The 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the state of Georgia. Incumbent Democratic senator Raphael Warnock won his first full term in office, defeating Republican former football player Herschel Walker. Under Georgia's two-round system, Warnock was re-elected in a runoff election on December 6 after neither candidate received over 50% of the vote on November 8. Warnock's win was the only statewide victory for Democrats in Georgia in 2022.
November 8, 2022 (first round) December 6, 2022 (runoff) | ||||||||||||||||
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Warnock: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Walker: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | ||||||||||||||||
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Warnock, who won a shortened term to the seat in a 2020–21 special election, was nominated in the May 24 primary for a full term with minimal opposition. Walker, who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, won the Republican nomination with 68% of the vote. It was the first U.S. Senate election in Georgia history and among five nationwide since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment in 1913 in which both major party nominees were Black.
In the November 8 election, Warnock received 49.4% of the vote and Walker received 48.5%, triggering the December 6 runoff. Warnock defeated Walker by a 2.8% margin in the runoff and became the first African-American from Georgia elected to a full term in the U.S. Senate, and the first Democrat to win a full term at this seat since Wyche Fowler in 1986. Warnock's victory also secured an outright majority for Senate Democrats for the first time since 2015, with a net gain of one seat in the 2022 midterms. This was the first time since 1998 that Georgia voted for different parties for U.S. senator and governor in the same election cycle. It was the third-closest Senate election of the 2022 midterms after Nevada and Wisconsin. Walker would later go on to be nominated as U.S. ambassador to the Bahamas following Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election.
Democratic primary
Warnock easily won renomination in the Democratic primary over Tamara Johnson-Shealey, a left-wing activist and businesswoman, who ran a low-profile campaign focused around reparations for slavery.
Candidates
Nominee
- Raphael Warnock, incumbent U.S. Senator
Eliminated in primary
- Tamara Johnson-Shealey, DeKalb County businesswoman and perennial candidate
Endorsements
Raphael Warnock
State officials
- Demetrius Douglas, former professional football player and state representative from the 78th district (2013–present)
Organizations
- End Citizens United
- Feminist Majority PAC
- Giffords
- Human Rights Campaign
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund
- Jewish Dems
- League of Conservation Voters
- Let America Vote
- March On
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Natural Resources Defense Council
- Peace Action
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- Population Connection Action Fund
- Sierra Club
Labor unions
- Communications Workers of America
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Raphael Warnock | Tamara Johnson-Shealey | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | April 1–3, 2022 | 453 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 85% | 6% | 10% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Raphael Warnock (incumbent) | 702,610 | 96.04% | |
| Democratic | Tamara Johnson-Shealey | 28,984 | 3.96% | |
| Total votes | 731,594 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Herschel Walker, former running back for the Georgia Bulldogs, former professional football player, and former co-chair of the President's Council on Sports, Fitness, and Nutrition and CEO of Renaissance Man Food Services
Eliminated in primary
- Gary Black, former Agriculture Commissioner of Georgia
- Josh Clark, former state representative and businessman
- Kelvin King, U.S. Air Force veteran, businessman, and founder of Osprey Management
- Jonathan McColumn, former U.S. Army Special Forces brigadier general and pastor
- Latham Saddler, former director of intelligence programs on the National Security Council and former Navy SEAL officer
Declined
- Christopher M. Carr, Attorney General of Georgia (ran for re-election)
- Buddy Carter, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district (ran for re-election; endorsed Walker)
- Doug Collins, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2020
- Geoff Duncan, former Lieutenant Governor of Georgia and former state representative
- Randy Evans, former U.S. Ambassador to Luxembourg (endorsed Walker)
- Drew Ferguson, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 3rd congressional district (ran for re-election)
- Vernon Jones, former Democratic state representative and CEO of DeKalb County (ran for the U.S. House in GA-10)
- Brian Kemp, Governor of Georgia (ran for re-election)
- Jack Kingston, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district
- Kelly Loeffler, former U.S. Senator (endorsed Walker)
- Harold Melton, former chief justice of Georgia Supreme Court
- David Perdue, former U.S. Senator (initially filed paperwork; ran for Governor)
- David Ralston, Speaker of the Georgia House of Representatives
Debates
| 2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Georgia debates | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | Date | Organizer | Location | Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | Source | ||||||
| Gary Black | Josh Clark | Kelvin King | Jonathan McColumn | Latham Saddler | Herschel Walker | ||||||
| 1 | April 9, 2022 | Georgia's 9th congressional district Republican Party | Gainesville | P | P | P | P | P | A | ||
| 2 | May 3, 2022 | Atlanta Press Club, Georgia Public Broadcasting | Atlanta | P | P | P | P | P | A | ||
Endorsements
Gary Black
Governors
- Nathan Deal, 82nd Governor of Georgia (2011–2019)
U.S. Representatives
- Andrew Clyde, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district (2021–present)
- Doug Collins, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district (2013–2021), and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020
State officials
- Bubba McDonald, Georgia Public Service Commissioner
Herschel Walker
Executive branch officials
- Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2019) and former governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)
U.S. Senators
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present)
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present)
- Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present)
- Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2003–present)
- Bill Hagerty, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2021–present)
- Roger Marshall, U.S. Senator from Kansas (2021–present)
- Mitch McConnell, U.S Senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2021–present, 2007–2015), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present)
- John Thune, U.S. Senator from South Dakota (2005–present), Senate Minority Whip (2021–present), Senate Majority Whip (2019–2021)
- Tommy Tuberville, U.S. Senator from Alabama (2021–present)
U.S. Representatives
- Buddy Carter, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district (2015–present)
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present)
Individuals
- Sean Hannity, American talk show host and conservative political commentator
Organizations
- American Conservative Union
- Black America's Political Action Committee
- National Right to Life
Polling
Graphical summary
View source data.
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Gary Black | Josh Clark | Kelvin King | Jonathan McColumn | Latham Saddler | Herschel Walker | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | May 12–23, 2022 | May 24, 2022 | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 9.0% | 64.7% | 12.9% | Walker +55.7 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gary Black | Josh Clark | Kelvin King | Jonathan McColumn | Latham Saddler | Herschel Walker | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | May 21–23, 2022 | 1,074 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 67% | – | 4% |
| Landmark Communications (R) | May 22, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 60% | – | 9% |
| Fox News | May 12–16, 2022 | 1,004 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 66% | 1% | 11% |
| ARW Strategies (R) | April 30 – May 1, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 59% | – | 23% |
| SurveyUSA | April 22–27, 2022 | 559 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 62% | – | 21% |
| University of Georgia | April 10–22, 2022 | 886 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 66% | – | 23% |
| Landmark Communications (R) | April 9–10, 2022 | 660 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 64% | – | 14% |
| Spry Strategies (R) | April 6–10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 7% | 2% | 4% | – | 2% | 64% | – | 21% |
| University of Georgia | March 20 – April 8, 2022 | ~329 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 64% | – | 24% |
| Emerson College | April 1–3, 2022 | 509 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 57% | 2% | 16% |
| Fox News | March 2–6, 2022 | 914 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 8% | 1% | 3% | – | 2% | 66% | 1% | 16% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | February 28 – March 1, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 6% | 3% | 4% | – | 3% | 63% | 2% | 20% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | February 11–13, 2022 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 6% | – | 2% | – | 3% | 70% | – | 19% |
| Quinnipiac University | January 19–24, 2022 | 666 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 6% | 0% | 2% | – | 1% | 81% | 0% | 9% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R) | October 11–14, 2021 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 6% | – | 1% | – | 1% | 74% | 2% | 16% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 2–4, 2021 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 6% | – | 2% | – | 3% | 76% | – | 13% |
| Fabrizio Lee (R) | August 11–12, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 5% | – | 2% | – | 1% | 54% | 3% | 35% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Doug Collins | Marjorie Taylor Greene | Kelly Loeffler | Herschel Walker | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OnMessage Inc. (R) | March 14–15, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 7% | 22% | 27% | 11% |
| Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage | March 7–9, 2021 | – (LV) | – | 33% | – | 24% | 33% | 11% |
Primary runoff polling
Doug Collins vs. Kelly Loeffler
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Doug Collins | Kelly Loeffler | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OnMessage Inc. (R) | March 14–15, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 36% | 10% |
| Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage | March 7–9, 2021 | – (LV) | – | 52% | 32% | 16% |
Herschel Walker vs. Doug Collins
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Herschel Walker | Doug Collins | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage | March 7–9, 2021 | – (LV) | – | 50% | 36% | 14% |
Herschel Walker vs. Kelly Loeffler
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Herschel Walker | Kelly Loeffler | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage | March 7–9, 2021 | – (LV) | – | 62% | 26% | 11% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Herschel Walker | 803,560 | 68.18% | |
| Republican | Gary Black | 157,370 | 13.35% | |
| Republican | Latham Saddler | 104,471 | 8.86% | |
| Republican | Josh Clark | 46,693 | 3.96% | |
| Republican | Kelvin King | 37,930 | 3.22% | |
| Republican | Jonathan McColumn | 28,601 | 2.43% | |
| Total votes | 1,178,625 | 100.0% | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Chase Oliver, chair of the Atlanta Libertarian Party, customer service specialist, and candidate for Georgia's 5th congressional district in the 2020 House of Representatives special election. Oliver was the first openly gay Senate candidate in Georgia.
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections | Tossup | April 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico | Tossup | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP | Tossup | February 24, 2022 |
| Fox News | Tossup | October 25, 2022 |
| DDHQ | Tossup | October 25, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
| The Economist | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
| Raphael Warnock | Herschel Walker | Chase Oliver | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 14, 2022 | Nexstar Media Group | Buck Lanford Tina Tyus-Shaw | P | P | N | |
| 2 | Oct. 16, 2022 | Georgia Public Broadcasting | Scott Slade | P | A | P | |
Endorsements
Raphael Warnock (D)
Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–2025)
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017)
U.S. Senators
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013–present)
- John Fetterman, U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania (2023-Present) and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–2023)
- Jon Ossoff, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2021–present)
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)
U.S. Representatives
- Sanford Bishop, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 2nd congressional district (1993–present)
- Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2019–2023; 2007–2011) and U.S. Representative from California (1987–present)
- Nikema Williams, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 5th congressional district (2021–present)
State officials
- Stacey Abrams, former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives, founder of Fair Fight Action, and nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018 and 2022
- James Beverly, state representative from the 143rd district (2013–2025)
- William Boddie, state representative from the 62nd district (2017–2023)
- Demetrius Douglas, former professional football player and state representative from the 78th district (2013–present)
- Gloria Frazier, state representative from the 126th district (2013–2025)
- Harold V. Jones II, state senator for the 22nd district (2015–present)
- Jen Jordan, state senator for the 6th district (2017–2023)
- David Lucas, state senator for the 26th district (2013–present)
- Miriam Paris, state representative from the 142nd district (2017–present)
Local officials
- Kelly Girtz, Mayor of Athens (2019–present)
Individuals
- J. J. Abrams, filmmaker
- Arianna Afsar, singer
- Waka Flocka Flame, rapper
- Maxwell Frost, U.S. Representative-elect for Florida's 10th congressional district
- LeBron James, professional basketball player
- Daniel Dae Kim, actor
- Min Jin Lee, author
- Spike Lee, film director
- John Legend, singer and songwriter
- Jeannie Mai, television host
- Gucci Mane, entertainer
- Dave Matthews, singer
- Killer Mike, rapper
- Lin-Manuel Miranda, composer and filmmaker
- Michelle Obama, former First Lady of the United States (2009–2017)
- Martin Sheen, actor
- Steven Spielberg, film director
- Kerry Washington, actress
- Oprah Winfrey, businesswoman and talk show host
- Henry Winkler, actor
- Stevie Wonder, singer and songwriter
Organizations
- Actors' Equity Association
- Asian-American Advocacy Fund
- End Citizens United
- Everytown for Gun Safety
- Feminist Majority PAC
- Giffords
- Human Rights Campaign
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund
- Jewish Dems
- League of Conservation Voters
- Let America Vote
- March On
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- National Association of Social Workers
- National Organization for Women
- Natural Resources Defense Council
- Peace Action
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- Population Connection Action Fund
- Sierra Club
Labor unions
- Communications Workers of America
- National Education Association
- United Auto Workers
Herschel Walker (R)
Executive Branch officials
- Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2019) and former governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)
- Mike Pompeo, former U.S. Secretary of State (2018–2021) and former Director of the CIA (2017–2018)
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)
State officials
- Pam Bondi, Attorney General of Florida (2011–2019)
- Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present)
- Brian Kemp, Governor of Georgia (2019–present)
- Jodi Lott, state representative from the 122nd district (2015–2025)
- Mark Newton, state representative from the 123rd district (2017–present)
- Jesse Petrea, state representative from the 166th district (2015–present)
- Randy Robertson, state senator from the 29th district (2019–present)
- Ron Stephens, state representative from Georgia (1997–present)
U.S. Senators
- Katie Britt, U.S Senator from Alabama (2023-Present)
- Saxby Chambliss, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2003–2015)
- John Cornyn, U.S. Senator from Texas (2002–present)
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present)
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present)
- Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present)
- Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2003–present)
- Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present)
- John Kennedy, U.S. Senator from Louisiana (2017–present)
- Kelly Loeffler, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2020–2021)
- Roger Marshall, U.S. Senator from Kansas (2021–present)
- Mack Mattingly, U.S. Senator from Georgia (1981–1987)
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2021–present, 2007–2015), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)
- David Perdue, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2015–2021)
- Rick Scott, U.S. Senator from Florida (2019–present)
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present)
- John Thune, U.S. Senator from South Dakota (2005–present), Senate Minority Whip (2021–present), and former Senate Majority Whip (2019–2021)
- Tommy Tuberville, U.S. Senator from Alabama (2021–present)
U.S. Representatives
- Rick W. Allen, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 12th congressional district (2015–present)
- Don Bacon, U.S. Representative for Nebraska's 2nd congressional district (2017–present)
- Buddy Carter, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district (2015–present)
- Tulsi Gabbard, former U.S. Representative for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021) (Independent)
- Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (1995–1999) and former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 6th congressional district (1979–1999)
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present)
Individuals
- Bobby Christine, District Attorney of the Columbia County Judicial Circuit (2021–2025)
- Vince Dooley, former head coach of the Georgia Bulldogs (deceased)
- Ric Flair, professional wrestler
- Doug Flutie, NFL and CFL quarterback
- Tom Glavine, pitcher for the Atlanta Braves
- Sean Hannity, talk show host and conservative political commentator
- Ronna McDaniel, former chair of the Republican National Committee
- Chuck Norris, martial artist and actor
- Ralph Reed, political consultant
- Kanye West, rapper, businessman, and fashion designer
Organizations
- American Conservative Union
- Black America's Political Action Committee
- Campaign for Working Families
- National Right to Life
Declined to endorse
Statewide officials
- Gary Black, Agriculture Commissioner of Georgia (2011–2023) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 (Republican)
- Geoff Duncan, Lieutenant Governor of Georgia (2019–2023) (Republican)
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Raphael Warnock (D) | Herschel Walker (R) | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | October 29 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 47.4% | 48.8% | 3.8% | Walker +1.4 |
| FiveThirtyEight | October 13 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 46.7% | 47.7% | 5.69% | Walker +1.0 |
| 270ToWin | November 4–7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 47.3% | 48.5% | 5.1% | Walker +1.2 |
| Average | 47.1% | 48.3% | 4.6% | Walker +1.2 | ||
Graphical summary
View source data.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Raphael Warnock (D) | Herschel Walker (R) | Chase Oliver (L) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | November 5–7, 2022 | 791 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | – | 5% | – |
| Landmark Communications | November 4–7, 2022 | 1,214 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 47% | 5% | – | 2% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | November 6, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 49% | 1% | – | 4% |
| Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | 1% | – | 5% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | November 4–6, 2022 | 1,103 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 50% | 2% | – | 2% |
| Data for Progress (D) | November 2–6, 2022 | 1,474 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% | – | – |
| Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 579 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 49% | 1% | 2% | – |
| East Carolina University | November 2–5, 2022 | 1,077 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 49% | 2% | – | – |
| Amber Integrated (R) | November 1–2, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 3% | – | 4% |
| Remington Research Group (R) | November 1–2, 2022 | 1,150 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 49% | 2% | – | 4% |
| Echleon Insights | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 45% | 49% | 3% | – | 3% |
| 45% | 52% | – | – | 3% | ||||
| Marist College | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 1,168 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 45% | – | 1% | 6% |
| 1,009 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 48% | – | 1% | 3% | ||
| Moore Information Group (R) | October 29 – November 2, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 49% | 2% | – | 5% |
| SurveyUSA | October 29 – November 2, 2022 | 1,171 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 43% | 3% | – | 5% |
| Patinkin Research Strategies (D) | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 45% | 4% | – | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 50% | 48% | 2% | 1% | – | ||||
| Fox News | October 26–30, 2022 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | – | 6% | 6% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 27, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 48% | 2% | <1% | 5% |
| Siena College/NYT | October 24–27, 2022 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 46% | 1% | – | 4% |
| University of Georgia | October 16–27, 2022 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 46% | 5% | – | 5% |
| co/efficient (R) | October 24–25, 2022 | 946 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 3% | – | 6% |
| Moore Information Group (R) | October 22–25, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 3% | – | – |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 23–24, 2022 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | – | 4% | 4% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 21–23, 2022 | 1,076 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 49% | 5% | – | – |
| East Carolina University | October 13–18, 2022 | 905 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 47% | – | 2% | 3% |
| Landmark Communications | October 15–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 46% | 3% | – | 2% |
| Data for Progress (D) | October 13–17, 2022 | 984 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 16, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 6% |
| Wick Insights (R) | October 8–14, 2022 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 46% | – | 3% | 5% |
| Civiqs | October 8–11, 2022 | 717 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 46% | – | 3% | 1% |
| Moore Information Group (R) | October 8–11, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 4% | – | – |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 8–11, 2022 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 45% | 4% | – | 5% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 7–10, 2022 | 1,157 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 45% | – | 1% | 1% |
| Emerson College | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 4, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 44% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
| SurveyUSA | September 30 – October 4, 2022 | 1,076 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 38% | – | 5% | 7% |
| University of Georgia | September 25 – October 4, 2022 | 1,030 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 43% | 4% | – | 6% |
| Fox News | September 22–26, 2022 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 41% | – | 6% | 7% |
| Data for Progress (D) | September 16–20, 2022 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 4% | – | 3% |
| YouGov/CBS News | September 14–19, 2022 | 1,178 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 49% | – | – | 0% |
| University of Georgia | September 5–16, 2022 | 861 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 46% | – | 3% | 7% |
| Marist College | September 12–15, 2022 | 1,202 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 42% | 4% | – | 7% |
| 992 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 4% | – | 4% | ||
| Kurt Jetta (D) | September 9–12, 2022 | 949 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 37% | – | – | 13% |
| 542 (LV) | 49% | 45% | – | – | 7% | |||
| Quinnipiac University | September 8–12, 2022 | 1,278 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 52% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 40% | – | – | 10% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | September 6–7, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 47% | 4% | – | 5% |
| Emerson College | August 28–29, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 46% | – | 4% | 7% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | August 24–27, 2022 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 48% | 3% | – | 3% |
| Phillips Academy | August 3–7, 2022 | 971 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 11% |
| Research Affiliates (D) | July 26 – August 1, 2022 | 420 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 5% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | July 26–27, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| Fox News | July 22–26, 2022 | 908 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 42% | – | 1% | 9% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R) | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 46% | – | 3% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA | July 21–24, 2022 | 604 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 48% | 39% | – | 5% | 8% |
| University of Georgia | July 14–22, 2022 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 43% | 3% | – | 8% |
| Beacon Research (D) | July 5–20, 2022 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 36% | – | 2% | 11% |
| 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | – | 1% | 7% | ||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | July 5–11, 2022 | 1,197 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 47% | – | – | 3% |
| Data for Progress (D) | July 1–6, 2022 | 1,131 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | – | – | 4% |
| Change Research (D) | June 24–27, 2022 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 44% | – | – | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | June 23–27, 2022 | 1,497 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 54% | 44% | – | 0% | 3% |
| Moore Information Group (R) | June 11–16, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 6% |
| East Carolina University | June 6–9, 2022 | 868 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 47% | – | 2% | 4% |
| SurveyUSA | April 22–27, 2022 | 1,278 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
| Grassroots Targeting (R) | April 3–16, 2022 | 2,500 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 41% | 51% | – | – | 8% |
| Emerson College | April 1–3, 2022 | 1,013 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 49% | – | – | 6% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | March 2–8, 2022 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 49% | – | – | 6% |
| Change Research (D) | March 2022 | – (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | 3% |
| Wick Insights (R) | February 2–6, 2022 | 1,290 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | January 19–24, 2022 | 1,702 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 49% | – | 0% | 3% |
| University of Georgia | January 13–24, 2022 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 47% | – | 1% | 8% |
| NRSC (R) | December 4–8, 2021 | 831 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 49% | – | – | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 9, 2021 | 753 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 39% | – | 2% | 8% |
| 733 (LV) | 48% | 42% | – | 2% | 6% | |||
| Public Policy Polling (D) | August 4–5, 2021 | 622 (V) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 46% | – | – | 6% |
| The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R) | March 7–9, 2021 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 48% | – | 3% | 4% |
Hypothetical polling
Raphael Warnock vs. Gary Black
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Raphael Warnock (D) | Gary Black (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Georgia | January 13–24, 2022 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 41% | 1% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | August 4–5, 2021 | 622 (V) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 38% | – | 16% |
Raphael Warnock vs. Kelly Loeffler
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Raphael Warnock (D) | Kelly Loeffler (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) | August 4–5, 2021 | 622 (V) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
| The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R) | March 7–9, 2021 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 41% | 8% | 5% |
Raphael Warnock vs. Doug Collins
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Raphael Warnock (D) | Doug Collins (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R) | March 7–9, 2021 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grassroots Targeting (R) | April 3–16, 2022 | 2,500 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 40% | 52% | 8% |
Results
Despite a strong gubernatorial performance by incumbent governor Brian Kemp in his reelection bid, and leading the polls since October, Walker ended up one point behind Warnock and was forced into a runoff. Ticket splitting was evident, as Walker underperformed Brian Kemp by 203,130 votes, while Warnock did 132,444 votes better than Abrams.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Raphael Warnock (incumbent) | 1,946,117 | 49.44% | N/A | |
| Republican | Herschel Walker | 1,908,442 | 48.49% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Chase Oliver | 81,365 | 2.07% | +1.35% | |
| Total votes | 3,935,924 | 100.0% | |||
By congressional district
Walker won nine of 14 congressional districts.
| District | Warnock | Walker | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 42% | 56% | Buddy Carter |
| 2nd | 54% | 45% | Sanford Bishop |
| 3rd | 34% | 63% | Drew Ferguson |
| 4th | 80% | 19% | Hank Johnson |
| 5th | 84% | 14% | Nikema Williams |
| 6th | 41% | 56% | Lucy McBath (117th Congress) |
| Rich McCormick (118th Congress) | |||
| 7th | 63% | 35% | Carolyn Bourdeaux (117th Congress) |
| Lucy McBath (118th Congress) | |||
| 8th | 34% | 64% | Austin Scott |
| 9th | 29% | 68% | Andrew Clyde |
| 10th | 38% | 60% | Jody Hice (117th Congress) |
| Mike Collins (118th Congress) | |||
| 11th | 41% | 56% | Barry Loudermilk |
| 12th | 43% | 56% | Rick Allen |
| 13th | 82% | 16% | David Scott |
| 14th | 31% | 67% | Marjorie Taylor Greene |
Voter demographics
Voter demographic data for 2022 was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls completed by voters in person as well as by phone. One key to Warnock's victory was winning voters with graduate degrees 60-38%, as he lost all other educational groups. Warnock also won voters under 50 by large margins, offsetting his losses among older voters.
| Demographic subgroup | Warnock | Walker | Oliver | % of total vote |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ideology | ||||
| Liberals | 93 | 5 | 2 | 18 |
| Moderates | 66 | 32 | 2 | 41 |
| Conservatives | 11 | 88 | 1 | 41 |
| Party | ||||
| Democrats | 97 | 2 | 0 | 35 |
| Republicans | 4 | 95 | 1 | 41 |
| Independents | 53 | 42 | 4 | 24 |
| Gender | ||||
| Men | 44 | 54 | 2 | 47 |
| Women | 53 | 45 | 1 | 53 |
| Marital status | ||||
| Married | 47 | 53 | 1 | 64 |
| Unmarried | 60 | 37 | 1 | 36 |
| Gender by marital status | ||||
| Married men | 38 | 60 | 2 | 31 |
| Married women | 44 | 55 | 1 | 31 |
| Unmarried men | 58 | 39 | 3 | 15 |
| Unmarried women | 65 | 33 | 1 | 23 |
| Race/ethnicity | ||||
| White | 29 | 70 | 1 | 62 |
| Black | 90 | 8 | 1 | 28 |
| Latino | 58 | 39 | 3 | 6 |
| Asian | 59 | 39 | 2 | 2 |
| Other racial/ethnic groups | 53 | 41 | 4 | 3 |
| Gender by race | ||||
| White men | 27 | 71 | 2 | 31 |
| White women | 30 | 68 | 1 | 30 |
| Black men | 85 | 12 | 2 | 11 |
| Black women | 93 | 5 | 1 | 17 |
| Latino men | 61 | 37 | 2 | 3 |
| Latina women | 55 | 41 | 4 | 4 |
| All other races | 55 | 40 | 3 | 4 |
| Age | ||||
| 18–24 years old | 69 | 28 | 3 | 6 |
| 25–29 years old | 57 | 40 | 2 | 6 |
| 30–39 years old | 57 | 40 | 3 | 14 |
| 40–49 years old | 52 | 46 | 1 | 17 |
| 50–64 years old | 44 | 54 | 1 | 32 |
| 65 and older | 41 | 58 | 1 | 25 |
| 2020 presidential vote | ||||
| Biden | 97 | 3 | 0 | 43 |
| Trump | 4 | 95 | 1 | 48 |
| First time midterm election voter | ||||
| Yes | 52 | 44 | 4 | 8 |
| No | 46 | 52 | 1 | 92 |
| Education | ||||
| Never attended college | 39 | 59 | 1 | 16 |
| Some college education | 49 | 50 | 1 | 27 |
| Associate degree | 48 | 49 | 3 | 16 |
| Bachelor's degree | 47 | 51 | 2 | 23 |
| Advanced degree | 60 | 38 | 2 | 17 |
| Education by race | ||||
| White college graduates | 40 | 58 | 2 | 27 |
| White no college degree | 19 | 79 | 1 | 34 |
| Non-white college graduates | 78 | 20 | 1 | 13 |
| Non-white no college degree | 82 | 15 | 2 | 25 |
| Education by gender/race | ||||
| White women with college degrees | 44 | 54 | 1 | 13 |
| White women without college degrees | 20 | 79 | 1 | 17 |
| White men with college degrees | 36 | 61 | 2 | 14 |
| White men without college degrees | 19 | 80 | 1 | 18 |
| Non-white | 81 | 17 | 2 | 38 |
| Issue regarded as most important | ||||
| Crime | 50 | 48 | 2 | 13 |
| Abortion | 77 | 21 | 1 | 26 |
| Inflation | 27 | 72 | 1 | 37 |
| Gun Policy | 58 | 40 | 1 | 10 |
| Immigration | 15 | 83 | 2 | 7 |
| Feelings about Roe v. Wade being overturned | ||||
| Enthusiastic/satisfied | 16 | 83 | 1 | 43 |
| Dissatisfied/angry | 77 | 20 | 2 | 53 |
| Abortion should be | ||||
| Legal | 75 | 23 | 1 | 53 |
| Illegal | 11 | 87 | 1 | 43 |
| Area type | ||||
| Urban | 68 | 31 | 1 | 20 |
| Suburban | 48 | 49 | 2 | 53 |
| Rural | 35 | 65 | 1 | 27 |
Runoff election
Following the projection of incumbent Democratic senator Catherine Cortez Masto's victory in Nevada, it became clear that, unlike in the previous cycle, the results of the Georgia runoff would not determine control of the United States Senate. With all Democratic incumbents besides Warnock winning re-election and Democrat John Fetterman flipping an open seat in Pennsylvania that had been held by retiring Republican Pat Toomey, Democrats held their majority in the Senate. Nevertheless, national Democrats and Republicans began spending on advertising and volunteer mobilization efforts as soon as it became apparent that a runoff election would be necessary. Historically, runoff elections in Georgia have favored Republicans as turnout decreased disproportionately amongst Democratic voters, but in 2021, with Senate control to be determined, turnout was historically high, and Democrats won both races. Prior to the runoff, elections analysts questioned whether Georgia voters would turn out in such high numbers again and tried to determine which candidate's coalition of supporters would be more likely to turn out. This was the fifth runoff in the state's history.
The early vote window was shorter in 2022 than in 2021 due to Georgia's Election Integrity Act of 2021, which reduced the gap between general and runoff elections from nine to four weeks. State officials also said that there could be no weekend early voting: Georgia state law bars early voting from taking place the Saturday immediately before an election (December 3), and Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger argued that early voting also could not take place the next preceding Saturday (November 26), as it fell two days after Thanksgiving (November 24) and the day after a Georgia state holiday established to commemorate Confederate general Robert E. Lee's birthday (November 25). On Friday, November 18, a Fulton County Superior Court judge ruled that, despite the holidays, county boards of election could legally offer early voting on Saturday, November 26; that decision was upheld by the Georgia Court of Appeals on Monday, November 21, and by the Supreme Court of Georgia on Wednesday, November 23. Ultimately, 27 of Georgia's 159 counties chose to offer early voting on Saturday, including the state's four largest counties, Fulton, Gwinnett, Cobb, and DeKalb.
While Democrats retained control of the Senate during the 118th Congress regardless of the outcome of the Georgia runoff, Warnock's victory affected the functioning of that majority. During the 117th Congress, Senate Democrats made power-sharing agreements with Republicans, such as evenly dividing committee memberships between the two parties and giving Republicans greater ability to delay judicial appointments; with Warnock's win, Democrats attained an outright 51–49 majority, allowing them to take full control of Senate committees and expedite judicial confirmations. Looking beyond the 118th Congress, many analysts had noted that the outcome of this race would affect Democrats' prospects in the 2024 U.S. Senate elections. Election forecasters had noted that Democrats held a number of seats up for election in 2024 which would be difficult for the party to defend, and therefore that holding Georgia's seat bolstered the party's chances to maintain Senate control going forward.
According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Warnock won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Walker's defeat.
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 18, 2022 |
| Inside Elections | Tilt D | December 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D | December 5, 2022 |
| DDHQ | Lean D | December 6, 2022 |
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Raphael Warnock (D) | Herschel Walker (R) | Undecided | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | November 11 – December 4, 2022 | December 5, 2022 | 51.0% | 47.3% | 1.5% | Warnock +3.7 |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 26 – December 5, 2022 | December 5, 2022 | 51.1% | 47.2% | 2.1% | Warnock +3.9 |
| 270ToWin | November 22 – December 5, 2022 | December 5, 2022 | 51.0% | 47.7% | 1.5% | Warnock +3.3 |
| Average | 51.0% | 47.4% | 1.7% | Warnock +3.6 | ||
Graphical summary
View source data.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Raphael Warnock (D) | Herschel Walker (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 3–5, 2022 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 47% | – | 2% |
| Data for Progress (D) | December 1–5, 2022 | 1,229 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 49% | – | – |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | December 4, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 48% | – | 1% |
| Landmark Communications | December 4, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 47% | – | 1% |
| Mitchell Research | December 4, 2022 | 625 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 45% | – | 5% |
| Patriot Polling | November 30 – December 2, 2022 | 818 (RV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | 4% |
| Emerson College | November 28–30, 2022 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 49% | – | – |
| 49% | 47% | – | 4% | ||||
| SurveyUSA | November 26–30, 2022 | 1,214 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 47% | – | 3% |
| 50% | 46% | – | 4% | ||||
| CNN/SSRS | November 25–29, 2022 | 1,886 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 44% | 5% | – |
| 1,184 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 48% | 1% | – | ||
| UMass Lowell/YouGov | November 18–28, 2022 | 1,300 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 46% | – | 2% |
| Phillips Academy | November 26–27, 2022 | 862 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 48% | – | 5% |
| Frederick Polls (D) | November 23–26, 2022 | 939 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 50% | – | – |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | November 11–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 47% | – | 2% |
Results
Warnock won Washington and Baldwin counties in the runoff, after having lost them in the general election, although he did win them in 2020.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Raphael Warnock (incumbent) | 1,820,633 | 51.40% | +0.36% | |
| Republican | Herschel Walker | 1,721,244 | 48.60% | −0.36% | |
| Total votes | 3,541,877 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By congressional district
Despite losing the state, Walker won nine of 14 congressional districts.
| District | Warnock | Walker | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 44% | 56% | Buddy Carter |
| 2nd | 56% | 44% | Sanford Bishop |
| 3rd | 36% | 64% | Drew Ferguson |
| 4th | 82% | 18% | Hank Johnson |
| 5th | 87% | 13% | Nikema Williams |
| 6th | 44% | 56% | Lucy McBath (117th Congress) |
| Rich McCormick (118th Congress) | |||
| 7th | 66% | 34% | Carolyn Bourdeaux (117th Congress) |
| Lucy McBath (118th Congress) | |||
| 8th | 35% | 65% | Austin Scott |
| 9th | 31% | 69% | Andrew Clyde |
| 10th | 39% | 61% | Jody Hice (117th Congress) |
| Mike Collins (118th Congress) | |||
| 11th | 43% | 57% | Barry Loudermilk |
| 12th | 44% | 56% | Rick Allen |
| 13th | 84% | 16% | David Scott |
| 14th | 32% | 68% | Marjorie Taylor Greene |
See also
- 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election
- 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Georgia
- 2022 United States Senate elections
- 2022 Georgia state elections
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