (G) (campaign site, archived November 4, 2010, PVS)
  • Charley Miller (I) (campaign site, PVS)
  • J. Moromisato (I) (campaign site, PVS)
  • Jason Napolitano (I) (PVS)
  • Mac Stringer (L) (campaign site Archived October 29, 2010, at the Wayback Machine, PVS)
  • Bruce E. Lohmiller (G) (Write-in) (Congress.org)
  • Michele M. Newman (I) (Write-in) ([1])
  • Robert Rank (R) (Write-in) ([2][permanent dead link]) campaign site, ([3]) YouTube campaign video

Source: Official Candidate List[permanent dead link]

Campaign

This was one of the most expensive elections in the nation, as more than $30 million was spent by outside organizations. Conservative third party groups hammered Bennet for voting 92% of the time with the Democratic leadership, including voting for healthcare reform and the stimulus package. Liberal third party groups called Buck extremist. Bennet focused on attacking Buck's views on abortion, which he believed should be banned including those of cases of rape and incest. He was also attacked for wanting to eliminate the Seventeenth Amendment and refusing to prosecute an alleged rapist as Weld County district attorney. Planned Parenthood mounted a mail campaign, targeting women voters with the warning that "Colorado women can't trust Ken Buck." Bennet won the women vote by 17 points according to exit polls. After the election, Buck conceded to the Denver Post that the main reason why he lost is because of social issues.

Debates

  • September 12: Sponsored by Club 20 in Grand Junction

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Tossup October 26, 2010
Inside Elections Tossup October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics Tossup October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean R (flip) October 21, 2010
CQ Politics Tossup October 26, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s) administered Michael
Bennet (D)
Ken
Buck (R)
Public Policy Polling April 17–19, 2009 40% 39%
Public Policy Polling August 14–16, 2009 39% 35%
Rasmussen Reports September 9, 2009 43% 37%
Rasmussen Reports December 8, 2009 38% 42%
Daily Kos/Research 2000 January 11–13, 2010 41% 38%
Rasmussen Reports January 13, 2010 38% 43%
Rasmussen Reports February 2, 2010 41% 45%
Rasmussen Reports March 2, 2010 38% 44%
Public Policy Polling March 5–8, 2010 47% 40%
Rasmussen Reports April 5, 2010 40% 44%
Rasmussen Reports May 3, 2010 41% 48%
Public Policy Polling May 19, 2010 45% 39%
Rasmussen Reports June 7, 2010 41% 46%
Survey USA June 15–17, 2010 43% 46%
Rasmussen Reports July 8, 2010 39% 48%
Rasmussen Reports July 26, 2010 42% 48%
Survey USA August 1, 2010 43% 43%
Public Policy Polling August 10, 2010 46% 43%
Rasmussen Reports August 11, 2010 41% 46%
Ipsos/Reuters August 20–22, 2010 40% 49%
Rasmussen Reports August 30, 2010 44% 47%
Rasmussen Reports September 14, 2010 45% 49%
CNN/Time September 17–21, 2010 44% 49%
Rasmussen Reports September 27, 2010 43% 51%
Rasmussen Reports September 27, 2010 43% 51%
McClatchy/Marist September 26–28, 2010 42% 50%
Survey USA September 28–30, 2010 43% 48%
Public Policy Polling September 30 – October 2, 2010 46% 45%
Rasmussen Reports October 14, 2010 45% 47%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research October 16, 2010 45% 46%
Ipsos/Reuters October 18, 2010 45% 48%
SurveyUSA October 19–21, 2010 47% 47%
Public Policy Polling October 21–23, 2010 47% 47%
Rasmussen Reports October 25, 2010 44% 48%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research October 20–26, 2010 46% 47%
Marist College October 26–28, 2010 45% 49%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research October 30, 2010 46% 50%
Public Policy Polling October 30–31, 2010 48% 49%

Fundraising

These totals reflect the campaign accounts of the candidates themselves, and do not include independent expenditures by other groups.

Candidate (Party) Receipts Disbursements Cash On Hand Debt
Michael Bennet (D) $11,463,661 $10,698,578 $763,541 $887,692
Ken Buck (R) $3,827,432 $3,011,656 $1,039,994 $100,000
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

United States Senate election in Colorado, 2010
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Michael Bennet (incumbent) 854,685 48.08% −3.22%
Republican Ken Buck 824,789 46.40% −0.13%
Green Bob Kinsey 38,884 2.19% N/A
Libertarian Maclyn Stringer 22,646 1.27% +0.79%
Independent Jason Napolitano 19,450 1.09% N/A
Independent Charley Miller 11,351 0.64% N/A
Independent J. Moromisato 5,780 0.33% N/A
Write-in 83 0.07% N/A
Total votes 1,777,668 100.0%
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Garfield (largest municipality: Glenwood Springs)
  • Bent (Largest city: Las Animas)
  • Mineral (Largest city: Creede)
  • Rio Grande (Largest city: Monte Vista)
  • Archuleta (Largest city: Pagosa Springs)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Chaffee (largest city: Salida)
  • Ouray (largest city: Ouray)

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