2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and elected the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, a loss of one seat following the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a federal quadrennial presidential election, concurrent statewide gubernatorial election, quadrennial statewide lieutenant gubernatorial election, and an election to the U.S. Senate.

2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

← 2010
November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)
2014 →

All 8 Missouri seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 6 3
Seats won 6 2
Seat change 1
Popular vote 1,463,586 1,119,554
Percentage 54.70% 41.84%
Swing 2.74% 4.97%

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri, 2012
Party Votes Percentage Seats before Seats after +/–
Republican 1,463,586 54.70% 6 6 -
Democratic 1,119,554 41.84% 3 2 -1
Libertarian 87,774 3.28% 0 0 -
Constitution 4,971 0.19% 0 0 -
Independent 15 <0.01% 0 0 -
Total 2,675,900 100.00% 9 8

Redistricting

A new congressional map was passed by the Missouri General Assembly on April 27, 2011. The map was vetoed by Democratic Governor Jay Nixon on April 30, but Nixon's veto was overridden by the General Assembly on May 4, making the plan law. The map effectively eradicated the former 3rd district, which had been represented by Democrat Russ Carnahan since 2005, splitting it between the districts represented by Republicans Blaine Luetkemeyer and Todd Akin and Democrat William Lacy Clay, Jr. The bulk of the old 9th district became the new 3rd district.

District 1

2012 Missouri's 1st congressional district election

← 2010 (1st district) 
← 2010 (3rd district)
2014 →
 
Nominee Lacy Clay Robyn Hamlin
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 267,927 60,832
Percentage 78.7% 17.9%

Clay:      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Lacy Clay
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Lacy Clay
Democratic

Democrat William Lacy Clay, Jr., who had represented Missouri's 1st congressional district since 2001, ran for re-election.

Democratic primary

Fellow U.S. Representative Russ Carnahan, part of whose district was drawn into the 1st district, challenged Clay in the Democratic primary.

Candidates

Nominee
  • William Lacy Clay, Jr., incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Candice Britton
  • Russ Carnahan, incumbent U.S. representative for the 3rd district
Declined
  • Francis Slay, mayor of St. Louis

Endorsements

Lacy Clay

Local officials

  • Francis Slay, mayor of St. Louis

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Candice
Britton
Russ
Carnahan
Lacy
Clay
Undecided
SurveyUSA August 2–4, 2012 490 (RV) ± 4.5% 2% 35% 56% 7%

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic William Lacy Clay, Jr. (incumbent) 57,791 63.3
Democratic Russ Carnahan (incumbent) 30,943 33.9
Democratic Candice Britton 2,570 2.8
Total votes 91,304 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Robyn Hamlin, insurance agent and nominee for this seat in 2010.
Eliminated in primary
  • Martin Baker, political organizer

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Robyn Hamlin 9,737 57.9
Republican Martin D. Baker 7,085 42.1
Total votes 16,822 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Robb Cunningham, candidate for this seat in 2010

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Robb E. Cunningham 246 100.0
Total votes 246 100.0

General election

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lacy
Clay (D)
Robyn
Hamlin (R)
Robb
Cunningham (L)
Undecided
SurveyUSA August 2–4, 2012 950 (RV) ± 3.2% 58% 19% 6% 18%
Hypothetical polling
Clay vs Baker
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lacy
Clay (D)
Martin
Baker (R)
Robb
Cunningham (L)
Undecided
SurveyUSA August 2–4, 2012 950 (RV) ± 3.2% 58% 18% 7% 18%
Carnahan vs Hamlin
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Russ
Carnahan (D)
Robyn
Hamlin (R)
Robb
Cunningham (L)
Undecided
SurveyUSA August 2–4, 2012 950 (RV) ± 3.2% 56% 18% 6% 20%
Carnahan vs Baker
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Russ
Carnahan (D)
Martin
Baker (R)
Robb
Cunningham (L)
Undecided
SurveyUSA August 2–4, 2012 950 (RV) ± 3.2% 56% 17% 7% 20%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Safe D November 2, 2012
Roll Call Safe D November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D November 5, 2012
NY Times Safe D November 4, 2012
RCP Safe D November 4, 2012
The Hill Safe D November 4, 2012

Results

Missouri's 1st congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lacy Clay (incumbent) 267,927 78.7
Republican Robyn Hamlin 60,832 17.9
Libertarian Robb E. Cunningham 11,824 3.5
Total votes 340,583 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

2012 Missouri's 2nd congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Ann Wagner Glenn Koenen
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 236,971 146,272
Percentage 60.1% 37.1%

Wagner:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Todd Akin
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ann Wagner
Republican

Republican Todd Akin, who had represented Missouri's 2nd congressional district since 2001, chose to run for the U.S. Senate rather than seek re-election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • James Baker, businessman
  • Randy Jotte, emergency room physician and former member of the Webster Groves City Council
  • John Morris
Withdrawn
  • Ed Martin, lawyer and nominee for the 3rd district in 2010 (running for state attorney general)
Declined
  • Todd Akin, incumbent U.S. representative
  • Jane Cunningham, state senator
  • Joe Smith, former state representative

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ann Wagner 53,583 65.8
Republican Randy Jotte 18,644 22.9
Republican John Morris 6,041 7.4
Republican James O. Baker 3,185 3.9
Total votes 81,453 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Glenn Koenen, non-profit executive
Eliminated in primary
  • George Weber, realtor
  • Harold Whitfield, attorney
  • Marshall Works, insurance executive
Declined
  • Russ Carnahan, incumbent U.S. representative for the 3rd district

Campaign

3rd District Congressman Russ Carnahan briefly mulled over a run in this district, though the district was more Republican than his previous district, and he did not live in the district. A poll commissioned by Carnahan showed him being competitive with Ann Wagner and Ed Martin. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee had preferred that Carnahan run in the district, and considered him a member of the Frontline program for vulnerable members. Ultimately, he ran unsuccessfully for the 1st district.

Primary results

Whitfield requested a recount, as the race was separated by less than 1%. By September 13, 2012, the recount was completed and Koenen was declared the winner.

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Glenn Koenen 7,894 28.38
Democratic Harold Whitfield 7,848 28.22
Democratic George Weber 7,541 27.11
Democratic Marshall Works 4,532 16.29
Total votes 27,815 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Bill Slantz, businessman

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Anatol Zorikova, business owner

General election

Endorsements

Ann Wagner (R)

Organizations

  • Maggie's List
  • National Republican Congressional Committee "Vanguard" Program
  • Susan B. Anthony List

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Safe R November 2, 2012
Roll Call Safe R November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R November 5, 2012
NY Times Safe R November 4, 2012
RCP Safe R November 4, 2012
The Hill Safe R November 4, 2012

Results

Missouri's 2nd congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ann Wagner 236,971 60.1
Democratic Glenn Koenen 146,272 37.1
Libertarian Bill Slantz 9,193 2.3
Constitution Anatol Zorikova 2,012 0.5
Total votes 394,448 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2012 Missouri's 3rd congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Blaine Luetkemeyer Eric C. Mayer
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 214,843 111,189
Percentage 63.5% 32.8%

Luetkemeyer:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Blaine Luetkemeyer
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Blaine Luetkemeyer
Republican

Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer ran in the reconfigured 3rd district, which includes most of the 9th district he had represented since 2009.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Blaine Luetkemeyer, incumbent U.S. representative

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) 79,661 100.0
Total votes 79,661 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Eric Mayer, small business owner from Camdenton

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Eric C. Mayer 22,478 100.0
Total votes 22,478 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Steven Wilson, commercial artist

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Steven Wilson 367 100.0
Total votes 367 100.0

Constitution primary

Candidates

Declined
  • Cynthia Davis, former state representative

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Safe R November 2, 2012
Roll Call Safe R November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R November 5, 2012
NY Times Safe R November 4, 2012
RCP Safe R November 4, 2012
The Hill Safe R November 4, 2012

Results

Missouri's 3rd congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) 214,843 63.5
Democratic Eric C. Mayer 111,189 32.8
Libertarian Steven Wilson 12,353 3.7
Total votes 338,385 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

2012 Missouri's 4th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Vicky Hartzler Teresa Hensley
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 192,237 113,120
Percentage 60.3% 35.5%

Hartzler:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Hensley:      40–50%

U.S. Representative before election

Vicky Hartzler
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Vicky Hartzler
Republican

Republican Vicky Hartzler, who represented the 4th district since January 2011, sought re-election. In redistricting, all of Boone, Cooper, Howard, and Randolph counties, and parts of Audrain County, were added to the 4th district, while Cole, Lafayette, Ray, and Saline counties were removed from the district.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Vicky Hartzler, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Bernie Mowinski, U.S. Air Force veteran

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) 71,615 84.0
Republican Bernie Mowinski 13,645 16.0
Total votes 85,260 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Teresa Hensley, Cass County prosecuting attorney

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Teresa Hensley 24,631 100.0
Total votes 24,631 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Thomas Holbrook
Eliminated in primary
  • Herschel Young, small business owner

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Thomas Holbrook 232 58.0
Libertarian Herschel L. Young 168 42.0
Total votes 400 100.0

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Greg Cowan, retired Navy lieutenant commander

General election

Endorsements

Vicky Hartzler (R)

Organizations

  • Maggie's List
  • Susan B. Anthony List
Teresa Hensley (D)

Organizations

  • Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Emerging Races" Program

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Safe R November 2, 2012
Roll Call Safe R November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R November 5, 2012
NY Times Safe R November 4, 2012
RCP Safe R November 4, 2012
The Hill Safe R November 4, 2012

Results

Missouri's 4th congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) 192,237 60.3
Democratic Teresa Hensley 113,120 35.5
Libertarian Thomas Holbrook 10,407 3.3
Constitution Greg Cowan 2,959 0.9
Total votes 318,723 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2012 Missouri's 5th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Emanuel Cleaver Jacob Turk
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 200,290 122,149
Percentage 60.5% 36.9%

Cleaver:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Turk:      40–50%      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Emanuel Cleaver
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Emanuel Cleaver
Democratic

Missouri's 5th Congressional district was perhaps the one most complicated by redistricting, and the legal challenges that have ensued. Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver successfully won re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Emanuel Cleaver, incumbent U.S. representative

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) 43,712 100.0
Total votes 43,712 100.0

Republican primary

Republican Jerry Nolte, who at first announced his intention to run in the 6th district, decided to run in the 5th. His residence lay on the court-contested border of the two districts.

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jacob Turk, Marine Corps veteran and nominee for this seat in 2006, 2008, and 2010
Eliminated in primary
  • Jason Greene
  • Jerry Nolte, former state representative
  • Ron Paul Shawd

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jacob Turk 24,814 58.9
Republican Jerry Nolte 10,734 25.5
Republican Jason Greene 5,067 12.0
Republican Ron Paul Shawd 1,542 3.6
Total votes 42,157 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Randall Langkraehr

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Randall Langkraehr 335 100.0
Total votes 335 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Safe D November 2, 2012
Roll Call Safe D November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D November 5, 2012
NY Times Safe D November 4, 2012
RCP Safe D November 4, 2012
The Hill Safe D November 4, 2012

Results

Missouri's 5th congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) 200,290 60.5
Republican Jacob Turk 122,149 36.9
Libertarian Randall Langkraehr 8,497 2.6
Independent Andrew Feagle (write-in) 6 0.0
Total votes 330,942 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

2012 Missouri's 6th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Sam Graves Kyle Yarber
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 216,906 108,503
Percentage 65.0% 32.5%

Graves:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Sam Graves
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Sam Graves
Republican

Due to realignment following the 2010 U.S. census, the district spanned most of the northern portion of the state, from St. Joseph to Kirksville, and also included most of the state's portion of the Kansas City Metropolitan Area north of the Missouri River. Incumbent Sam Graves, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for reelection.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Sam Graves, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Bob Gough, high school mathematics teacher
  • Christopher Ryan
Withdrawn
  • Jerry Nolte, former state representative

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sam Graves (incumbent) 59,388 80.3
Republican Christopher Ryan 9,945 13.5
Republican Bob Gough 4,598 6.2
Total votes 73,931 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kyle Yarber, teacher
Eliminated in primary
  • Ronald Harris, truck driver, Air Force veteran and candidate for the 5th district in 2000
  • Bill Hedge, pastor of St. Francis Baptist Temple
  • Ted Rights, physician

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kyle Yarber 10,242 32.5
Democratic Bill Hedge 8,620 27.4
Democratic Ronald William Harris 7,483 23.8
Democratic Ted Rights 5,118 16.3
Total votes 31,463 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Russ Lee Monchil, committeeman in Mirabile Township

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Russ Lee Monchil 252 100.0
Total votes 252 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Safe R November 2, 2012
Roll Call Safe R November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R November 5, 2012
NY Times Safe R November 4, 2012
RCP Safe R November 4, 2012
The Hill Safe R November 4, 2012

Results

Missouri's 6th congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sam Graves (incumbent) 216,906 65.0
Democratic Kyle Yarber 108,503 32.5
Libertarian Russ Lee Monchil 8,279 2.5
Total votes 333,688 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

2012 Missouri's 7th congressional district election

← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Billy Long Jim Evans Kevin Craig
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Popular vote 203,565 98,498 16,668
Percentage 63.9% 30.9% 5.2%

U.S. Representative before election

Billy Long
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Billy Long
Republican

Incumbent Republican Billy Long, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Billy Long, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Mike Moon, membership coordinator
  • Tom Stilson, environmental geochemist

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Billy Long (incumbent) 62,917 59.7
Republican Mike Moon 22,860 21.7
Republican Tom Stilson 19,666 18.6
Total votes 105,443 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jim Evans, retired businessman, teacher, and U.S. Army veteran

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Evans 14,446 100.0
Total votes 14,446 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kevin Craig, editor of Vine & Fig Tree

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Kevin Craig 303 100.0
Total votes 303 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Safe R November 2, 2012
Roll Call Safe R November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R November 5, 2012
NY Times Safe R November 4, 2012
RCP Safe R November 4, 2012
The Hill Safe R November 4, 2012

Results

Missouri's 7th congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Billy Long (incumbent) 203,565 63.9
Democratic Jim Evans 98,498 30.9
Libertarian Kevin Craig 16,668 5.2
Independent Kenneth Joe Brown (write-in) 9 0.0
Total votes 318,740 100.0
Republican hold

District 8

2012 Missouri's 8th congressional district election

← 2010
2013 (special) →
 
Nominee Jo Ann Emerson Jack Rushin
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 216,083 73,755
Percentage 71.9% 24.6%

County results
Emerson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Jo Ann Emerson
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jo Ann Emerson
Republican

Republican Jo Ann Emerson, who had represented Missouri's 8th congressional district since 1996, was challenged by Democratic nominee Jack Rushin and Libertarian nominee Rick Vandeven.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jo Ann Emerson, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Bob Parker, rancher and real estate agent

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jo Ann Emerson (incumbent) 61,975 67.1
Republican Bob Parker 30,429 32.9
Total votes 92,404 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jack Rushin, chiropractor
Withdrawn
  • Todd Mahn, businessman

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jack Rushin 27,839 100.0
Total votes 27,839 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Rick Vandeven

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Rick Vandeven 164 100.0
Total votes 164 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Jo Ann Emerson (R)

Organizations

  • Maggie's List

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Safe R November 2, 2012
Roll Call Safe R November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R November 5, 2012
NY Times Safe R November 4, 2012
RCP Safe R November 4, 2012
The Hill Safe R November 4, 2012

Results

Missouri's 8th congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jo Ann Emerson (incumbent) 216,083 71.9
Democratic Jack Rushin 73,755 24.6
Libertarian Rob Vandeven 10,553 3.5
Total votes 300,391 100.0
Republican hold

See also

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