List of predicted asteroid impacts on Earth

This is a list of asteroids that have impacted Earth after discovery and orbit calculation that predicted the impact in advance, which are cataloged by the Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS).

As of December 2024, all of the asteroids with predicted impacts were under 10 m (33 ft) in size that were discovered just hours before impact, and burned up in the atmosphere as meteors.

Asteroid
designation
Date & time (UTC)
of discovery
Discoverer
Estimated size Abs.
mag.
Date & time (UTC)
of impact
Warning time
Location of impact Airburst altitude
Energy
Method of
impact detection
Reference
2008 TC3 2008-10-06 06:39
Mt. Lemmon Survey
3.8–4.4 m (12–14 ft) 30.72 2008-10-07 02:45
20:05
20.9 N, 31.8 E
Nubian Desert in Sudan
50.0 km (31.1 mi)
1 kt
visual, weather satellite,
meteorite recovery
JPL · MPC ·
2014 AA 2014-01-01 06:18
Mt. Lemmon Survey
2–4 m (6.6–13.1 ft) 30.95 2014-01-02 03:04
20:46
13.1 N, 44.2 W
Central Atlantic Ocean
40.0 km (24.9 mi)
?
infrasound JPL · MPC ·
2018 LA 2018-06-02 08:14
Mt. Lemmon Survey
2–5 m (6.6–16.4 ft) 30.55 2018-06-02 16:44
08:29
21.3 S, 23.3 E
Botswana/South Africa border
27.8 km (17.3 mi)
0.3–0.5 kt
visual, infrasound,
meteorite recovery
JPL · MPC ·
2019 MO 2019-06-22 09:49
ATLAS-MLO
4–9 m (13–30 ft) 29.12 2019-06-22 21:25
11:36
14.9 N, 66.2 W
Caribbean Sea near Puerto Rico
25.0 km (15.5 mi)
6 kt
visual, infrasound,
weather satellite & radar
JPL · MPC ·
2022 EB5 2022-03-11 19:24
GINOP-KHK
1.4–3.2 m (4.6–10.5 ft) 31.33 2022-03-11 21:22
01:58
70.0 N, 9.1 W
Jan Mayen, northern Atlantic Ocean
33.3 km (20.7 mi)
4 kt
visual, infrasound JPL · MPC ·
2022 WJ1 2022-11-19 04:53
Mt. Lemmon Survey
0.4–0.6 m (1.3–2.0 ft) 33.58 2022-11-19 08:26
03:33
43.0 N, 81.7 W
Ontario, Canada
95.5 km (59.3 mi)
?
visual, radar JPL · MPC ·
2023 CX1 2023-02-12 20:18
GINOP-KHK
0.8–1.7 m (2.6–5.6 ft) 32.72 2023-02-13 02:59
06:41
49.8 N, 0.4 E
Northwestern France
50.0 km (31.1 mi)
?
visual, meteorite recovery JPL · MPC ·
2024 BX1 2024-01-20 21:48
GINOP-KHK
<0.5 m (1.6 ft) 32.71 2024-01-21 00:32
02:44
52.6 N, 12.6 E
Berlin, Germany
21.3 km (13.2 mi)
?
visual, meteorite recovery JPL · MPC ·
2024 RW1 2024-09-04 05:43
Mt. Lemmon Survey
1–2.5 m (3.3–8.2 ft) 32.20 2024-09-04 16:39
10:55
18.0 N, 122.9 E
Pacific Ocean near Luzon, Philippines
25.0 km (15.5 mi)
0.2 kt
visual JPL · MPC ·
2024 UQ 2024-10-22 09:08
ATLAS-HKO
0.8–1.6 m (2.6–5.2 ft) 32.66 2024-10-22 10:54
01:46
30.0 N, 136.0 W
Eastern Pacific
38.2 km (23.7 mi)
0.15 kt
weather satellite JPL · MPC ·
2024 XA1 2024-12-03 05:55
Kitt Peak-Bok
0.7–1.5 m (2.3–4.9 ft) 32.95 2024-12-03 16:14
10:19
60.9 N, 119.5 E
Eastern Siberia
50.0 km (31.1 mi)
?
visual JPL · MPC ·

See also

  • Asteroid impact prediction

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