2024 North Dakota gubernatorial election

The 2024 North Dakota gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of North Dakota. Incumbent Republican governor Doug Burgum decided to not seek re-election to a third term; he would ultimately decide to run for president. North Dakota is a Republican stronghold, and the Democratic–Nonpartisan League (NPL) Party has not won a governor's race in the state since 1988.

2024 North Dakota gubernatorial election

← 2020
November 5, 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Kelly Armstrong Merrill Piepkorn Michael Coachman
Party Republican Democratic–NPL Independent
Running mate Michelle Strinden Patrick Hart Lydia Gessele
Popular vote 247,056 94,043 20,322
Percentage 68.26% 25.98% 5.61%

Armstrong:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Piepkorn:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No votes

Governor before election

Doug Burgum
Republican

Elected Governor

Kelly Armstrong
Republican

The Republican nominee, U.S. representative Kelly Armstrong, was elected to his first term, defeating the Democratic–NPL nominee, state senator Merrill Piepkorn in a landslide. Armstrong was sworn in to office in December 2024, succeeding Burgum, who was subsequently appointed Secretary of the Interior by Donald Trump immediately after leaving office.

Background

In November 2022, voters in the state approved a constitutional amendment limiting governors to two four-year terms, but it only applies to individuals elected after January 1, 2023, so incumbent governor Doug Burgum was still eligible to run for re-election under a grandfather clause. On June 7, 2023, Burgum announced that he would instead run for the Republican nomination for president of the United States in 2024, a race he dropped out of on December 4, 2023. Despite considering running for a third term after the end of his presidential campaign, Burgum announced he would not run for a third term on January 22, 2024.

Before Burgum's announcement, former state Senator and former congressional candidate Tom Campbell suggested at and considered a gubernatorial run, despite whatever choice Burgum made. After the decision from Burgum to not seek re-election, Campbell entered the race.

On January 23, the day after Burgum's announcement, U.S. Representative Kelly Armstrong announced he would also seek the governorship, receiving far more reporting than Campbell and an endorsement from Secretary of State Michael Howe. Following Armstrong's announcement, Campbell withdrew and switched his campaign towards the House seat left open by Armstrong.

On January 31, Travis Hipsher, a security guard from Neche, announced he would seek the governorship for the Democratic-NPL. Hipsher described himself as a centrist.

Later on February 6, perennial candidate Michael Coachman announced an independent run for governor. Coachman previously ran for governor in 2020, Lieutenant Governor in 2016 and 2012, and with Secretary of State in 2018.

On February 15, Lieutenant Governor Tammy Miller announced her candidacy to replace Burgum.

Later on March 22, it was reported that state senator Merrill Piepkorn had filed the paperwork to run, but did not announce any campaign. On March 31, Travis Hipsher ended his campaign, making way for Piepkorn's announcement on April 2.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Kelly Armstrong, U.S. Representative from North Dakota's at-large congressional district (2019–2024)
    • Running Mate: Michelle Strinden, state representative for the 41st district (2019–2024)

Eliminated in primary

  • Tammy Miller, Lieutenant Governor of North Dakota (2023–2024)
    • Running Mate: Josh Teigen, commissioner of the North Dakota Department of Commerce (2022–2024)

Withdrawn

  • Tom Campbell, former state senator from the 19th district (2012–2018) and candidate for North Dakota's at-large congressional district in 2018 (ran for U.S. House)

Declined

  • Kirsten Baesler, North Dakota Superintendent of Public Instruction (2013–2025) (ran for re-election)
  • Thomas Beadle, North Dakota State Treasurer (2021–present) (ran for re-election)
  • Doug Burgum, Governor of North Dakota (2016–2024) (endorsed Miller)
  • Kevin Cramer, U.S. Senator (2018–present) (endorsed Armstrong, ran for re-election)
  • Julie Fedorchak, member of the North Dakota Public Service Commission (2012–2025) (ran for U.S. House)
  • Michael Howe, North Dakota Secretary of State (2023–present) (endorsed Armstrong)
  • Drew Wrigley, North Dakota Attorney General (2022–present)

Endorsements

Kelly Armstrong

Federal officials

U.S. Senators

  • Kevin Cramer, U.S. Senator for North Dakota (2019–present)and former U.S. Representative for North Dakota's at-large congressional district
  • John Hoeven, U.S. Senator for North Dakota (2011–present) and former governor (2000–2010)

U.S. Representatives

  • Jim Jordan, U.S. Representative for Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007-Present)

Statewide officials

  • Michael Howe, North Dakota Secretary of State (2023–present)

Organizations

  • North Dakota Republican Party
Tammy Miller

Statewide officials

  • Doug Burgum, Governor of North Dakota (2016–2024)

Debates

Prairie Public Broadcasting hosted a debate between Armstrong and Miller on April 23. On May 2, it was announced that the Fargo-Moorhead-West Fargo Chamber of Commerce would hold a live, in person debate on May 30. A third debate was held on June 7.

2024 North Dakota gubernatorial election Republican primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Kelly Armstrong Tammy Miller
1 April 23, 2024 Prairie Public Broadcasting Dave Thompson YouTube P P
2 May 30, 2024 FMWF Chamber of Commerce P P

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kelly
Armstrong
Tammy
Miller
Undecided
WPA Intelligence May 20–22, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 57% 19% 24%
DFM Research (D) May 6–8, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 56% 18% 26%
Guidant Polling and Strategy May 4−8, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 60% 19% 19%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kelly Armstrong
Michelle Strinden
67,704 73.2%
Republican Tammy Miller
Josh Teigen
24,784 26.8%
Total votes 92,488 100.0%

Democratic-NPL Primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Merrill Piepkorn, state senator for the 44th district (2016–2024)
    • Running mate: Patrick Hart, treasurer of the North Dakota Democratic-Nonpartisan League Party and nominee for state auditor in 2020

Withdrawn

  • Travis Hipsher, security guard

Endorsements

Merrill Piepkorn

Organizations

  • North Dakota Democratic-Nonpartisan League Party

Results

Democratic–NPL primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic–NPL Merrill Piepkorn
Patrick Hart
19,609 100.0%
Total votes 19,609 100.0%

Independent

Candidates

Declared

  • Michael Coachman, former Larimore city councilor and perennial candidate
    • Running mate: Lydia Gessele, stay-at-home mom

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Solid R June 13, 2024
Inside Elections Solid R July 14, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R June 4, 2024
RCP Solid R July 13, 2024
Elections Daily Safe R July 12, 2023
CNalysis Solid R August 17, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

Kelly Armstrong (R)

Statewide officials

  • Tammy Miller, North Dakota Lieutenant Governor (2023–2024)

Debates

2024 North Dakota Gubernatorial debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic-NPL Republican Independent
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Merrill Piepkorn Kelly Armstrong Michael Coachman
1 September 6, 2024 Forum Communications Rob Port Podcasts P P N
2 October 8, 2024 KFGO News Paul Jurgens, Amy Dalrymple,
and Jim Shaw
Omny P P N
3 October 10, 2024 Prairie Public Broadcasting Dave Thompson C-SPAN P P P
4 October 14, 2024 BEK TV Joel Heitkamp and Steve Bakken C-SPAN P P P

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kelly
Armstrong (R)
Merrill
Piepkorn (D)
Michael
Coachman (I)
Undecided
WPA Intelligence September 28–30, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% 24% 3% 19%
Public Opinion Strategies June 15–19, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 61% 22% 11% 6%

Results

2024 North Dakota gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Kelly Armstrong
Michelle Strinden
247,056 68.26% +2.42%
Democratic–NPL Merrill Piepkorn
Patrick Hart
94,043 25.98% +0.60%
Independent Michael Coachman
Lydia Gessele
20,322 5.61% N/A
Write-in 530 0.15% -4.75%
Total votes 361,951 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

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