The 2024 New Brunswick general election was held on October 21, 2024, where 49 members were elected to the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick. It was formally called upon the dissolution of the 60th New Brunswick Legislature on September 19, 2024.
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49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick 25 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 66.1% ( 0.04 pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick (PC) government, led by Premier Blaine Higgs since 2018, sought re-election to a third consecutive term. The party was defeated by the New Brunswick Liberal Association, led by Susan Holt, with them set to form a majority government in a landslide victory. Higgs was defeated in his own riding of Quispamsis, the first time since 1987 that a sitting New Brunswick Premier lost in their own riding. Upon taking office, Holt became the first woman premier of New Brunswick.
2023 redistribution
The Electoral Boundaries and Representation Commission is obliged after every second general election to investigate and report whether boundary adjustments are required to the Province's constituencies. It was required to ensure that revised constituencies have populations that fall within 25% of the determined electoral quotient, and it made its report with recommendations in March 2023.
Objections were raised as to the alignments proposed for Shediac-Cap-Acadie and Tantramar, specifically with respect to the eastern portion of Cap-Acadie (a francophone-majority town) having been placed in the latter, and special legislation was passed to allow a variance in the proposed boundaries.
The following changes took effect:
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- from parts of Moncton East, Shediac Bay-Dieppe, Kent South and Moncton Northwest.
- from parts of Tracadie-Sheila, Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore, Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou and Caraquet.
Of the 49 constituencies, 17 have Francophone majorities:
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Background
The Legislative Assembly Act was amended in 2017 to provide that an election should be held every four years on the third Monday in October; the election still must be held on a Monday if called sooner.
Minor party deregistrations and registrations
On October 31, 2020, after failing to nominate ten candidates in the 2020 election, the KISS NB was deregistered.
On March 30, 2022, Kris Austin and Michelle Conroy announced their departures from the People's Alliance to join the Progressive Conservatives explaining they believed they could better represent their ridings from within government. Premier and Progressive Conservative leader Blaine Higgs reiterated the party's support for official bilingualism when questioned about the People's Alliance's previous stances on the issue which were criticized by the Acadian Society of New Brunswick. The Peoples Alliance was deregistered on March 31, 2022, but re-registered by interim leader Rick DeSaulniers in May 2022.
The Libertarian Party of New Brunswick was registered in July 2024, and put forward candidates in 18 ridings.
In September 2024, the Social Justice Party of New Brunswick and the Consensus NB Party were created, however both failed to nominate at least 10 candidates as required to maintain party status and each will be deregistered following the 2024 election.
Current standings
| Affiliation | Assembly members | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 election results | At dissolution | ||
| Progressive Conservative | 27 | 25 | |
| Liberal | 17 | 16 | |
| Green | 3 | 3 | |
| People's Alliance | 2 | 0 | |
| Independent | 0 | 1 | |
| Vacant | 4 | ||
| Total members | 49 | 45 | |
| Total seats | 49 | 49 | |
Summary of seat changes
| Changes in seats held (2020–present) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seat | Before | Change | |||||
| Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party | |
| Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin | August 17, 2021 | Jake Stewart | █ PC | Resigned to run in Miramichi—Grand Lake in the 2021 federal election (Stewart was elected). | June 20, 2022 | Mike Dawson | █ PC |
| Miramichi Bay-Neguac | Lisa Harris | █ Liberal | Réjean Savoie | █ PC | |||
| Fredericton-Grand Lake | March 30, 2022 | Kris Austin | █ People's Allnc. | Changed affiliation, resigning as People's Alliance leader and announcing his intention to deregister the party. | █ PC | ||
| Miramichi | Michelle Conroy | █ People's Allnc. | Changed affiliation. | █ PC | |||
| Fredericton West-Hanwell | October 16, 2022 | Dominic Cardy | █ PC | Expelled from the PC caucus having resigned his ministerial role. | █ Independent | ||
| Dieppe | October 21, 2022 | Roger Melanson | █ Liberal | Resigned to head to the private sector. | April 24, 2023 | Richard Losier | █ Liberal |
| Restigouche-Chaleur | November 27, 2022 | Daniel Guitard | █ Liberal | Resigned to run for Mayor of Belle-Baie in 2022 elections; elected. | Marco LeBlanc | █ Liberal | |
| Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore | November 27, 2022 | Denis Landry | █ Liberal | Resigned to run for Mayor of Hautes-Terres in 2022 elections; elected. | Susan Holt | █ Liberal | |
| Saint John Harbour | February 8, 2024 | Arlene Dunn | █ PC | Resigned. | |||
| Portland-Simonds | April 30, 2024 | Trevor Holder | █ PC | Resigned. | |||
| Hampton | April 30, 2024 | Gary Crossman | █ PC | Resigned. | |||
| Albert | June 20, 2024 | Mike Holland | █ PC | Resigned (after final legislative session). | |||
Issues
Education
New Brunswick has been experiencing major education shortcomings during the 2020s, with the province experiencing massive shortages in teachers and school psychologists, along with school bus drivers in some areas. Schools throughout the province have also reported exceptionally low child literacy rates, with a 2021–22 report concluding that literacy standards were not met by around 40% of the province's fourth grade students, the lowest it has been in 18 years. Kelly Lamrock, the New Brunswick Child and Youth advocate, further reported that child literacy rates had declined by 29% over the past decade. After being released in November 2023, the 2022–23 report for fourth grade student literacy rates showed further decline, with 43.4% scoring "below appropriate achievement" after being assessed for English reading.
In late 2023, the New Brunswick Teachers' Association (NBTA) called for the provincial government to address concerns raised from an internal survey of its members. Among the concerns noted were "understaffed classrooms and overcrowded buildings, with uncertified community members, people without a bachelor of education, sometimes taking the place of actual teachers because of shortages." Many of the 2,916 survey participants reported teaching in overcrowded and poorly ventilated schools, with half also experiencing verbal and physical abuse. Those who called for these issues to be addressed included Liberal leader Susan Holt as well as Kevin Arseneau, a Green MLA for Kent North.
In May 2024, the NBTA projected over 1,200 anglophone teachers that will be eligible for retirement within the next five years, with Peter Lagacy, the NBTA president, adding that this is "an alarming number when we look at how many we have coming into the system."
Staff shortages
New Brunswick's public school system has been notably experiencing shortages in teachers, school psychologists and, in certain areas, bus drivers.
While proposing changes for Policy 713, Higgs proposed for "extra counsellors, extra support." According to figures from November 2023, however, the number of school psychologists dropped; out of a total of 28 "full-time equivalent" school psychologist positions filled throughout the province, only six served the province's English school system of approximately 73,000 students.
School busing shortcomings
An audit which took place between January and February in 2024 concluded that the provincial Department of Education "lacks oversight on school bus safety and driver requirements." Using a sample size of 65 bus drivers out of a total of around 1,300, the audit reported that 46% of New Brunswick's school bus drivers had ineligible licensing requirements. Additionally, 20% were hired without checking for criminal records, and further percentages of bus drivers had no evidence of bus training (37%) and first aid training (42%). The audit also conducted vehicle inspections on a number of buses, with 45% having deficiencies. Francine Landry, the Liberal MLA for Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston, criticized the provincial government led by Higgs for "touting their record on keeping children safe, while failing to fulfil the most basic requirements for doing so." Education Minister Bill Hogan responded, saying that "clearly there's some work to be done in that area in making sure that they're inspected on time."
Policy 713
Policy 713, a provincial education policy which sets minimum requirements for public schools and districts in the province related to individuals identifying and perceived as LGBTQIA2S+, became the subject of massive debate following a 2023 decision made to review and ultimately revise the policy by the Progressive Conservative-led government under Higgs and Bill Hogan, the Minister of Education and Early Childhood Development. In the aftermath of its revision, a third of the Progressive Conservative caucus members elected under Higgs have either resigned or announced that they would not seek re-election, with some criticizing Higgs' leadership and highlighting a growing disconnect between their personal beliefs and the party's stance. The revision has led to the government becoming involved in legal disputes with its education departments as well as with the Canadian Civil Liberties Association, who filed a lawsuit against the government, citing violations against the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms and New Brunswick's human rights and education acts. The issue has been the subject of widespread coverage and dispute, and has been covered by major news publications including The Washington Post, The New York Times, and BBC.
Lindsay Jones of The Globe And Mail called the Policy 713 dispute as having "emerged as perhaps the key issue in the next election."
Healthcare
Healthcare in New Brunswick has been described as being in a "state of chaos," with hospitals throughout the province experiencing an overcapacity of patients, excessively long waiting times, and health workers experiencing burnout. During a February 2023 press conference, Blaine Higgs stated that "if every doctor in our province took two or three more patients a week, we wouldn't have a backlog." In an Angus Reid survey that recorded Canadians' satisfaction with how their province is dealing with healthcare, New Brunswick recorded the largest drop in satisfaction rate compared to rates surveyed at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, with a rate of just 11 percent, compared to a previous rate of 42 percent.
Following overcrowding at the Dr. Everett Chalmers Regional Hospital emergency room at the start of 2024, Green leader David Coon called for "immediate changes" as well as for the government to increase funding.
According to Rob McKee, the Liberal health critic, 160,000 people in New Brunswick, or roughly 20 percent of the population, do not have a family doctor or nurse practitioner as of late May 2024. The numbers were disputed by Bruce Fitch, the Minister of Health.
During the final session of the 60th legislature held on June 7, 2024, Higgs and Holt clashed during question period; one of the topics included the funding spent on travel nurses, amounting to nearly CA$174 million, which was revealed to have been "partly mismanaged" according to a report by the auditor general.
Both the Liberal and Green parties made promises to re-launch research efforts into the province's mysterious neurological disease upon forming majority government.
Housing
Since 2019, housing prices have nearly doubled in New Brunswick. In home prices, the province marked the highest percentage of increases compared to the rest of the Canadian provinces and territories. New Brunswick has also seen major increases in homelessness within its communities and cities, with Fredericton, Saint John, and Moncton collectively experiencing an 80% increase in homelessness between 2021 and 2023. Housing critics have claimed that "landlords have almost all the power" in the province.
Both the Liberal and Green parties have attempted to implement rent regulation in the province, with the right to housing being highlighted by the Green Party legislative members, whether to consider it a human right or to push for rural area housing rights. During a legislative session on November 20, 2020, held shortly after the opening of the 60th legislature, Green Party leader David Coon introduced Bill 18, which would have made changes to the Residential Tenancies Act, including a cap on annual rent increases as well as ensuring that "rent can only be raised once a year for a tenant and not in their first year." At the time, New Brunswick was the only province that allowed for landlords to make multiple increases on rent each year. Coon added that "we need to ensure that tenants who cannot afford large increases in their rents are not left out in the cold without housing this winter." After six months of debate, the bill was ultimately rejected after all Progressive Conservative and People's Alliance MLAs unanimously voted against it. The New Brunswick Coalition for Tenants Rights, who had criticized the proposed bill for "not going far enough," expressed disappointment in the government decision.
In March 2022, the government introduced a temporary 3.8% rent cap, set to expire at the end of the year. Opposition parties soon afterwards called for an extension on this cap, while it was opposed by the government. Coon, saying that the government has not "gone far enough to eliminate loopholes that allow landlords to get around the government's temporary cap on rent increases," also made proposals to the provincial bill to address loopholes in this legislation, but faced rejection from the majority Progressive Conservatives.
In December 2023, St. Stephen mayor Allan MacEachern declared a state of emergency due to an increase in homelessness after the recent death of a homeless person in the municipality; the declaration also accused the provincial government of failing to offer housing and social services. Public Safety Minister Kris Austin terminated the declaration soon afterwards, likening it to car accidents by saying that "people die all the time in car accidents, and we do not declare state of emergencies for that." Austin also blamed "leftist agendas that are degrading our society" as well as the federal government for the issue.
In June 2024, the provincial government quietly made changes to its renting policies, allowing for landlords to make annual rent increases for up to 4.7% for the next year starting in July 2024; this increase exceeds the current inflation rate. Coon criticized this change, calling out Higgs as "caving to the lobbying of large corporate property owners."
Out-of-province activities
New Brunswick, unlike most provinces, allows political party funding from non-residents. In January 2024, Liberal and Green leaders Holt and Coon both made a promise to forbid New Brunswick political party donations from out-of-province sources in response to Higgs going to Alberta and British Columbia on a fundraising trip for his party.
In August 2024, right-leaning lobbyist group Campaign Life Coalition mailed flyers to 160,000 homes in New Brunswick, making the accusation that schools in the province are "pushing transgenderism". Both Liberal and Green leaders condemned the flyers, with Higgs additionally having been urged to do so as well.
Campaign
Candidates by Party
| Party | Leader | Candidates | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Conservative | Blaine Higgs | 49 | |
| Liberal | Susan Holt | 49 | |
| Green | David Coon | 46 | |
| New Democratic | Alex White | 23 | |
| Libertarian | Keith Tays | 18 | |
| People's Alliance | Rick DeSaulniers | 13 | |
| Independent | 4 | ||
| Consensus NB | Len O'Brien | 3 | |
| Social Justice | Tanya Roberts | 2 | |
| Number of nominated candidates to appear on the ballot | Constituencies | Party | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PC | Lib | Grn | NDP | Ltn | PANB | Ind | CNB | SJP | Totals | ||
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||||||
| 3 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 33 | |||||
| 4 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 72 | ||
| 5 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 55 | |
| 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 36 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | ||
| Total | 49 | 49 | 49 | 46 | 23 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 207 |
Progressive Conservative
In November 2023, the Progressive Conservatives hired Steve Outhouse as its campaign manager. Outhouse had previously served as chief of staff and as director of communications for federal Conservative cabinet ministers, and served as campaign manager for the re-election of the United Conservative Party in the 2023 Alberta general election. In April 2024, Outhouse was also hired as principal secretary to Premier Blaine Higgs, which is a taxpayer-funded position that will earn up to CA$124,656 during the six-month contract. The contract drew criticism from Green leader David Coon, who estimated the position's pay band as being at a much lower rate of CA$150,000–175,000 annually, as well as from Liberal MLA and former Progressive Conservative Robert Gauvin, who stated that it was "unfair that New Brunswick taxpayers are paying him for that," believing that "this contract should be cut and the money should be reimbursed." Higgs defended the value of the contract by reading extensively from Outhouse's resumé and stating that he comes with, "an extensive degree of credentials and relevant experience to what we experience as a government."
Jacques Poitras of CBC News described the Progressive Conservative campaign under Outhouse's contract as adopting "a more pointed, aggressive style of advertising against the opposition Liberals." The campaign particularly attacked Susan Holt while "trying to link her to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's carbon tax and other policies." Jeff Carr, a Progressive Conservative MLA who previously announced that he would not be seeking candidacy in the election, criticized a post his party made targeting a 2014 quote by Holt regarding "closing some schools in the province." Carr stated that the post omitted important context "for political gain (misleading the electorate)," calling it "disappointing."
The Progressive Conservative party launched their re-election campaign at a Quispamsis church on September 19, 2024. Blaine Higgs received critical attention for telling a joke about a deceased Liberal voter at the end of his campaign launch speech, with Susan Holt describing it as "a complete lack of judgment on the premier's part". David Coon additionally criticized the joke, stating that "to call it a joke would suggest it was funny, and there was nothing funny about it".
The Progressive Conservative campaign has consisted of promoting its promise to lower the harmonized sales tax (HST) from 15% to 13%, and highlighting the fiscal surpluses under their government. The campaign has also promoted fears of an elected Liberal government taking the province "back into the red", referring to the consecutive deficits under the previous Liberal government, during which Susan Holt served as senior economic development advisor to then-Premier Brian Gallant.
The Progressive Conservatives released their campaign platform on October 12, 2024.
Liberal
Throughout the months leading up to the election, Liberal leader Susan Holt started distancing herself from Prime Minister Justin Trudeau amongst attacks from the Progressive Conservatives attempting to link them together throughout the decline in popularity for Trudeau. Holt stated that "the New Brunswick Liberal Party is a separate entity from the federal party the prime minister leads."
When asked by Brunswick News about her summer campaign plans, Holt shared plans of touring around the province and stopping by each riding, with 207 "touchpoints" with "festivals and celebrations," while also focusing on her home riding.
The Liberal party officially launched their election campaign in Fredericton on September 8, 2024.
The Liberals released their campaign platform on October 3, 2024. The platform's costing table was flagged by media and criticized by the Progressive Conservatives for a seeming mistake that resulted in counting a portion of HST revenue twice. The error suggests that instead of a net surplus of $549 million over five years, the platform's implementation would result in a net deficit of over $1 billion.
Greens
In late 2023, Green Party leader David Coon stated that his goal was to "elect as many Green MLAs as possible." Additionally, Coon proposed that he would be open to the idea of collaborating with the Liberals to prevent Higgs from remaining in power if an early election resulted in the PCs losing their majority. Coon's negotiation proposal reflected his stance from the 2018 election when he was willing to talk with both parties, prior to the Progressive Conservatives securing the backing from the People's Alliance.
Coon, like Holt, was also asked by Brunswick News about his campaign plans for the summer; he shared that he, along with his deputies, Kevin Arseneau and Megan Mitton, are going to be "fanning out across the province, launching new candidates' campaigns that haven't been launched yet, and attending festivals and events, and generally holding our own events as well." Coon said that the largest issues that all Green candidates have noticeably heard are healthcare, along with "affordability and affordable housing," adding that "People want to see change. They want to see change that's for the better, not change back." Coon also highlighted a lack in rural development in the province, mentioning that "there's plenty of talk about communities losing services" in rural areas.
The Green Party's fall campaign officially launched on September 18, 2024. During his campaign launch speech, Coon confirmed that he will have a "wish list" ready to bring into negotiations with other parties, in anticipation of the Green Party not forming government and no other party getting a majority of seats. Higgs has compared the Greens potentially providing confidence to a Liberal government to the "coalition" between the Liberal Party of Canada and the New Democratic Party at the federal level, despite the Liberal-NDP arrangement being a confidence and supply agreement and not a coalition as it's usually defined.
Debates
On May 28, 2024, a CUPE Local 1292-sponsored leaders' debate covering the topic of healthcare was aired on Rogers TV; Blaine Higgs, Susan Holt and David Coon were invited to participate, though Higgs declined to attend.
On September 25, 2024, a leaders' debate between Higgs, Holt, and Coon took place at the Capitol Theatre in Moncton. The debate was aired on CBC Television and was moderated by Clare MacKenzie and Jacques Poitras.
On October 9, 2024, a leaders' debate between Holt, Coon, and Alex White took place at the Tom Morrison Theatre at Fredericton High School. Higgs and Rick DeSaulniers were invited but declined to attend. The debate was aired on Rogers TV and moderated by Andrew Holland.
On October 11, 2024, a Forum "Women Count!" with the party leaders was organized by the NB Coalition for Equity Pay. Susan Holt, David Coon and Alex White were present. Higgs declined the invitation. They discussed women issues in the Province. The Forum was broadcast on Rogers TV.
On October 16, 2024, a leaders' roundtable was held at St. Thomas University in Fredericton, hosted by CTV Atlantic.
Opinion polls
| Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | PC | Liberal | Green | PA | NDP | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Election 2024 | October 21, 2024 | HTML | 35.04 | 48.24 | 13.76 | 0.87 | 1.30 | — | — | — | 13.20 |
| Forum Research | October 20, 2024 | 37.1 | 45.7 | 10.7 | 2.0 | 2.7 | ±3.0 pp | 2,428 | IVR | 8.6 | |
| Mainstreet Research | October 19, 2024 | 38 | 48 | 10 | 1 | - | ±3.6 pp | 724 | Smart IVR | 10 | |
| Mainstreet Research | October 3, 2024 | 37 | 44 | 14 | 2 | - | ±3.3 pp | 906 | Smart IVR | 7 | |
| Mainstreet Research | September 17, 2024 | 39 | 41 | 13 | 4 | - | ±4.0 pp | 609 | Smart IVR | 2 | |
| Narrative Research | August 17, 2024 | 33 | 44 | 17 | 1 | 4 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone | 11 | |
| Nanos Research | July 31, 2024 | 36 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 10 | ±4.7 pp | 447 | telephone/online | 0 | |
| Narrative Research | May 30, 2024 | 34 | 37 | 13 | 1 | 13 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone | 3 | |
| Narrative Research | February 22, 2024 | 34 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 8 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone | 6 | |
| Narrative Research | November 27, 2023 | 35 | 41 | 10 | 2 | 13 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone | 6 | |
| Narrative Research | August 21, 2023 | 36 | 38 | 16 | 1 | 8 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone | 2 | |
| Narrative Research | May 17, 2023 | 34 | 34 | 19 | 2 | 10 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone | 0 | |
| Narrative Research | February 25, 2023 | 37 | 35 | 17 | 2 | 9 | ±4.6 pp | 450 | telephone | 2 | |
| Leger | December 23, 2022 | 22 | 40 | 15 | 9 | 12 | ±4.4 pp | 500 | online | 18 | |
| Narrative Research | November 27, 2022 | 30 | 39 | 18 | 2 | 10 | ±4.0 pp | 611 | telephone | 9 | |
| Narrative Research | August 24, 2022 | 30 | 41 | 14 | 5 | 11 | ±4.2 pp | 525 | telephone | 11 | |
| Susan Holt is elected leader of the Liberal Party (August 6, 2022) | |||||||||||
| Angus Reid | June 13, 2022 | 31 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 13 | ±6.0 pp | 247 | online | 5 | |
| Narrative Research | May 19, 2022 | 34 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 9 | ±4.0 pp | 607 | telephone | 0 | |
| Nanos Research | April 11, 2022 | 36.6 | 38.8 | 14.2 | 1.2 | 8.6 | ±4.8 pp | 423 | online/telephone | 2.2 | |
| Both People's Alliance MLAs join the Progressive Conservatives, with Kris Austin announcing intention to de-register the party (March 30, 2022) | |||||||||||
| Angus Reid | March 15, 2022 | 31 | 32 | 15 | 13 | 9 | ±6.0 pp | 251 | online | 1 | |
| Narrative Research | February 27, 2022 | 34 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 11 | ±4.2 pp | 545 | telephone | 3 | |
| Angus Reid | January 10, 2022 | 26 | 37 | 16 | 10 | 8 | ±7.0 pp | 216 | online | 11 | |
| MQO Research | December 14, 2021 | 29 | 36 | 16 | 5 | 11 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone (rolling) | 7 | |
| Narrative Research | November 24, 2021 | 28 | 38 | 14 | 5 | 13 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | telephone | 10 | |
| Stratcom | November 6, 2021 | 20.5 | 39.8 | 17.9 | 12.0 | - | ±2.8 pp | 1,184 | IVR | 19.3 | |
| Angus Reid | October 3, 2021 | 31 | 31 | 12 | 12 | 13 | ±2.0 pp | 265 | online | 0 | |
| Narrative Research | August 17, 2021 | 33 | 29 | 22 | 5 | 11 | ±2.0 pp | 604 | telephone | 4 | |
| Angus Reid | June 7, 2021 | 36 | 31 | 17 | 12 | 4 | ±2.0 pp | 248 | online | 5 | |
| Narrative Research | May 31, 2021 | 39 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 8 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | telephone (rolling) | 11 | |
| MQO Research | March 18, 2021 | 38 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 6 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone (rolling) | 7 | |
| Narrative Research | February 17, 2021 | 35 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | telephone (rolling) | 3 | |
| Narrative Research | November 22, 2020 | 41 | 28 | 20 | 4 | 6 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | telephone (rolling) | 13 | |
| Kevin Vickers resigns as Liberal Party leader; MLA for Dieppe Roger Melanson becomes interim leader (September 14, 2020) | |||||||||||
| Election 2020 | September 14, 2020 | HTML | 39.34 | 34.35 | 15.24 | 9.19 | 1.66 | — | — | — | 4.99 |
Candidates
| Affiliation | MLA | Constituency | Held office since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PC | Daniel Allain | Moncton East | 2020 | |
| Andrea Anderson-Mason | Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West | 2018 | ||
| Jeff Carr | New Maryland-Sunbury | 2014 | ||
| Bruce Fitch | Riverview | 2003 | ||
| Dorothy Shephard | Saint John Lancaster | 2010 | ||
| Ross Wetmore | Gagetown-Petitcodiac | 2014 | ||
| Liberal | Richard Losier | Dieppe | 2023 | |
| Independent | Dominic Cardy | Fredericton West-Hanwell | 2018 | |
- At dissolution
- Previously MLA for Grand Lake-Gagetown (2010–2014)
- Originally elected under the PC banner
- Abbreviations
- CNB - Consensus NB Party
- Green - Green Party of New Brunswick
- Liberal - New Brunswick Liberal Association
- Ltn. - Libertarian Party of New Brunswick
- NDP - New Brunswick New Democratic Party
- PANB - People's Alliance of New Brunswick
- PC - Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick
- SJP - Social Justice Party of New Brunswick
- Legend
NOTE: Candidates' names are as registered with Elections New Brunswick
bold denotes party leader
† denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in nomination contest
# denotes an incumbent seeking re-election in a new district
Northern
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PC | Liberal | Green | NDP | Libertarian | ||||||||
| Restigouche West | Diane Cyr 1,733 | Gilles LePage 3,993 | Myriam Cormier 380 | Ronald Geraghty 116 | Gilles LePage | |||||||
| Restigouche East | Normand Pelletier 2,271 | Guy H. Arseneault 3,590 | Gilles Cormier 389 | Daisy Petersen 501 | Guy Arseneault Campbellton-Dalhousie | |||||||
| Belle-Baie-Belledune | Louis Robichaud 1,254 | Marco LeBlanc 5,053 | Rachel Boudreau 1,411 | Tyler (Ty) Boulay 293 | Marco LeBlanc Restigouche-Chaleur | |||||||
| Bathurst | Kim Chamberlain 2,029 | René Legacy 3,357 | Robert Kryszko 325 | Jeff Frenette 212 | René Legacy Bathurst West-Beresford | |||||||
| Hautes-Terres-Nepisiguit | Jason Purdy 1,454 | Luc Robichaud 4,675 | Susan Holt Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore | |||||||||
| Caraquet | Jean Paul Lanteigne 719 | Isabelle Thériault 6,002 | Isabelle Thériault | |||||||||
| Shippagan-Les-Îles | François Robichaud 530 | Eric Mallet 5,021 | Wilfred Roussel 1,111 | Eric Mallet Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou | ||||||||
| Tracadie | Gertrude McLaughlin 537 | Keith Chiasson 5,030 | Serge Brideau 3,829 | Keith Chiasson Tracadie-Sheila | ||||||||
Miramichi and Kent
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Conservative | Liberal | Green | PANB | Other | ||||||||
| Miramichi Bay-Neguac | Rejean Savoie 3,146 | Sam Johnston 4,219 | Wayne Hitchcock 711 | Réjean Savoie | ||||||||
| Miramichi East | Michelle Conroy 3,633 | Veronique Arsenault 2,921 | Josh Shaddick 355 | Tom L'Huillier 236 | Michelle Conroy Miramichi | |||||||
| Miramichi West | Mike Dawson 3,814 | Mark Hambrook 2,254 | Genevieve MacRae 273 | Rhonda L'Huillier 229 | Richard Sutherland (Ind.) 112 | Mike Dawson Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin | ||||||
| Kent North | Carl Cosby 1,441 | Pat Finnigan 3,928 | Kevin Arseneau 3,251 | Carole Boudreau 145 | Kevin Arseneau | |||||||
| Beausoleil-Grand-Bouctouche-Kent | Ann Bastarache 1,761 | Benoît Bourque 5,794 | Bernadette Morin 1,220 | Lenny O'Brien (CNB) 112 | Benoît Bourque Kent South | |||||||
| Eddy Richard (Ltn.) 90 | ||||||||||||
Southeastern
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Conservative | Liberal | Green | Libertarian | Other | ||||||||
| Shediac Bay-Dieppe | René Ephestion 1,803 | Robert Gauvin 6,530 | Chantal Landry 1,254 | Robert Gauvin | ||||||||
| Shediac-Cap-Acadie | Christine Arseneault 1,322 | Jacques LeBlanc 5,438 | Jean Bourgeois 2,901 | Jacques LeBlanc Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé | ||||||||
| Tantramar | Bruce Phinney 1,166 | John Higham 1,276 | Megan Mitton 2,468 | Donna Allen 57 | Evelyne Godfrey (NDP) 84 | Megan Mitton Memramcook-Tantramar | ||||||
| Dieppe-Memramcook | Dean Léonard 1,311 | Natacha Vautour 5,600 | Jacques Giguère 1,531 | Richard Losier† Dieppe | ||||||||
| Moncton East | Paolo (PJ) Andreetti 1,903 | Alexandre Cédric Doucet 4,449 | Diani Blanco 736 | Alex Gagne (NDP) 329 | Rob McKee‡ Moncton Centre | |||||||
| Moncton Centre | Dave Melanson 1,738 | Rob McKee 3,501 | Sarah Colwell 711 | James Ryan (NDP) 242 | Sherry Wilson# Moncton Southwest | |||||||
| Moncton South | Greg Turner 2,229 | Claire Johnson 3,559 | Vincent Merola 900 | Greg Turner | ||||||||
| Moncton Northwest | Ernie Steeves 3,536 | Tania Sodhi 3,761 | Ana Santana 804 | Ernie Steeves | ||||||||
| Champdoré-Irishtown | Ricky Gautreau 2,450 | Lyne Chantal Boudreau 3,732 | Matthew Ian Clark 743 | Adam Hennessey 103 | Daniel Allain† Moncton East | |||||||
| Riverview | Rob Weir 3,114 | Scott Grant 2,740 | Sarah Lord 1,978 | Rebecca Mallaley 69 | Desiree Despres (NDP) 128 | Bruce Fitch† | ||||||
| Albert-Riverview | Sherry Wilson 4,363 | Dave Gouthro 2,599 | Liam MacDougall 972 | William Jones 97 | Sharon Buchanan (PANB) 297 | Vacant Albert | ||||||
| Arcadia-Butternut Valley-Maple Hills | Don Monahan 4,284 | Connie Larson 2,289 | Brian Boucher 1,093 | Anthony Matthews 149 | Ross Wetmore† Gagetown-Petitcodiac | |||||||
Southern
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Conservative | Liberal | Green | NDP | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
| Sussex-Three Rivers | Tammy Scott-Wallace 3,789 | Bruce Northrup 3,282 | Teri McMackin 1,235 | Wayne Wheeler 159 | Tammy Scott-Wallace Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins | |||||||||
| Hampton-Fundy-St. Martins | Faytene Grasseschi 3,035 | John Herron 3,259 | Laura Myers 1,553 | Gordie Stackhouse 171 | Barbara Dempsey 120 | Peter Graham (PANB) 153 | Vacant Hampton | |||||||
| Quispamsis | Blaine Higgs 3,668 | Aaron Kennedy 3,861 | Andrew Conradi 378 | Alex White 360 | David Raymond Amos (Ind.) 42 | Blaine Higgs | ||||||||
| Rothesay | Hugh J. (Ted) Flemming 3,373 | Alyson Townsend 4,085 | Zara MacKay-Boyce 549 | Austin Venedam 85 | Ted Flemming | |||||||||
| Saint John East | Glen Savoie 3,181 | David Alston 3,147 | Gerald Irish 514 | Josh Floyd 252 | Denise Campbell 92 | Tanya Graham (PANB) 118 | Glen Savoie | |||||||
| Saint John Portland-Simonds | Paul Dempsey 2,497 | John Dornan 3,546 | P.J. Duncan 438 | Bobby Martin 162 | Vacant Portland-Simonds | |||||||||
| Saint John Harbour | Adam Smith 1,563 | David Hickey 3,413 | Mariah Darling 715 | Kenneth Procter 228 | Shelley Craig 82 | Vacant | ||||||||
| Saint John West-Lancaster | Kim Costain 2,787 | Kate Elman Wilcott 3,525 | Joanna Killen 864 | Jane Ryan 330 | Sherie Vukelic 69 | Dorothy Shephard† Saint John Lancaster | ||||||||
| Kings Centre | Bill Oliver 3,821 | Brian Stephenson 2,557 | Bruce Dryer 1,136 | Crystal Tays 139 | Bill Oliver | |||||||||
| Fundy-The Isles-Saint John Lorneville | Ian Lee 3,971 | Patty Borthwick 2,052 | Rhonda Connell 346 | Chris Wanamaker 158 | Keith Tays 88 | Sharon Greenlaw (CNB) 113 | Andrea Anderson-Mason† Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West | |||||||
| Saint Croix | Kathy Bockus 3,271 | Troy Lyons 2,063 | Mark Groleau 1,442 | Bola Ademolu 90 | Krysten Mitchell 82 | Kris Booth (Ind.) 170 | Kathy Bockus | |||||||
| Alex Tessmann (PANB) 96 | ||||||||||||||
Capital Region
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Conservative | Liberal | Green | PANB | NDP | Libertarian | |||||||||
| Oromocto-Sunbury | Mary E. Wilson 4,381 | Stephen Horsman 2,725 | Emerald Gibson 868 | Glenna Hanley 341 | Mary Wilson Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton | |||||||||
| Fredericton-Grand Lake | Kris Austin 4,456 | Kevin Dignam 2,277 | Ken Washburn 862 | Rick DeSaulniers 461 | Arthur Taylor 195 | Kris Austin | ||||||||
| Fredericton-Lincoln | Daniel Chippin 2,307 | Joni Leger 2,244 | David Coon 3,646 | David Coon Fredericton South | ||||||||||
| Fredericton South-Silverwood | Nicolle Carlin 2,287 | Susan Holt 4,605 | Simon Ouellette 1,860 | Nicki Lyons-MacFarlane 165 | Dominic Cardy† Fredericton West-Hanwell | |||||||||
| Fredericton North | Jill Green 2,753 | Luke Randall 4,130 | Anthea Plummer 922 | Glen Davis 107 | Matthew Stocek 120 | Andrew Vandette 46 | Jill Green | |||||||
| Fredericton-York | Ryan Cullins 3,572 | Tanya Whitney 2,527 | Pam Allen-LeBlanc 1,673 | Michael Broderick 256 | Steven J. LaForest 133 | Ryan Cullins | ||||||||
| Hanwell-New Maryland | Judy Wilson-Shee 3,948 | Cindy Miles 4,006 | Susan Jonah 1,051 | Kris Hurtubise 177 | Joël Cyr LaPlante 119 | Meryl W. Sarty 67 | Jeff Carr† New Maryland-Sunbury | |||||||
| Carleton-York | Richard Ames 4,622 | Chris Duffie 2,136 | Burt Folkins 675 | Sterling Wright 415 | Richard Ames | |||||||||
Upper River Valley
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Conservative | Liberal | Green | NDP | Other | ||||||||
| Woodstock-Hartland | Bill Hogan 4,199 | Marisa Pelkey 2,549 | Jada Roche 276 | Bo Sheaves 138 | Ernest Culberson (Ind.) 209 | Bill Hogan Carleton | ||||||
| Charlie Webber (PANB) 575 | ||||||||||||
| Carleton-Victoria | Margaret Johnson 4,798 | Julian Moulton 2,159 | Rebecca Blaevoet 451 | Tasha Rossignol (SJP) 290 | Margaret Johnson | |||||||
| Grand Falls-Vallée-des-Rivières-Saint-Quentin | Marc-André Ross 2,493 | Chuck Chiasson 4,976 | Dani McLean-Godbout 540 | Chuck Chiasson Victoria-La Vallée | ||||||||
| Edmundston-Vallée-des-Rivières | Roger Quimper 1,049 | Jean-Claude (JC) D'Amours 5,573 | Sylvain Gerald Voisine (SJP) 186 | Jean-Claude D'Amours Edmundston-Madawaska Centre | ||||||||
| Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston | Michel Morin 1,970 | Francine Landry 4,798 | Alain Martel 218 | André Martin 114 | Richard Barahoga (CNB) 53 | Francine Landry | ||||||
Results
Advance polling took place on October 12 and 15, 2024. On October 21, multiple news outlets projected a Liberal Majority government. The result was projected roughly 36 minutes after the polls closed. Susan Holt will become the first female premier in New Brunswick. Premier Blaine Higgs lost his own seat in the riding of Quispamsis. Five other cabinet ministers were also defeated.
| Party | Leader | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | ± | % | Change (pp) | 2020 | 2024 | ± | ||||||
| Liberal | Susan Holt | 49 | 180,806 | 51,781 | 48.24 | 13.89 | 17 | 31 / 49 | 14 | |||
| Progressive Conservative | Blaine Higgs | 49 | 131,332 | 16,458 | 35.04 | -4.30 | 27 | 16 / 49 | 11 | |||
| Green | David Coon | 46 | 51,558 | 5,694 | 13.76 | -1.48 | 3 | 2 / 49 | 1 | |||
| New Democratic | Alex White | 23 | 4,703 | 1,517 | 1.30 | -0.36 | ||||||
| People's Alliance | Rick DeSaulniers | 13 | 3,265 | 31,261 | 0.87 | -8.32 | 2 | 0 / 49 | 2 | |||
| Libertarian | Keith Tays | 18 | 1,710 | 1,710 | 0.46 | New | ||||||
| Independent | 4 | 533 | 152 | 0.14 | -0.04 | |||||||
| Social Justice | Tanya Roberts | 2 | 476 | 476 | 0.13 | New | ||||||
| Consensus NB | Len O'Brien | 3 | 278 | 278 | 0.07 | New | ||||||
| Total | 207 | 374,661 | 100.00% | |||||||||
| Rejected ballots | 1,393 | 127 | ||||||||||
| Turnout | 376,054 | 849 | 64.82% | 1.32 | ||||||||
| Registered voters | 580,145 | 10,283 | ||||||||||
- "Recapitulation". Forty-First Provincial General Election: October 21, 2024 (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. pp. 45–47. ISBN 978-1-4605-4185-2. Retrieved July 15, 2025.
Synopsis of results
| Riding | Winning party | Turnout | Votes | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 1st place | Votes | Share | Margin # | Margin % | 2nd place | Lib | PC | Green | NDP | PA | Ind | Other | Total | |||||
| Albert-Riverview | New | PC | 4,363 | 52.39% | 1,764 | 21.18% | Lib | 64.30% | 2,599 | 4,363 | 972 | – | 297 | – | 97 | 8,328 | |||
| Arcadia-Butternut Valley-Maple Hills | PC | PC | 4,284 | 54.82% | 1,995 | 25.53% | Lib | 67.27% | 2,289 | 4,284 | 1,093 | – | – | – | 149 | 7,815 | |||
| Bathurst | New | Lib | 3,357 | 56.68% | 1,328 | 22.42% | PC | 60.41% | 3,357 | 2,029 | 325 | 212 | – | – | – | 5,923 | |||
| Beausoleil-Grand-Bouctouche-Kent | Lib | Lib | 5,794 | 64.54% | 4,033 | 44.93% | PC | 69.86% | 5,794 | 1,761 | 1,220 | – | – | – | 202 | 8,977 | |||
| Belle-Baie-Belledune | New | Lib | 5,053 | 63.08% | 3,642 | 45.46% | Green | 64.21% | 5,053 | 1,254 | 1,411 | 293 | – | – | – | 8,011 | |||
| Caraquet | Lib | Lib | 6,002 | 89.30% | 5,283 | 78.60% | PC | 69.03% | 6,002 | 719 | – | – | – | – | – | 6,721 | |||
| Carleton-Victoria | PC | PC | 4,798 | 62.33% | 2,639 | 34.28% | Lib | 59.96% | 2,159 | 4,798 | 451 | – | – | – | 290 | 7,698 | |||
| Carleton-York | PC | PC | 4,622 | 58.89% | 2,486 | 31.68% | Lib | 68.24% | 2,136 | 4,622 | 675 | – | 415 | – | – | 7,848 | |||
| Champdoré-Irishtown | New | Lib | 3,732 | 53.10% | 1,282 | 18.24% | PC | 68.64% | 3,732 | 2,450 | 743 | – | – | – | 103 | 7,028 | |||
| Dieppe-Memramcook | New | Lib | 5,600 | 66.33% | 4,069 | 48.20% | Green | 70.24% | 5,600 | 1,311 | 1,531 | – | – | – | – | 8,442 | |||
| Edmundston-Vallée-des-Rivières | Lib | Lib | 5,573 | 81.86% | 4,524 | 66.45% | PC | 63.43% | 5,573 | 1,049 | – | – | – | – | 186 | 6,808 | |||
| Fredericton-Lincoln | New | Green | 3,646 | 44.48% | 1,339 | 16.34% | PC | 69.61% | 2,244 | 2,307 | 3,646 | – | – | – | – | 8,197 | |||
| Fredericton North | PC | Lib | 4,130 | 51.13% | 1,377 | 17.05% | PC | 66.79% | 4,130 | 2,753 | 922 | 120 | 107 | – | 46 | 8,078 | |||
| Fredericton South-Silverwood | New | Lib | 4,605 | 51.64% | 2,318 | 26.00% | PC | 71.31% | 4,605 | 2,287 | 1,860 | 165 | – | – | – | 8,917 | |||
| Fredericton-Grand Lake | PA | PC | 4,456 | 54.01% | 2,179 | 26.41% | Lib | 67.05% | 2,277 | 4,456 | 862 | 195 | 461 | – | – | 8,251 | |||
| Fredericton-York | PC | PC | 3,572 | 43.77% | 1,045 | 12.80% | Lib | 69.93% | 2,527 | 3,572 | 1,673 | 133 | 256 | – | – | 8,161 | |||
| Fundy-The Isles-Saint John Lorneville | PC | PC | 3,971 | 59.02% | 1,919 | 28.52% | Lib | 65.27% | 2,052 | 3,971 | 346 | 158 | – | – | 201 | 6,728 | |||
| Grand Falls-Vallée-des-Rivières-Saint-Quentin | Lib | Lib | 4,976 | 62.13% | 2,483 | 31.00% | PC | 62.35% | 4,976 | 2,493 | 540 | – | – | – | – | 8,009 | |||
| Hampton-Fundy-St. Martins | PC | Lib | 3,259 | 39.31% | 224 | 2.70% | PC | 72.99% | 3,259 | 3,035 | 1,553 | 171 | 153 | – | 120 | 8,291 | |||
| Hanwell-New Maryland | New | Lib | 4,006 | 42.76% | 58 | 0.62% | PC | 74.97% | 4,006 | 3,948 | 1,051 | 119 | 177 | – | 67 | 9,368 | |||
| Hautes-Terres-Nepisiguit | New | Lib | 4,675 | 76.28% | 3,221 | 52.55% | PC | 63.65% | 4,675 | 1,454 | – | – | – | – | – | 6,129 | |||
| Kent North | Green | Lib | 3,928 | 44.81% | 677 | 7.72% | Green | 67.99% | 3,928 | 1,441 | 3,251 | – | 145 | – | – | 8,765 | |||
| Kings Centre | PC | PC | 3,821 | 49.93% | 1,264 | 16.52% | Lib | 66.50% | 2,557 | 3,821 | 1,136 | – | – | – | 139 | 7,653 | |||
| Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston | Lib | Lib | 4,798 | 67.08% | 2,828 | 39.54% | PC | 64.96% | 4,798 | 1,970 | 218 | 114 | – | – | 53 | 7,153 | |||
| Miramichi Bay-Neguac | Lib | Lib | 4,219 | 52.24% | 1,073 | 13.29% | PC | 65.39% | 4,219 | 3,146 | 711 | – | – | – | – | 8,076 | |||
| Miramichi East | New | PC | 3,633 | 50.85% | 712 | 9.97% | Lib | 71.13% | 2,921 | 3,633 | 355 | – | 236 | – | – | 7,145 | |||
| Miramichi West | New | PC | 3,814 | 57.08% | 1,560 | 23.35% | Lib | 67.80% | 2,254 | 3,814 | 273 | – | 229 | 112 | – | 6,682 | |||
| Moncton Centre | Lib | Lib | 3,501 | 56.54% | 1,763 | 28.47% | PC | 57.02% | 3,501 | 1,738 | 711 | 242 | – | – | – | 6,192 | |||
| Moncton East | PC | Lib | 4,449 | 59.98% | 2,546 | 34.33% | PC | 60.31% | 4,449 | 1,903 | 736 | 329 | – | – | – | 7,417 | |||
| Moncton Northwest | PC | Lib | 3,761 | 46.43% | 225 | 2.78% | PC | 65.77% | 3,761 | 3,536 | 804 | – | – | – | – | 8,101 | |||
| Moncton South | PC | Lib | 3,559 | 53.21% | 1,330 | 19.89% | PC | 59.13% | 3,559 | 2,229 | 900 | – | – | – | – | 6,688 | |||
| Oromocto-Sunbury | New | PC | 4,381 | 52.69% | 1,656 | 19.92% | Lib | 63.05% | 2,725 | 4,381 | 868 | 341 | – | – | – | 8,315 | |||
| Quispamsis | PC | Lib | 3,861 | 46.47% | 193 | 2.32% | PC | 74.26% | 3,861 | 3,668 | 378 | 360 | – | 42 | – | 8,309 | |||
| Restigouche East | New | Lib | 3,590 | 53.18% | 1,319 | 19.54% | PC | 68.87% | 3,590 | 2,271 | 389 | 501 | – | – | – | 6,751 | |||
| Restigouche West | Lib | Lib | 3,993 | 64.18% | 2,260 | 36.32% | PC | 62.56% | 3,993 | 1,733 | 380 | – | – | – | 116 | 6,222 | |||
| Riverview | PC | PC | 3,114 | 38.78% | 374 | 4.66% | Lib | 66.99% | 2,740 | 3,114 | 1,978 | 128 | – | – | 69 | 8,029 | |||
| Rothesay | PC | Lib | 4,085 | 50.48% | 712 | 8.80% | PC | 72.82% | 4,085 | 3,373 | 549 | – | – | – | 85 | 8,092 | |||
| Saint Croix | PC | PC | 3,271 | 45.34% | 1,208 | 16.75% | Lib | 62.32% | 2,063 | 3,271 | 1,442 | 90 | 96 | 170 | 82 | 7,214 | |||
| Saint John East | PC | PC | 3,181 | 43.55% | 34 | 0.47% | Lib | 60.39% | 3,147 | 3,181 | 514 | 252 | 118 | – | 92 | 7,304 | |||
| Saint John Harbour | PC | Lib | 3,413 | 56.87% | 1,850 | 30.83% | PC | 50.52% | 3,413 | 1,563 | 715 | 228 | – | – | 82 | 6,001 | |||
| Saint John Portland-Simonds | PC | Lib | 3,546 | 53.38% | 1,049 | 15.79% | PC | 56.12% | 3,546 | 2,497 | 438 | 162 | – | – | – | 6,643 | |||
| Saint John West-Lancaster | PC | Lib | 3,525 | 46.53% | 738 | 9.74% | PC | 66.89% | 3,525 | 2,787 | 864 | 330 | – | – | 69 | 7,575 | |||
| Shediac Bay-Dieppe | Lib | Lib | 6,530 | 68.11% | 4,727 | 49.31% | PC | 69.61% | 6,530 | 1,803 | 1,254 | – | – | – | – | 9,587 | |||
| Shediac-Cap-Acadie | Lib | Lib | 5,438 | 56.29% | 2,537 | 26.26% | Green | 70.20% | 5,438 | 1,322 | 2,901 | – | – | – | – | 9,661 | |||
| Shippagan-Les-Îles | Lib | Lib | 5,021 | 75.37% | 3,910 | 58.69% | Green | 68.75% | 5,021 | 530 | 1,111 | – | – | – | – | 6,662 | |||
| Sussex-Three Rivers | PC | PC | 3,789 | 44.76% | 507 | 5.99% | Lib | 66.13% | 3,282 | 3,789 | 1,235 | – | – | – | 159 | 8,465 | |||
| Tantramar | New | Green | 2,468 | 48.86% | 1,192 | 23.60% | Lib | 61.53% | 1,276 | 1,166 | 2,468 | 84 | – | – | 57 | 5,051 | |||
| Tracadie | New | Lib | 5,030 | 53.53% | 1,201 | 12.78% | Green | 74.70% | 5,030 | 537 | 3,829 | – | – | – | – | 9,396 | |||
| Woodstock-Hartland | PC | PC | 4,199 | 52.84% | 1,650 | 20.77% | Lib | 65.56% | 2,549 | 4,199 | 276 | 138 | 575 | 209 | – | 7,946 | |||
- "Unofficial Results". Elections New Brunswick. Retrieved October 26, 2024.
- Includes rejected ballots
- Parties receiving more than 1% of the popular vote in either 2024 or 2020 are listed separately.
- = Francophone-majority constituency
- = Open seat
- = Turnout is above provincial average
- = Winning candidate was in previous Legislature
- = Incumbent had switched allegiance
- = Previously incumbent in another riding
- = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
- = Incumbency arose from byelection gain
- = Other incumbents renominated
- = Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
- = Multiple candidates
Comparative analysis for ridings (2024 vs 2020)
Analytical charts
- 2020
- 2024
Winning shares and swings
| Riding and winning party | Vote share | Swing | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | Change (pp) | To | Change (pp) | ||||||||
| Albert-Riverview | PC | New | 52.39 | New | |||||||
| Arcadia-Butternut Valley-Maple Hills | PC | Hold | 54.82 | -4.28 | N/A | ||||||
| Bathurst | Lib | New | 56.68 | New | |||||||
| Beausoleil-Grand-Bouctouche-Kent | Lib | Hold | 64.54 | 9.32 | Lib | 9.96 | |||||
| Belle-Baie-Belledune | Lib | New | 63.08 | New | |||||||
| Caraquet | Lib | Hold | 89.30 | 17.04 | N/A | ||||||
| Carleton-Victoria | PC | Hold | 62.33 | 17.11 | PC | 14.49 | |||||
| Carleton-York | PC | Hold | 58.89 | 1.07 | PC | 7.17 | |||||
| Champdoré-Irishtown | Lib | New | 53.10 | New | |||||||
| Dieppe-Memramcook | Lib | New | 66.33 | New | |||||||
| Edmundston-Vallée-des-Rivières | Lib | Hold | 81.86 | 7.39 | Lib | 5.80 | |||||
| Fredericton-Lincoln | Green | New | 44.48 | New | |||||||
| Fredericton North | Lib | Gain | 51.13 | 32.47 | PC | 6.47 | |||||
| Fredericton South-Silverwood | Lib | New | 51.64 | New | |||||||
| Fredericton-Grand Lake | PC | Gain | 54.01 | 23.39 | PC | -32.11 | |||||
| Fredericton-York | PC | Hold | 43.77 | 1.36 | PC | 2.42 | |||||
| Fundy-The Isles-Saint John Lorneville | PC | Hold | 59.02 | -7.45 | Lib | -13.88 | |||||
| Grand Falls-Vallée-des-Rivières-Saint-Quentin | Lib | Hold | 62.13 | 1.89 | PC | -0.33 | |||||
| Hampton-Fundy-St. Martins | Lib | Gain | 39.31 | 24.23 | Lib | -24.07 | |||||
| Hanwell-New Maryland | Lib | New | 42.76 | New | |||||||
| Hautes-Terres-Nepisiguit | Lib | New | 76.28 | New | |||||||
| Kent North | Lib | Gain | 44.81 | 10.19 | Lib | -10.28 | |||||
| Kings Centre | PC | Hold | 49.93 | -11.61 | Green | -6.47 | |||||
| Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston | Lib | Hold | 67.08 | 0.54 | PC | -0.70 | |||||
| Miramichi Bay-Neguac | Lib | Hold | 52.24 | 8.68 | Lib | 1.69 | |||||
| Miramichi East | PC | New | 50.85 | New | |||||||
| Miramichi West | PC | New | 57.08 | New | |||||||
| Moncton Centre | Lib | Hold | 56.54 | 17.63 | Lib | 16.78 | |||||
| Moncton East | Lib | Gain | 59.98 | 24.63 | Lib | -22.07 | |||||
| Moncton Northwest | Lib | Gain | 46.43 | 15.76 | Lib | -11.80 | |||||
| Moncton South | Lib | Gain | 53.21 | 22.95 | Lib | -15.85 | |||||
| Oromocto-Sunbury | PC | New | 52.69 | New | |||||||
| Quispamsis | Lib | Gain | 46.47 | 31.82 | Lib | -27.89 | |||||
| Restigouche East | Lib | New | 53.18 | New | |||||||
| Restigouche West | Lib | Hold | 64.18 | 2.02 | Lib | 8.82 | |||||
| Riverview | PC | Hold | 38.78 | -21.29 | Lib | -19.51 | |||||
| Rothesay | Lib | Gain | 50.48 | 29.46 | Lib | -24.53 | |||||
| Saint Croix | PC | Hold | 45.34 | 0.16 | PC | 15.53 | |||||
| Saint John East | PC | Hold | 43.55 | -12.81 | Lib | -14.78 | |||||
| Saint John Harbour | Lib | Gain | 56.87 | 33.96 | Green | -2.02 | |||||
| Saint John Portland-Simonds | Lib | Gain | 53.38 | 24.63 | Lib | -21.07 | |||||
| Saint John West-Lancaster | Lib | Gain | 46.53 | 24.12 | Lib | -20.78 | |||||
| Shediac Bay-Dieppe | Lib | Hold | 68.11 | 7.97 | Lib | 9.88 | |||||
| Shediac-Cap-Acadie | Lib | Hold | 56.29 | 2.62 | Green | -0.40 | |||||
| Shippagan-Les-Îles | Lib | Hold | 75.37 | -8.41 | PC | -3.81 | |||||
| Sussex-Three Rivers | PC | Hold | 44.76 | -11.53 | N/A | ||||||
| Tantramar | Green | New | 48.86 | New | |||||||
| Tracadie | Lib | New | 53.53 | New | |||||||
| Woodstock-Hartland | PC | Hold | 52.84 | 4.97 | PC | 11.79 | |||||
- Derived from "Provincial Election Results". electionsnb.ca. Elections New Brunswick. February 5, 2014. Retrieved April 17, 2025.
- Share won by winning candidate, with difference noted from share achieved by the same party in 2020.
- Positive indicates improvement to standing of party winning in 2020; negative points to 2020's second-place party being swung to.
- People's Alliance came in 2nd in 2020, but did not field a candidate in 2024.
- Greens came in 2nd in 2020, but did not field a candidate in 2024.
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