2015 United States gubernatorial elections

United States gubernatorial elections were held in three states in 2015 as part of the 2015 United States elections. In Kentucky and Mississippi, the elections were held on November 3, and in Louisiana, as no candidate received a majority of votes at the primary election on October 24, 2015, a runoff election was held on November 21. The last regular gubernatorial elections for all three states were in 2011. Democrats picked up the open seat of term-limited Republican Bobby Jindal in Louisiana, while Republicans re-elected incumbent Phil Bryant in Mississippi and picked up the seat of term-limited Democrat Steve Beshear in Kentucky.

2015 United States gubernatorial elections

← 2014
November 3, 2015
November 21 (Louisiana runoff)
2016 →
← 2011
2019 →

3 governorships
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Seats before 31 18
Seats after 31 18
Seat change
Popular vote 1,494,011 1,305,187
Percentage 52.52% 45.88%
Seats up 2 1
Seats won 2 1

Map of the results
     Democratic gain      Republican gain
     Republican hold
     No election

As of 2025, this is the last time that Republicans won the governorship in Kentucky.

Election predictions

Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each state, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat.

Most election predictors use:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
State PVI Incumbent Last
race
Cook
Aug 25,
2016
IE
Aug 21,
2015
Sabato
Oct 29,
2015
DKE
Oct 29,
2015
Result
Kentucky R+13 Steve Beshear (term-limited) 55.72% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Tossup Bevin
52.52% R (flip)
Louisiana R+12 Bobby Jindal (term-limited) 65.80% R Lean D (flip) Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Edwards
56.11% D (flip)
Mississippi R+9 Phil Bryant 60.98% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Bryant
66.24% R

Race summary

State Incumbent Results
State Governor Party First
elected
Status Candidates
Kentucky Steve Beshear Democratic 2007 Incumbent term-limited.
New governor elected.
Republican gain.
  • Y Matt Bevin (Republican) 52.5%
  • Jack Conway (Democratic) 43.8%
  • Drew Curtis (Independent) 3.7%
Louisiana Bobby Jindal Republican 2007 Incumbent term-limited.
New governor elected.
Democratic gain.
  • Y John Bel Edwards (Democratic) 56.1%
  • David Vitter (Republican) 43.9%
Mississippi Phil Bryant Republican 2011 Incumbent re-elected.
  • Y Phil Bryant (Republican) 66.4%
  • Robert Gray (Democratic) 32.4%
  • Shawn O'Hara (Reform) 1.4%

Closest races

States where the margin of victory was under 10%:

  1. Kentucky, 8.70%

Red denotes states won by Republicans.

Kentucky

2015 Kentucky gubernatorial election

← 2011
November 3, 2015 (2015-11-03)
2019 →
 
Nominee Matt Bevin Jack Conway
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jenean Hampton Sannie Overly
Popular vote 511,374 426,620
Percentage 52.5% 43.8%

County results
Bevin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Conway:      40–50%      50–60%

Governor before election

Steve Beshear
Democratic

Elected Governor

Matt Bevin
Republican

Two-term incumbent Democratic Governor Steve Beshear, was unable to run for a third term in 2015 due to term limits established under the Kentucky Constitution. To succeed Beshear, Democrats nominated Attorney General of Kentucky Jack Conway. Conway's running mate was State Representative Sannie Overly. For the Republicans, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 Matt Bevin ran on a ticket with Tea Party activist and 2014 State House candidate Jenean Hampton. Bevin narrowly defeated Agriculture Commissioner James Comer to win the Republican nomination. Drew Curtis, the founder of Fark, ran as an independent, polling well enough to appear in the Bluegrass Poll gubernatorial debate. Bevin ultimately defeated Conway, winning 53% of the vote to Conway's 44%.

Kentucky Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jack Conway 140,627 78.78
Democratic Geoff Young 37,887 21.22
Total votes 178,514 100.00
Kentucky Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Bevin 70,480 32.91
Republican James Comer 70,397 32.89
Republican Hal Heiner 57,951 27.10
Republican Will T. Scott 15,365 7.20
Total votes 214,187 100.00
Kentucky general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Matt Bevin 511,374 52.52 17.23
Democratic Jack Conway 426,620 43.82 11.90
Independent Drew Curtis 35,597 3.66 5.33
Total votes 973,692 100.00
Republican gain from Democratic

Louisiana

2015 Louisiana gubernatorial election

← 2011
November 21, 2015 (2015-11-21)
2019 →
 
Nominee John Bel Edwards David Vitter
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 646,924 505,940
Percentage 56.1% 43.9%

Parish results
Edwards:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Vitter:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election

Bobby Jindal
Republican

Elected Governor

John Bel Edwards
Democratic

Two-term incumbent Republican Governor Bobby Jindal was term-limited in 2015 and thus unable to seek reelection. Under Louisiana's jungle primary system, all candidates, regardless of party, appear on the same ballot. The primary was held on October 24, 2015, with Democrat John Bel Edwards at 40% of the vote and Republican David Vitter at 23%. As no candidate won a majority of the vote, a runoff election between Edwards and Vitter was held on November 21, 2015. Edwards won the runoff election with 56.1% of the vote, becoming the first Democrat to win a statewide election in Louisiana since 2008.

Three Republicans ran for the office: Public Service Commissioner and former Lieutenant Governor of Louisiana Scott Angelle, incumbent Lieutenant Governor Jay Dardenne and U.S. Senator David Vitter. Potential Republican candidates included former Secretary of the Louisiana Department of Veterans Affairs and former U.S. Representative Rodney Alexander, Louisiana State Treasurer John Neely Kennedy, State Senator Gerald Long and former governor, former U.S. Representative and candidate for president in 2012 Buddy Roemer.

Three Democrats ran: 2011 candidate Cary Deaton, Minority Leader of the Louisiana House of Representatives John Bel Edwards and minister Jeremy Odom.

Louisiana jungle primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Bel Edwards 444,517 39.89
Republican David Vitter 256,300 23.00
Republican Scott Angelle 214,982 19.29
Republican Jay Dardenne 166,656 14.96
Democratic Cary Deaton 11,763 1.06
Democratic S. L. Simpson 7,420 0.67
Independent Beryl Billiot 5,694 0.51
Independent Jeremy Odom 4,756 0.43
Independent Eric Orgeron 2,248 0.20
Total votes 1,114,336 100.00
Louisiana general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic John Bel Edwards 646,924 56.11 27.95
Republican David Vitter 505,940 43.89 21.91
Total votes 1,152,864 100.00
Democratic gain from Republican

Mississippi

2015 Mississippi gubernatorial election

← 2011
November 3, 2015 (2015-11-03)
2019 →
 
Nominee Phil Bryant Robert Gray
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 480,399 234,858
Percentage 66.2% 32.4%

County results
Bryant:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%
Gray:      40–50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%

Governor before election

Phil Bryant
Republican

Elected Governor

Phil Bryant
Republican

One-term incumbent Republican Governor Phil Bryant nominated for a second and final term. He had won a resounding victory over his Democratic opponent four years earlier, carrying 61% of the vote. Truck driver Robert Gray was nominated by the Democrats to oppose Bryant in the general election. Bryant won the election in a landslide, winning 67% of the vote to Gray's 32%.

Mississippi Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Phil Bryant (incumbent) 256,689 91.86
Republican Mitch Young 22,738 8.14
Total votes 279,427 100.00
Mississippi Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Robert Gray 152,087 50.80
Democratic Vicki Slater 91,104 30.43
Democratic Valerie Short 56,177 18.77
Total votes 299,368 100.00
Mississippi general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Phil Bryant (incumbent) 480,399 66.24
Democratic Robert Gray 234,858 32.38
Reform Shawn O'Hara 9,950 1.37 n/a
Total votes 725,207 100.00
Republican hold

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