2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska

The 2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska

← 2006
November 6, 2012
2018 →
 
Nominee Deb Fischer Bob Kerrey
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 455,593 332,979
Percentage 57.77% 42.23%

Fischer:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Kerrey:      50–60%

U.S. senator before election

Ben Nelson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Deb Fischer
Republican

Incumbent Democratic senator Ben Nelson chose to retire instead of seeking a third term. Democrat Bob Kerrey, who held this seat from 1989 to 2001, and Republican state senator Deb Fischer won their respective parties' primary elections on May 15, 2012.

Fischer won the general election with 57.8% of the vote, marking the first time since 1970 that a Republican was elected to Nebraska's Class 1 Senate seat, as well as the first time that a woman was elected to a full Senate term in the state's history. This was the only Republican flip of the 2012 U.S. Senate elections. Fischer was sworn in on January 3, 2013, marking the first time since Roman Hruska resigned in December 1976 that Republicans simultaneously held both of Nebraska’s U.S. Senate seats.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Bob Kerrey, former U.S. Senator and former governor of Nebraska (initially declined)
  • Steven Lustgarten, video production company owner
  • Larry Marvin, landlord and perennial candidate
  • Sherman Yates

Withdrew

  • Chuck Hassebrook, Regent of the University of Nebraska

Declined

  • Chris Beutler, Mayor of Lincoln
  • Jane Kleeb, founder and director of Bold Nebraska
  • Scott Kleeb, businessman, Democratic nominee for the 3rd congressional district in 2006 and for the U.S. Senate in 2008
  • Steve Lathrop, state senator
  • Ben Nelson, incumbent U.S. senator
  • Kim Robak, former lieutenant governor

Endorsements

Bob Kerrey

U.S. Senators

  • Warren Rudman, former U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (Republican)

Individuals

  • David Koechner, actor

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bob Kerrey 66,586 80.98%
Democratic Chuck Hassebrook 9,886 12.02%
Democratic Steven P. Lustgarten 2,177 2.65%
Democratic Larry Marvin 2,076 2.52%
Democratic Sherman Yates 1,500 1.82%
Total votes 82,225 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Jon Bruning, Attorney General of Nebraska
  • Sharyn Elander
  • Deb Fischer, state senator
  • Pat Flynn, financial adviser
  • Don Stenberg, treasurer of Nebraska, former attorney general of Nebraska and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2000
  • Spencer Zimmerman, truck driver and Air Force veteran

Declined

  • Bob Bennie, businessman
  • Rex Fisher, businessman
  • Mike Flood, speaker of the Nebraska Legislature
  • Jeff Fortenberry, U.S. representative
  • Dave Heineman, Governor of Nebraska
  • Kay Orr, former governor of Nebraska
  • Mike Simmonds, businessman
  • Adrian Smith, U.S. Representative
  • Lee Terry, U.S. Representative

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jon
Bruning
Sharyn
Elander
Deb
Fischer
Pat
Flynn
Don
Stenberg
Spencer
Zimmerman
Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 26–27, 2011 519 ±4.3% 47% 6% 7% 19% 20%
Public Policy Polling September 30 – October 2, 2011 400 ±4.9% 37% 14% 6% 16% 27%
Public Policy Polling March 22–25, 2012 440 ±4.7% 46% 3% 12% 4% 18% 0% 18%
We Ask America May 6, 2012 1,173 ±2.9% 42.2% 3.4% 25.9% 4% 22.5% 2%
We Ask America May 13, 2012 1,109 ±2.95% 34% 4% 39% 3% 18% 2%
Public Policy Polling May 14, 2012 272 ±5.9% 33% 1% 37% 2% 17% 1% 7%

Endorsements

Jon Bruning
  • Mike Huckabee, former Governor of Arkansas
  • Rick Santorum, former U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania
  • Mike Flood, Speaker of the Nebraska Legislature
  • Joe Arpaio, Sheriff of Maricopa County, Arizona
  • Bill Schuette, Attorney General of Michigan
  • Tea Party Express
  • American Future Fund
  • United States Chamber of Commerce
  • Nebraska Right to Life
  • Nebraska Fraternal Order of Police
Deb Fischer
  • Jeff Fortenberry, U.S. Representative for Nebraska's 1st congressional district
  • Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee
  • Todd Palin, Sarah Palin's husband
  • Herman Cain, former presidential candidate
  • Nebraska Right to Life
  • Kay Orr, former Governor of Nebraska
  • Joe Ricketts, businessman, owner of the Chicago Cubs
Don Stenberg
  • Jim DeMint, U.S. Senator from South Carolina
  • Mike Lee, U.S. Senator from Utah
  • Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky
  • Ken Blackwell, former Secretary of State of Ohio
  • Edwin Meese, former U.S. Attorney general
  • Mark Levin, radio talk show host
  • Erick Erickson, managing editor of RedState
  • FreedomWorks
  • Club for Growth
  • Family Research Council
  • Eagle Forum
  • Nebraska Right to Life
  • Nebraskans United for Life
  • Republican National Coalition for Life
  • Gun Owners of America

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Deb Fischer 79,941 40.99%
Republican Jon Bruning 70,067 35.92%
Republican Don Stenberg 36,727 18.83%
Republican Pat Flynn 5,413 2.78%
Republican Spencer Zimmerman 1,601 0.82%
Republican Sharyn Elander 1,294 0.66%
Total votes 195,043 100.00%

General election

Candidates

  • Bob Kerrey, (Democrat), former U.S. senator and former governor of Nebraska
  • Deb Fischer, (Republican), state senator

Debates

The first debate took place at the Heartland Events Center during the Nebraska State Fair at 4 p.m. Saturday, August 25, 2012. Kerrey and Fischer participated.

The second debate took place on September 28, 2012, KETV-TV, Chamber of Commerce of Greater Omaha. Kerrey and Fischer participated.

The third debate took place on October 1, 2012, NET-TV. Kerrey and Fischer participated. Topics included agriculture policy, the economy, taxes and education. External links

  • Complete video at Grand Island Independent, first debate, August 25, 2012
  • Complete video of debate, September 28, 2012 - C-SPAN
  • Complete video of debate, October 1, 2012 - C-SPAN

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Bob Kerrey (D) $4,877,704 $4,582,224 $295,480 $0
Deb Fischer (R) $4,536,837 $3,472,721 $1,458,122 $65,000
Source: Federal Election Commission

Top contributors

Bob Kerrey Contribution Deb Fischer Contribution
Rural Media Group $62,500 Elliott Management Corporation $29,413
MacAndrews & Forbes $51,000 Hawkins Construction $20,000
Tenet Healthcare $25,650 Kelly PAC $20,000
Nix, Patterson & Roach $25,000 Tenaska Energy $17,500
Allen & Company $22,500 Werner Enterprises $15,250
Kirkland & Ellis $21,500 T&L Irrigation $13,200
Level 3 Communications $17,000 Union Pacific $11,500
Genworth Financial $16,000 Pinnacle Financial Partners $10,500
Williams Kherkher $16,000 21st Century Majority Fund $10,000
Bank of America $15,250 AG Processing $10,000

Top industries

Bob Kerrey Contribution Deb Fischer Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $293,434 Leadership PACs $165,500
Retired $219,224 Retired $124,546
Leadership PACs $203,500 Agribusiness $105,052
Financial Institutions $182,150 Commercial Banks $54,990
Entertainment Industry $119,000 Financial Institutions $54,416
Lobbyists $104,400 General Contractors $54,300
Real Estate $87,675 Real Estate $38,000
Manufacturing & Distributing $61,700 Insurance $36,000
Education $53,000 Health Professionals $31,850
Insurance $51,500 Electric Utilities $29,900

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean R (flip) November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely R (flip) November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report Likely R (flip) November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics Lean R (flip) November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Kerrey (D)
Deb
Fischer (R)
Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports March 5, 2012 500 ±4.5% 34% 46% 10% 10%
Public Policy Polling March 22–25, 2012 1,028 ±3.1% 38% 48% 14%
Rasmussen Reports May 16, 2012 500 ±4.5% 38% 56% 2% 3%
WeAskAmerica August 14, 2012 1,273 ±2.8% 34% 55% 11%
Omaha World-Herald September 17–20, 2012 800 ±3.5% 42% 52% 6%
Pharos Research October 19–21, 2012 783 ±3.5% 46% 48% 6%
Omaha World-Herald October 23–25, 2012 800 ±3.5% 45% 48% 7%
We Ask America November 1, 2012 1,178 ±3.0% 41% 54% 5%
Hypothetical polling

With Kerrey

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Kerrey (D)
Jon
Bruning (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies January 10–11, 2012 675 ±3.77% 40% 51% 9%
Rasmussen Reports March 5, 2012 500 ±4.5% 33% 55% 4% 7%
Public Policy Polling March 22–25, 2012 1,028 ±3.1% 37% 54% 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Kerrey (D)
Don
Stenberg (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies January 10–11, 2012 675 ±3.77% 39% 47% 14%
Rasmussen Reports March 5, 2012 500 ±4.5% 34% 52% 5% 9%
Public Policy Polling March 22–25, 2012 1,028 ±3.1% 38% 52% 10%

With Lathrop

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Lathrop (D)
Jon
Bruning (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies January 10–11, 2012 675 ±3.77% 29% 52% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Lathrop (D)
Don
Stenberg (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies January 10–11, 2012 675 ±3.77% 27% 52% 21%

With Nelson

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ben
Nelson (D)
Jon
Bruning (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies December 15, 2010 1,789 ±2.3% 38% 52% –– 10%
Public Policy Polling January 26–27, 2011 977 ±3.1% 39% 50% –– 11%
Public Policy Polling September 30 – October 2, 2011 739 ±3.6% 42% 46% –– 12%
Magellan Strategies November 20–21, 2011 645 ±3.9% 39% 45% –– 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ben
Nelson (D)
Deb
Fischer (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 26–27, 2011 977 ±3.1% 42% 35% –– 22%
Public Policy Polling September 30 – October 2, 2011 739 ±3.6% 41% 39% –– 20%
Magellan Strategies November 20–21, 2011 645 ±3.9% 41% 35% –– 24%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ben
Nelson (D)
Pat
Flynn (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 26–27, 2011 977 ±3.1% 42% 33% –– 24%
Public Policy Polling September 30 – October 2, 2011 739 ±3.6% 43% 36% –– 21%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ben
Nelson (D)
Dave
Heineman (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies November 20–21, 2011 645 ±3.9% 33% 51% –– 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ben
Nelson (D)
Don
Stenberg (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies December 15, 2010 1,789 ±2.3% 40% 46% –– 14%
Public Policy Polling January 26–27, 2011 977 ±3.1% 41% 45% –– 14%
Public Policy Polling September 30 – October 2, 2011 739 ±3.6% 41% 44% –– 15%
Magellan Strategies November 20–21, 2011 645 ±3.9% 40% 41% –– 19%

With Robak

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kim
Robak (D)
Jon
Bruning (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies January 10–11, 2012 675 ±3.77% 34% 51% 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kim
Robak (D)
Don
Stenberg (R)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies January 10–11, 2012 675 ±3.77% 32% 50% 18%

Results

2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Deb Fischer 455,593 57.77% +21.65%
Democratic Bob Kerrey 332,979 42.23% −21.65%
Majority 122,614 15.54% −12.22%
Total votes 788,572 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

From Secretary of State of Nebraska

County Deb Fischer

Republican

Bob Kerrey

Democratic

Total
votes
% # % #
Adams 64.65% 8,170 35.35% 4,468 12,638
Antelope 81.32% 2,625 18.68% 603 3,228
Arthur 86.74% 229 13.26% 35 264
Banner 84.91% 349 15.09% 62 411
Blaine 89.23% 265 10.77% 32 297
Boone 76.31% 2,139 23.69% 664 2,803
Box Butte 60.41% 2,838 39.59% 1,860 4,698
Boyd 80.36% 851 19.64% 208 1,059
Brown 86.80% 1,342 13.20% 204 1,546
Buffalo 70.01% 13,491 29.99% 5,779 19,270
Burt 59.55% 1,977 40.45% 1,343 3,320
Butler 68.86% 2,642 31.14% 1,195 3,837
Cass 59.25% 7,153 40.75% 4,919 12,072
Cedar 70.31% 3,041 29.69% 1,284 4,325
Chase 83.57% 1,546 16.43% 304 1,850
Cherry 77.91% 2,328 22.09% 660 2,988
Cheyenne 72.54% 3,344 27.46% 1,266 4,610
Clay 74.52% 2,194 25.48% 750 2,944
Colfax 65.23% 1,992 34.77% 1,062 3,054
Cuming 73.00% 2,893 27.00% 1,070 3,963
Custer 80.78% 4,439 19.22% 1,056 5,495
Dakota 45.63% 2,770 54.37% 3,300 6,070
Dawes 64.86% 2,405 35.14% 1,303 3,708
Dawson 69.54% 5,422 30.46% 2,375 7,797
Deuel 75.00% 762 25.00% 254 1,016
Dixon 60.22% 1,618 39.78% 1,069 2,687
Dodge 59.30% 8,823 40.70% 6,056 14,879
Douglas 48.25% 106,951 51.75% 114,700 221,651
Dundy 78.35% 767 21.65% 212 979
Fillmore 67.18% 1,918 32.82% 937 2,855
Franklin 72.59% 1,107 27.41% 418 1,525
Frontier 77.12% 1,008 22.88% 299 1,307
Furnas 77.43% 1,729 22.57% 504 2,233
Gage 53.74% 5,172 46.26% 4,452 9,624
Garden 75.76% 819 24.24% 262 1,081
Garfield 81.99% 774 18.01% 170 944
Gosper 75.31% 738 24.69% 242 980
Grant 83.52% 299 16.48% 59 358
Greeley 69.61% 827 30.39% 361 1,188
Hall 61.32% 12,350 38.68% 7,790 20,140
Hamilton 72.27% 3,498 27.73% 1,342 4,840
Harlan 75.64% 1329 24.36% 428 1,757
Hayes 83.49% 445 16.51% 88 533
Hitchcock 74.98% 1,112 25.02% 371 1,483
Holt 79.17% 3,896 20.83% 1,025 4,921
Hooker 82.84% 333 17.16% 69 402
Howard 67.69% 1,940 32.31% 926 2,866
Jefferson 60.04% 2,052 39.96% 1,366 3,418
Johnson 55.76% 1,147 44.24% 910 2,057
Kearney 74.08% 2,343 25.92% 820 3,163
Keith 73.76% 2,988 26.24% 1,063 4,051
Keya Paha 84.62% 407 15.38% 74 481
Kimball 73.39% 1,233 26.61% 447 1,680
Knox 71.52% 2,880 28.48% 1,147 4,027
Lancaster 46.15% 58,306 53.85% 68,046 126,352
Lincoln 66.00% 10,285 34.00% 5,298 15,583
Logan 82.45% 357 17.55% 76 433
Loup 78.71% 281 21.29% 76 357
Madison 72.92% 10,089 27.08% 3,746 13,835
McPherson 86.35% 253 13.65% 40 293
Merrick 71.44% 2,491 28.56% 996 3,487
Morrill 76.24% 1,675 23.76% 522 2,197
Nance 66.42% 1,068 33.58% 540 1,608
Nemaha 59.09% 1,901 40.91% 1,316 3,217
Nuckolls 70.21% 1,532 29.79% 650 2,182
Otoe 58.58% 4,067 41.42% 2,876 6,943
Pawnee 64.11% 861 35.89% 482 1,343
Perkins 78.60% 1,091 21.40% 297 1,388
Phelps 77.00% 3,368 23.00% 1,006 4,374
Pierce 79.55% 2,716 20.45% 698 3,414
Platte 73.13% 9,801 26.87% 3,601 13,402
Polk 74.65% 1,820 25.35% 618 2,438
Red Willow 75.25% 3,692 24.75% 1,214 4,906
Richardson 62.08% 2,312 37.92% 1,412 3,724
Rock 86.90% 683 13.10% 103 786
Saline 48.30% 2,387 51.70% 2,555 4,942
Sarpy 57.56% 40,682 42.44% 29,996 70,678
Saunders 63.72% 6,547 36.28% 3,728 10,275
Scotts Bluff 64.96% 9,299 35.04% 5,017 14,316
Seward 63.18% 4,764 36.82% 2,776 7,540
Sheridan 80.24% 1,986 19.76% 489 2,475
Sherman 63.20% 960 36.80% 559 1,519
Sioux 82.76% 605 17.24% 126 731
Stanton 74.99% 1,979 25.01% 660 2,639
Thayer 65.79% 1,742 34.21% 906 2,648
Thomas 85.23% 352 14.77% 61 413
Thurston 40.38% 900 59.62% 1,329 2,229
Valley 72.91% 1,599 27.09% 594 2,193
Washington 65.52% 6,660 34.48% 3,505 10,165
Wayne 67.56% 2,484 32.44% 1,193 3,677
Webster 69.66% 1,203 30.34% 524 1,727
Wheeler 79.78% 359 20.22% 91 450
York 74.78% 4,726 25.22% 1,594 6,320
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
  • Burt (largest village: Tekamah)
  • Adams (largest city: Hastings)
  • Antelope (largest city: Neligh)
  • Box Butte (largest city: Alliance)
  • Boyd (largest city: Spencer)
  • Brown (largest city: Ainsworth)
  • Buffalo (largest city: Kearney)
  • Butler (largest city: David City)
  • Cass (largest city: Plattsmouth)
  • Cherry (largest city: Valentine)
  • Clay (largest city: Sutton)
  • Colfax (largest city: Schuyler)
  • Cuming (largest city: West Point)
  • Cedar (largest city: Hartington)
  • Custer (largest city: Broken Bow)
  • Dixon (largest city: Wakefield)
  • Dawes (largest city: Chadron)
  • Dawson (largest city: Lexington)
  • Dodge (largest city: Fremont)
  • Dundy (largest city: Benkelman)
  • Frontier (largest city: Curtis)
  • Furnas (largest city: Cambridge)
  • Garfield (largest city: Burwell)
  • Gosper (largest city: Elwood)
  • Grant (largest city: Hyannis)
  • Hall (largest city: Grand Island)
  • Hamilton (largest city: Aurora)
  • Harlan (largest city: Alma)
  • Hayes (largest city: Palisade)
  • Hitchcock (largest city: Culbertson)
  • Holt (largest city: O'Neill)
  • Hooker (largest city: Mullen)
  • Kearney (largest city: Minden)
  • Keya Paha (largest city: Springview)
  • Knox (largest city: Creighton)
  • Lincoln (largest city: North Platte)
  • Logan (largest city: Stapleton)
  • Loup (largest city: Taylor)
  • Madison (largest city: Norfolk)
  • Merrick (largest city: Central City)
  • Nemaha (largest city: Auburn)
  • Otoe (largest city: Nebraska City)
  • Nance (largest city: Fullerton)
  • Boone (largest city: Albion)
  • Greeley (largest city: Spalding)
  • Howard (largest city: St. Paul)
  • Sherman (largest city: Loup City)
  • Fillmore (largest city: Geneva)
  • Gage (largest city: Beatrice)
  • Jefferson (largest city: Fairbury)
  • Johnson (largest city: Tecumseh)
  • Pawnee (largest city: Pawnee City)
  • Perkins (largest city: Grant)
  • Phelps (largest city: Holdrege)
  • Pierce (largest city: Pierce)
  • Platte (largest city: Columbus)
  • Polk (largest city: Stromsburg)
  • Red Willow (largest city: McCook)
  • Richardson (largest city: Falls City)
  • Rock (largest city: Bassett)
  • Sarpy (largest city: Bellevue)
  • Saunders (largest city: Wahoo)
  • Scotts Bluff (largest city: Scottsbluff)
  • Seward (largest city: Seward)
  • Stanton (largest city: Stanton)
  • Thayer (largest city: Hebron)
  • Thomas (largest city: Thedford)
  • Valley (largest city: Ord)
  • Washington (largest city: Blair)
  • Wayne (largest city: Wayne)
  • Webster (largest city: Red Cloud)
  • Nuckolls (largest city: Superior)
  • Franklin (largest city: Franklin)
  • Wheeler (largest city: Bartlett)
  • York (largest city: York)

By congressional district

Fischer won all three congressional districts.

District Fischer Kerrey Representative
1st 55.01% 44.99% Jeff Fortenberry
2nd 50.06% 49.94% Lee Terry
3rd 68.48% 31.52% Adrian Smith

See also

wikipedia, wiki, encyclopedia, book, library, article, read, free download, Information about 2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska, What is 2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska? What does 2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska mean?