2022 United States Senate election in Illinois

The 2022 United States Senate election in Illinois was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Illinois.

2022 United States Senate election in Illinois

← 2016
November 8, 2022
2028 →
 
Nominee Tammy Duckworth Kathy Salvi
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 2,329,136 1,701,055
Percentage 56.82% 41.50%

Duckworth:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Salvi:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%

U.S. senator before election

Tammy Duckworth
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Tammy Duckworth
Democratic

Incumbent Democratic senator Tammy Duckworth was re-elected for a second term against former U.S. House of Representatives candidate Kathy Salvi, the Republican nominee, winning by a margin of 15.3%, 0.2% more than her 2016 margin. Duckworth became the first woman ever to be re-elected for a second term in the state's history. This was the first Illinois U.S. Senate election where both major party candidates were female.

Salvi flipped seven counties—Calhoun, McDonough, Knox, Gallatin, Pulaski, Alexander, and Madison—that had voted for Duckworth in 2016. On the other hand, Duckworth won Kendall, McLean, Peoria, and Winnebago, which had all voted against her in 2016. With Duckworth's victory, this was the first time since 1986 that a Class 3 Illinois senator was re-elected to a successive six-year term, and the first time since 1992 that any party won the seat consecutively.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Tammy Duckworth, incumbent U.S. senator

Endorsements

Tammy Duckworth

Organizations

  • EMILY's List
  • End Citizens United
  • Feminist Majority PAC
  • Giffords
  • Illinois AFL–CIO
  • Illinois National Organization for Women
  • International Union of Operating Engineers Local 150
  • Jewish Dems
  • League of Conservation Voters
  • Let America Vote
  • NARAL Pro-Choice America
  • Natural Resources Defense Council
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund
  • Population Connection Action Fund
  • Women's Political Committee

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tammy Duckworth (incumbent) 856,720 100.0%
Total votes 856,720 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Kathy Salvi, attorney, candidate for Illinois's 8th congressional district in 2006, and wife of former state representative Al Salvi

Eliminated in primary

  • Casey Chlebek, real estate agent
  • Matthew Dubiel, owner of WCKG
  • Peggy Hubbard, former police officer, U.S. Navy veteran, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020
  • Bobby Piton, investor and activist
  • Jimmy Lee Tillman, founder of New Martin Luther King Republicans, son of former Chicago alderman Dorothy Tillman, and nominee for Illinois's 1st congressional district in 2014 and 2018
  • Anthony Williams

Disqualified

  • Tim Arview, insurance agent
  • Maryann Mahlen
  • Allison Salinas, activist

Declined

  • Tom Demmer, state representative (ran for Illinois treasurer)
  • Adam Kinzinger, U.S. representative for Illinois's 16th congressional district

Endorsements

Bobby Piton

Individuals

Kathy Salvi

State legislators

  • Jeanne Ives, former state representative from the 42nd district (2013–2019)

Newspapers

  • Chicago Tribune (Republican primary only)
  • Daily Herald

Organizations

  • Barrington Township Republican Organization
  • Bremen Township Republican Organization
  • Evanston Township GOP
  • Homer Township Republicans
  • Illinois Citizens for Life
  • Illinois Family Action
  • Illinois Federation for Right to Life
  • Lake County Republican Party
  • McHenry County GOPAC
  • McHenry County ProLife Victory PAC
  • New Trier GOP
  • Niles Township Republicans
  • Northfield Township Republican Organization
  • Republicans of Wheeling Township
  • Sangamon County GOP
  • Schaumburg Township Republican Organization
  • Winfield Township Republicans

Polling

Graphical summary

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Casey
Chlebek
Matthew
Dubiel
Peggy
Hubbard
Bobby
Piton
Kathy
Salvi
Jimmy Lee
Tillman
Anthony
Williams
Other
Margin
Real Clear Politics June 6–13, 2022 June 15, 2022 3.5% 5.5% 14.0% 4.0% 12.5% 1.5% 2.0% 57.0% Hubbard +1.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Chlebek
Matthew
Dubiel
Peggy
Hubbard
Maryann
Mahlen
Bobby
Piton
Kathy
Salvi
Jimmy Lee
Tillman
Anthony
Williams
Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R) June 24, 2022 518 (LV) ± 4.4% 1% 6% 11% 2% 3% 20% 2% 0% 53%
The Trafalgar Group (R) June 10–13, 2022 1,075 (LV) ± 2.9% 6% 4% 18% 6% 15% 2% 1% 49%
Ogden & Fry (R) June 11–12, 2022 662 (LV) ± 3.9% 1% 4% 9% 2% 4% 17% 1% 1% 62%
Public Policy Polling (D) June 6–7, 2022 677 (LV) ± 3.8% 1% 7% 10% 2% 10% 1% 3% 66%
Emerson College May 6–8, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 4% 4% 7% 6% 5% 1% 1% 72%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kathy Salvi 216,007 30.23%
Republican Peggy Hubbard 177,180 24.79%
Republican Matthew "Matt" Dubiel 90,538 12.67%
Republican Casey Chlebek 76,213 10.66%
Republican Robert "Bobby" Piton 65,461 9.16%
Republican Anthony W. Williams 52,890 7.40%
Republican Jimmy Lee Tillman II 36,342 5.09%
Total votes 714,631 100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Solid D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections Solid D April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D March 1, 2022
Politico Solid D April 1, 2022
RCP Likely D October 26, 2022
Fox News Solid D May 12, 2022
DDHQ Solid D July 20, 2022
538 Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist Safe D September 7, 2022

Endorsements

Tammy Duckworth (D)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

  • Dick Durbin, U.S. senator from Illinois (1997–present) and Senate Majority Whip (2021–2025)

Labor unions

  • United Mine Workers

Organizations

  • EMILY's List
  • End Citizens United
  • Feminist Majority PAC
  • Giffords
  • Illinois AFL–CIO
  • International Union of Operating Engineers Local 150
  • Jewish Dems
  • League of Conservation Voters
  • Let America Vote
  • NARAL Pro-Choice America
  • Natural Resources Defense Council
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund
  • Population Connection Action Fund
  • Sierra Club
  • VoteVets.org
  • Women's Political Committee

Newspapers

  • Chicago Tribune
  • Daily Herald
Kathy Salvi (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

State legislators

  • Jeanne Ives, former state representative from the 42nd district (2013–2019)

Local officials

  • Richard Irvin, former mayor of Aurora

Newspapers

  • The Arab Daily News

Organizations

  • Barrington Township Republican Organization
  • Bremen Township Republican Organization
  • Evanston Township GOP
  • Homer Township Republicans
  • Huck PAC
  • Illinois Citizens for Life
  • Illinois Family Action
  • Illinois Federation for Right to Life
  • Illinois Fraternal Order of Police
  • Lake County Republican Party
  • McHenry County GOPAC
  • McHenry County ProLife Victory PAC
  • Moms for America Action
  • New Trier GOP
  • Niles Township Republicans
  • Northfield Township Republican Organization
  • Republicans of Wheeling Township
  • Sangamon County GOP
  • Schaumburg Township Republican Organization
  • United Hellenic Voters of America
  • Winfield Township Republicans

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Tammy
Duckworth (D)
Kathy
Salvi (R)
Undecided
Margin
FiveThirtyEight August 25 – November 8, 2022 November 8, 2022 55.5% 40.2% 4.3% Duckworth +15.3
270towin October 14 – November 7, 2022 November 8, 2022 51.6% 36.4% 12.0% Duckworth +15.2
Average 53.6% 38.3% 8.1% Duckworth +15.3

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tammy
Duckworth (D)
Kathy
Salvi (R)
Other Undecided
Research Co. November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 55% 38% 2% 5%
Civiqs October 22–25, 2022 659 (LV) ± 4.3% 56% 40% 2% 2%
Emerson College October 20–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 39% 3% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D) October 10–11, 2022 770 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 36% 5% 9%
Research America October 5–11, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 29% 10% 14%
Emerson College September 21–23, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 31% 4% 16%
Victory Geek (D) August 25–28, 2022 512 (LV) ± 4.3% 58% 35% 7%
Victory Research (R) July 17–19, 2022 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 43% 34% 2% 20%
Hypothetical polling

Tammy Duckworth vs. generic opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tammy
Duckworth (D)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Victory Research (R) July 17–19, 2022 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 44% 36% 20%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Illinois
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Tammy Duckworth (incumbent) 2,329,136 56.82% +1.96%
Republican Kathy Salvi 1,701,055 41.50% +1.72%
Libertarian Bill Redpath 68,671 1.68% −1.53%
Write-in 34 0.0% -0.01%
Total votes 4,098,896 100.0%
Democratic hold

By county

2022 United States Senate election in Illinois (by county)
County Tammy Duckworth

Democratic

Kathy Salvi

Republican

Various candidates

Other parties

Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Adams 6,244 25.04% 18,341 73.55% 351 1.41% -12,097 -48.51% 24,936
Alexander 764 44.76% 930 54.48% 13 0.76% -166 -9.72% 1,707
Bond 2,061 32.24% 4,193 65.59% 139 2.17% -2,132 -33.35% 6,393
Boone 7,022 40.09% 10,157 57.98% 338 1.93% -3,135 -17.89% 17,517
Brown 394 20.77% 1,475 77.75% 28 1.48% -1,081 -56.98% 1,897
Bureau 5,028 39.68% 7,429 58.63% 213 1.68% -2,401 -18.95% 12,670
Calhoun 789 33.85% 1,485 63.71% 57 2.45% -696 -29.86% 2,331
Carroll 2,039 34.25% 3,804 63.90% 110 1.85% -1,765 -29.65% 5,953
Cass 1,260 32.04% 2,581 65.64% 91 2.31% -1,321 -33.60% 3,932
Champaign 40,756 60.12% 25,791 38.04% 1,247 1.84% 14,965 22.08% 67,794
Christian 3,865 31.13% 8,222 66.22% 330 2.66% -4,357 -35.09% 12,417
Clark 1,480 23.43% 4,745 75.13% 91 1.44% -3,265 -51.70% 6,316
Clay 1,082 18.86% 4,554 79.38% 101 1.76% -3,472 -60.52% 5,737
Clinton 3,856 26.10% 10,662 72.17% 255 1.73% -6,806 -46.07% 14,773
Coles 5,924 35.93% 10,270 62.29% 293 1.78% -4,346 -26.36% 16,487
Cook 1,080,175 74.91% 341,447 23.68% 20,300 1.41% 738,728 51.23% 1,441,922
Crawford 1,685 24.27% 5,100 73.46% 158 2.28% -3,415 -49.19% 6,943
Cumberland 1,077 22.61% 3,607 75.73% 79 1.66% -2,530 -53.12% 4,763
DeKalb 17,688 51.27% 16,063 46.56% 747 2.17% 1,625 4.71% 34,498
DeWitt 1,784 29.34% 4,152 68.29% 144 2.37% -2,638 -38.95% 6,080
Douglas 1,801 27.92% 4,529 70.21% 121 1.88% -2,728 -42.29% 6,451
DuPage 194,606 56.95% 141,316 41.35% 5,818 1.70% 53,290 15.60% 341,740
Edgar 1,583 26.16% 4,361 72.06% 108 1.78% -2,778 -45.90% 6,052
Edwards 448 16.10% 2,280 81.93% 55 1.98% -1,832 -65.83% 2,783
Effingham 3,190 20.14% 12,409 78.33% 293 1.53% -9,219 -58.19% 15,892
Fayette 1,678 20.96% 6,190 77.33% 137 1.71% -4,512 -56.37% 8,005
Ford 1,386 27.00% 3,621 70.53% 127 2.47% -2,235 -43.53% 5,134
Franklin 3,908 28.57% 9,545 69.77% 228 1.67% -5,637 -41.20% 13,681
Fulton 5,685 43.71% 7,009 53.89% 313 2.41% -1,324 -10.18% 13,007
Gallatin 753 34.78% 1,373 63.42% 39 1.80% -620 -28.64% 2,165
Greene 1,144 25.29% 3,297 72.89% 82 1.81% -2,153 -47.60% 4,523
Grundy 7,685 39.67% 11,266 58.16% 419 2.16% -3,581 -18.49% 19,370
Hamilton 844 24.84% 2,502 73.63% 52 1.53% -1,658 -48.79% 3,398
Hancock 1,875 26.03% 5,177 71.88% 150 2.08% -3,302 -45.85% 7,202
Hardin 402 24.36% 1,220 73.94% 28 1.70% -818 -49.58% 1,650
Henderson 1,020 35.06% 1,813 62.32% 76 2.61% -793 -27.26% 2,909
Henry 7,430 37.81% 11,833 60.21% 389 1.98% -4,403 -22.40% 19,652
Iroquois 2,222 21.29% 8,018 76.82% 198 1.90% -5,796 -55.53% 10,438
Jackson 9,109 53.30% 7,693 45.02% 287 1.68% 1,416 8.28% 17,089
Jasper 860 18.80% 3,645 79.67% 70 1.53% -2,785 -60.87% 4,575
Jefferson 3,731 28.45% 9,163 69.86% 222 1.69% -5,432 -41.41% 13,116
Jersey 2,648 28.60% 6,402 69.14% 210 2.27% -3,754 -40.54% 9,260
Jo Daviess 3,943 41.66% 5,355 56.58% 167 1.76% -1,412 -14.92% 9,465
Johnson 1,052 21.86% 3,690 76.67% 71 1.48% -2,638 -54.81% 4,813
Kane 86,477 54.75% 68,771 43.54% 2,693 1.71% 17,706 11.21% 157,941
Kankakee 14,819 42.21% 19,522 55.61% 767 2.18% -4,703 -13.40% 35,108
Kendall 23,151 51.15% 21,294 47.04% 820 1.81% 1,857 4.11% 45,265
Knox 8,072 45.95% 9,130 51.98% 364 2.07% -1,058 -6.03% 17,566
Lake 138,584 60.41% 87,529 38.15% 3,300 1.44% 51,055 22.26% 229,413
LaSalle 18,076 45.67% 20,804 52.56% 698 1.76% -2,728 -6.89% 39,578
Lawrence 1,178 23.44% 3,745 74.53% 102 2.03% -2,567 -51.09% 5,025
Lee 4,685 39.04% 7,113 59.27% 204 1.70% -2,428 -20.23% 12,002
Livingston 3,554 27.77% 9,020 70.48% 224 1.75% -5,466 -42.71% 12,798
Logan 2,887 29.86% 6,508 67.31% 273 2.82% -3,621 -37.45% 9,668
Macon 14,573 41.35% 20,042 56.87% 628 1.78% -5,469 -15.52% 35,243
Macoupin 6,377 35.93% 11,025 62.12% 346 1.95% -4,648 -26.19% 17,748
Madison 44,273 45.17% 51,858 52.91% 1,883 1.92% -7,585 -7.74% 98,014
Marion 3,407 26.41% 9,272 71.89% 219 1.70% -5,865 -45.48% 12,898
Marshall 1,641 34.63% 2,997 63.25% 100 2.11% -1,356 -28.62% 4,738
Mason 1,739 35.01% 3,135 63.12% 93 1.87% -1,396 -28.11% 4,967
Massac 1,317 27.09% 3,474 71.45% 71 1.46% -2,157 -44.36% 4,862
McDonough 3,793 40.41% 5,434 57.89% 159 1.69% -1,641 -17.48% 9,386
McHenry 56,054 48.18% 57,974 49.83% 2,322 1.99% -1,920 -1.65% 116,350
McLean 32,188 49.65% 31,353 48.36% 1,286 1.98% 835 1.29% 64,827
Menard 1,655 31.32% 3,469 65.65% 160 3.03% -1,814 -34.33% 5,284
Mercer 2,559 38.01% 3,945 58.60% 228 3.39% -1,386 -20.59% 6,732
Monroe 5,197 33.17% 10,240 65.35% 233 1.49% -5,043 -32.18% 15,670
Montgomery 3,407 32.17% 6,954 65.67% 228 2.15% -3,547 -33.50% 10,589
Morgan 3,656 33.15% 7,120 64.57% 251 2.28% -3,464 -31.42% 11,027
Moultrie 1,448 27.58% 3,694 70.36% 108 2.06% -2,246 -42.78% 5,250
Ogle 6,920 35.67% 12,105 62.39% 377 1.94% -5,185 -26.72% 19,402
Peoria 30,889 52.32% 27,071 45.86% 1,075 1.82% 3,818 6.46% 59,035
Perry 2,433 31.36% 5,205 67.08% 121 1.56% -2,772 -35.72% 7,759
Piatt 2,783 36.55% 4,657 61.16% 175 2.30% -1,874 -24.61% 7,615
Pike 1,308 21.71% 4,611 76.54% 105 1.74% -3,303 -54.83% 6,024
Pope 357 21.69% 1,265 76.85% 24 1.46% -908 -55.16% 1,646
Pulaski 730 36.76% 1,231 61.98% 25 1.26% -501 -25.22% 1,986
Putnam 1,233 44.92% 1,464 53.33% 48 1.75% -231 -8.41% 2,745
Randolph 3,527 31.14% 7,611 67.19% 189 1.67% -4,084 -36.05% 11,327
Richland 1,462 23.56% 4,608 74.26% 135 2.18% -3,146 -50.70% 6,205
Rock Island 26,469 55.18% 20,548 42.83% 955 1.99% 5,921 12.35% 47,972
Saline 2,358 29.30% 5,554 69.02% 135 1.68% -3,196 -39.72% 8,047
Sangamon 38,056 47.77% 39,389 49.44% 2,221 2.79% -1,333 -1.67% 79,666
Schuyler 1,007 32.25% 2,027 64.93% 88 2.82% -1,020 -32.68% 3,122
Scott 465 22.32% 1,588 76.24% 30 1.44% -1,123 -53.92% 2,083
Shelby 2,304 23.83% 7,177 74.24% 186 1.92% -4,873 -50.41% 9,667
St. Clair 47,634 53.76% 39,335 44.39% 1,634 1.84% 8,299 9.37% 88,603
Stark 742 32.12% 1,499 64.89% 69 2.99% -757 -32.77% 2,310
Stephenson 6,914 41.54% 9,393 56.43% 337 2.02% -2,479 -14.89% 16,644
Tazewell 19,021 37.13% 31,135 60.78% 1,168 2.08% -12,114 -23.65% 51,324
Union 2,319 33.30% 4,514 64.81% 132 1.90% -2,195 -31.51% 6,965
Vermilion 7,445 33.90% 14,135 64.36% 382 1.74% -6,690 -30.46% 21,964
Wabash 899 22.26% 3,083 76.33% 57 1.41% -2,184 -54.07% 4,039
Warren 2,198 37.55% 3,545 60.56% 111 1.90% -1,347 -23.01% 5,854
Washington 1,425 23.90% 4,424 74.19% 114 1.91% -2,999 -50.29% 5,963
Wayne 1,056 15.61% 5,610 82.93% 99 1.46% -4,554 -67.32% 6,765
White 1,275 22.45% 4,316 76.00% 88 1.55% -3,041 -53.55% 5,679
Whiteside 8,772 43.98% 10,792 54.11% 380 1.91% -2,020 -10.13% 19,944
Will 122,189 52.37% 107,581 46.11% 3,551 1.52% 14,608 6.26% 233,321
Williamson 8,067 32.12% 16,665 66.36% 380 1.51% -8,598 -34.24% 25,112
Winnebago 43,384 49.30% 42,972 48.83% 1,646 1.87% 412 0.47% 88,002
Woodford 4,752 28.16% 11,808 69.98% 313 1.86% -7,056 -41.82% 16,873
Totals 2,329,136 56.82% 1,701,055 41.50% 68,705 1.68% 628,081 15.32% 4,098,896

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Alexander (largest city: Cairo)
  • Calhoun (largest city: Hardin)
  • Gallatin (largest city: Shawneetown)
  • Knox (largest city: Galesburg)
  • Madison (largest city: Granite City)
  • McDonough (largest city: Macomb)
  • Pulaski (largest city: Mounds)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Kendall (largest city: Oswego)
  • McLean (largest city: Bloomington)
  • Peoria (largest city: Peoria)
  • Winnebago (largest city: Rockford)

By congressional district

Duckworth won 14 of 17 congressional districts.

District Duckworth Salvi Representative
1st 69% 29% Bobby Rush (117th Congress)
Jonathan Jackson (118th Congress)
2nd 68% 30% Robin Kelly
3rd 69% 29% Marie Newman (117th Congress)
Delia Ramirez (118th Congress)
4th 70% 28% Chuy García
5th 70% 29% Mike Quigley
6th 55% 43% Sean Casten
7th 86% 13% Danny Davis
8th 56% 42% Raja Krishnamoorthi
9th 72% 27% Jan Schakowsky
10th 61% 37% Brad Schneider
11th 56% 42% Bill Foster
12th 30% 68% Mike Bost
13th 56% 42% Nikki Budzinski
14th 54% 44% Lauren Underwood
15th 32% 66% Mary Miller
16th 39% 60% Darin LaHood
17th 52% 45% Cheri Bustos (117th Congress)
Eric Sorensen (118th Congress)

See also

  • 2022 United States Senate elections

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