2012 United States Senate election in Nevada

The 2012 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and the 2012 presidential election. The primary election was held on June 12, 2012.

2012 United States Senate election in Nevada

← 2006
November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)
2018 →
Turnout57.1% (voting eligible)
 
Nominee Dean Heller Shelley Berkley
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 457,656 446,080
Percentage 45.87% 44.71%

Heller:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Berkley:      40–50%      50–60%

U.S. senator before election

Dean Heller
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Dean Heller
Republican

Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Dean Heller, who was appointed to his seat in May 2011 following the resignation of Senator John Ensign, was narrowly elected to a full term over Representative Shelley Berkley, despite President Barack Obama carrying the state by 6.7% in the concurrent presidential election. As a result, Heller became the only Republican Senate candidate in 2012 to win in a state that was lost by the Republican presidential candidate. With a margin of 1.2%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2012 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in North Dakota. As of 2025, this is the last time that Republicans won a U.S. Senate election in Nevada.

Background

Ensign was re-elected to the United States Senate in 2006 against Jack Carter, son of former president Jimmy Carter, 55% to 41%. His re-election campaign was expected to be complicated after it was revealed in 2009 that he had been involved in an extramarital affair with the wife of one of his campaign staffers, allegedly made payments to the woman's family and arranged work for her husband to cover himself.

The Senate Ethics Committee was to investigate Ensign, and his poll numbers declined significantly. There was speculation that he might resign before the election, but he initially said he would run for reelection. On March 7, 2011, Ensign announced that he would not seek reelection, and on April 22, he announced that he would resign effective May 3.

Nevada Governor Brian Sandoval appointed U.S. Representative Dean Heller to fill the vacancy created by Ensign's resignation. Heller took office on May 9, 2011.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

  • Dean Heller, incumbent U.S. senator, former U.S. representative, former Nevada secretary of state and former state assemblyman

Eliminated in primary

  • Sherry Brooks, retired secretary
  • Richard Charles
  • Eddie Hamilton, retired auto executive and perennial candidate
  • Carlo Poliak, sanitation worker and perennial candidate
  • David Lory Vanderbeek, marriage and family therapist

Declined

  • Sharron Angle, former state assembly member and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2010
  • John Chachas, businessman
  • John Ensign, former U.S. senator
  • Sue Lowden, former state senator and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010
  • Brian Krolicki, lieutenant governor
  • Jon Porter, former U.S representative
  • Danny Tarkanian, businessman, nominee for Secretary of State of Nevada in 2006 and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010 (running for the 4th district)

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sharron
Angle
John
Chachas
John
Ensign
Dean
Heller
Brian
Krolicki
Sue
Lowden
Danny
Tarkanian
Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 3–5, 2011 400 ±4.9% 9% 5% 20% 30% 6% 12% 10% 8%

Appointment preference

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sue
Lowden
Brian
Sandoval
Danny
Tarkanian
Undecided
Mason-Dixon/LVJR October 8, 2009 4% 24% 14% 17% 17% 21%

Primaries with Ensign

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Ensign
Dean
Heller
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 7–9, 2010 400 ±4.9% 45% 37% –– 18%
Public Policy Polling January 3–5, 2011 400 ±4.9% 34% 52% –– 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Ensign
Brian
Krolicki
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 7–9, 2010 400 ±4.9% 55% 27% –– 18%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dean Heller (incumbent) 88,958 86.3
Republican Sherry Brooks 5,356 5.2
None of These Candidates 3,358 3.3
Republican Eddie "In Liberty" Hamilton 2,628 2.6
Republican Richard Charles 2,295 2.2
Republican Carlo "Nakusa" Poliak 512 0.5
Total votes 103,107 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

  • Shelley Berkley, U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Steve Brown, businessman
  • Barry Ellsworth, renewable energy executive
  • Louis Macias, art dealer
  • Nancy Price, former regent of the Nevada System of Higher Education and Democratic nominee for the 2nd congressional district in 2010

Withdrew

  • Byron Georgiou, businessman

Declined

  • Catherine Cortez Masto, Nevada Attorney General
  • Oscar Goodman, former Mayor of Las Vegas
  • Kate Marshall, Nevada State Treasurer
  • Ross Miller, Secretary of State of Nevada
  • Dina Titus, former U.S. Representative and nominee for Governor in 2006 (running for the 1st district)

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Shelley
Berkley
Byron
Georgiou
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 21–24, 2011 300 ±5.7% 65% 8% –– 27%
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 400 ±4.9% 71% 6% –– 23%

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Shelley Berkley 62,081 79.5
Democratic Nancy Price 4,210 5.4
Democratic Steve Brown 3,998 5.1
None of These Candidates 3,637 4.7
Democratic Barry Ellsworth 2,491 3.2
Democratic Louis Macias 1,714 2.2
Total votes 78,131 100

General election

Candidates

Campaign

On July 9, the United States House Committee on Ethics voted unanimously to form an investigative subcommittee to see whether Berkley used her official position to advocate for policy that benefited her family's financial situation. More specifically, Berkley was accused of pushing healthcare legislation that would benefit her husband's medical practice as well as she was blamed for her efforts to block the closure of a kidney transplant center where her husband was employed.

Debates

The first Berkley-Heller debate was on September 27, 2012. They met again in Las Vegas on October 11 and on Jon Ralston's "Face to Face" program on October 15.

  • Complete video of debate, September 27, 2012 - C-SPAN
  • Complete video of debate, October 11, 2012 - C-SPAN

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Dean Heller (R) $8,447,489 $6,510,874 $1,936,618 $0
Shelley Berkley (D) $8,779,074 $8,947,424 $924,918 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission

Top contributors

Shelly Berkley Contribution Dean Heller Contribution
EMILY's List $93,049 Las Vegas Sands $43,750
NORPAC $59,750 MGM Resorts International $35,500
MGM Resorts International $53,700 Alliance Resource Partners $34,500
DaVita Inc. $49,300 Crow Holdings $30,000
Diamond Resorts $44,000 Elliott Management Corporation $29,413
Cantor Fitzgerald $27,000 Brady Industries $25,000
Caesars Entertainment $26,000 Mewbourne Oil Co $25,000
Fresenius Medical Care $24,500 Wynn Resorts $22,500
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck $23,650 Southwest Gas $21,800
Station Casinos $20,200 Bank of America $20,500

Top industries

[citation needed]

Shelley Berkley Contribution Dean Heller Contribution
Lawyers/law firms $607,407 Leadership PACs $379,718
Pro-Israel $384,580 Retired $300,560
Health professionals $369,954 Financial Institutions $217,084
Women's issues $309,817 Real estate $206,362
Leadership PACs $292,500 Casinos/gambling $205,832
Retired $281,490 Oil & gas $187,500
Real estate $261,779 Insurance $182,155
Financial institutions $228,393 Lobbyists $159,812
Casinos/gambling $227,350 Mining $149,745
Lobbyists $175,147 Health professionals $132,450

Polling

%support01020304050602011/01/052012/07/172012/10/082012/11/04BerkleyOther/UndecidedHellerOpinion polling for the 2012 United States S...
View source data.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dean
Heller (R)
Shelley
Berkley (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 3–5, 2011 932 ±3.2% 51% 38% 16%
Public Policy Polling April 21–24, 2011 491 ±4.4% 47% 43% 10%
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 601 ±4.0% 46% 43% 12%
Public Policy Polling October 20–23, 2011 500 ±4.4% 45% 45% 10%
Cannon Survey Center December 12–20, 2011 600 ±4.0% 43% 44% 6.9%
Rasmussen Reports March 19, 2012 500 ±4.5% 47% 40% 2% 11%
Public Policy Polling March 29 – April 1, 2012 553 ±4.2% 46% 43% 12%
Rasmussen Reports April 30, 2012 500 ±4.5% 51% 40% 2% 8%
NBC News/Marist May 22–24, 2012 1,040 ±3.0% 46% 44% 10%
Public Policy Polling June 7–10, 2012 500 ±4.4% 44% 43% 13%
Magellan Strategies July 16–17, 2012 665 ±3.8% 45% 42% 13%
Rasmussen Reports July 24, 2012 500 ±4.5% 51% 42% 2% 5%
LVRJ/Survey USA August 16–21, 2012 869 ±3.4% 44% 39% 9% 8%
Public Policy Polling August 23–26, 2012 831 ±3.4% 47% 45% 8%
Rasmussen Reports September 18, 2012 500 ±4.5% 42% 41% 4% 12%
Public Policy Polling September 18–20, 2012 501 ±4.4% 44% 48% 8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist September 23–25, 2012 984 ±3.1% 49% 43% 1% 6%
We Ask America September 25–27, 2012 1,152 ±3.1% 45% 45% 10%
Gravis Marketing October 3, 2012 1,006 ±3.1% 53% 36% 12%
Precision Opinion October 6, 2012 1,521 ±2.5% 45% 43% 12%
LVRJ/Survey USA October 3–8, 2012 1,222 ±2.9% 47% 39% 8% 6%
Rasmussen Reports October 8, 2012 500 ±4.5% 48% 45% 3% 4%
Suffolk October 6–9, 2012 500 ±4.4% 40% 37% 7% 14%
Public Policy Polling October 8–10, 2012 594 ±4.0% 47% 44% 4% 5%
LVRJ/Survey USA October 11–15, 2012 806 ±3.5% 46% 40% 8% 6%
Rasmussen Reports October 15, 2012 500 ±4.5% 50% 43% 4% 3%
Rasmussen Reports October 23, 2012 500 ±4.5% 50% 45% 1% 4%
Public Policy Polling October 22–24, 2012 636 ±3.9% 44% 44% 7% 5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 23–24, 2012 1,042 ±2.8% 48% 45% 2% 6%
LVRJ/SurveyUSA October 23–29, 2012 1,212 ±2.9% 46% 40% 10% 4%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 750 ±3.6% 48% 46% 4% 1%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dean
Heller (R)
Byron
Georgiou (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 21–24, 2011 491 ±4.4% 52% 28% –– 20%
Magellan Strategies (R) June 21–22, 2011 720 ±3.65% 46% 33% –– 21%
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 601 ±4.0% 48% 31% –– 20%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dean
Heller (R)
Oscar
Goodman (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 3–5, 2011 932 ±3.2% 45% 38% –– 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dean
Heller (R)
Catherine
Cortez Masto (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 3–5, 2011 932 ±3.2% 46% 37% –– 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dean
Heller (R)
Ross
Miller (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 3–5, 2011 932 ±3.2% 46% 34% –– 21%

with John Ensign

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Ensign (R)
Shelley
Berkley (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 11–12, 2010 763 ±3.6% 49% 40% –– 11%
Public Policy Polling January 3–5, 2011 932 ±3.2% 42% 45% –– 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Ensign (R)
Catherine
Cortez Masto (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 16–18, 2010 630 ±3.9% 48% 38% –– 14%
Public Policy Polling January 3–5, 2011 932 ±3.2% 42% 44% –– 14%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Ensign (R)
Oscar
Goodman (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 11–12, 2010 763 ±3.6% 43% 41% –– 16%
Public Policy Polling January 3–5, 2011 932 ±3.2% 35% 45% –– 20%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Ensign (R)
Ross
Miller (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 11–12, 2010 763 ±3.6% 47% 36% –– 18%
Public Policy Polling January 3–5, 2011 932 ±3.2% 39% 40% –– 21%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Ensign (R)
Dina
Titus (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 16–18, 2010 630 ±3.9% 51% 41% –– 8%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Tossup November 1, 2012
Inside Elections Tilt R November 2, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean R November 5, 2012
Real Clear Politics Tossup November 5, 2012

Results

On election day, Heller edged out Berkley by just over a point, at the same time Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney by 6.7%, becoming the only Republican in 2012 to win a senate seat in a state that voted for Obama in the presidential election.

United States Senate election in Nevada, 2012
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Dean Heller (incumbent) 457,656 45.87 –9.49
Democratic Shelley Berkley 446,080 44.71 +3.72
Independent American David Lory VanDerBeek 48,792 4.89 +3.56
None of These Candidates 45,277 4.54 +3.12
Majority 11,576 1.16 –13.21
Total votes 997,805 100.0
Republican hold Swing –6.60

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Clark (largest municipality: Las Vegas)

By congressional district

Heller won two of four congressional districts.

District Berkley Heller Representative
1st 58.57% 31.6% Dina Titus
2nd 34.27% 55.83% Mark Amodei
3rd 43.34% 47.93% Joe Heck
4th 48.26% 42.38% Steven Horsford

See also

wikipedia, wiki, encyclopedia, book, library, article, read, free download, Information about 2012 United States Senate election in Nevada, What is 2012 United States Senate election in Nevada? What does 2012 United States Senate election in Nevada mean?