Opinion polling for the April 2019 Spanish general election

In the run up to the April 2019 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 12th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 26 June 2016, to the day the next election was held, on 28 April 2019.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Electoral polling

Nationwide polling

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 26 June 2016 to 28 April 2019, with each line corresponding to a political party.


Voting intention estimates

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

2019
Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead
April 2019 general election 28 Apr 71.8 16.7
66
28.7
123
14.3
42
15.9
57
3.9
15
1.5
6
1.3
0
1.0
4
0.5
2
10.3
24
0.7
1
1.9
7
0.4
2
12.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 28 Apr 4,300 ? 19.3
70
25.3
105
14.5
46
15.0
51
3.3
13
1.3
6
1.4
0
0.8
3
0.3
1
13.0
42
1.2
3
1.4
4
0.3
2
6.0
SocioMétrica/El Español 25–27 Apr 3,600 ? 17.9
74/79
27.9
114/120
16.5
44/50
16.0
49/55
2.8
10/11
1.2
5/6
0.9
2/5
0.3
0/1
11.0
29/33
0.5
0/1
1.6
4/5
0.3
1/2
10.0
IMOP/COPE 25–27 Apr 4,200 ? 18.3
67/77
26.8
105/120
16.8
45/60
14.2
40/50
3.1
13/15
1.2
5/6
0.9
2/3
0.3
0/1
12.7
35/50
0.6
1/2
1.3
3/5
0.2
1/2
8.5
GAD3/RTVE–FORTA 12–27 Apr 12,000 ? 17.8
69/73
28.1
116/121
16.1
42/45
14.4
48/49
3.3
13/14
1.3
6
0.7
2
0.3
1
12.4
36/38
0.5
1
1.6
5
0.5
2
10.3
El Español 26 Apr ? ? 18.0–
19.0
73/77
27.0–
28.0

105/119
15.0–
17.0
46/50
15.0–
16.5
49/57
11.0–
12.0
31/47
9.0
Podemos 26 Apr ? ? 15.0 30.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0
Demoscopia Servicios/Okdiario 26 Apr ? ? 21.7
84
27.2
117
12.3
28
15.4
51
13.3
41
5.5
PSOE 25 Apr ? ? 15.0–
17.0
30.0–
31.0
? ? 13.0–
16.0
13.0–
15.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–25 Apr 11,000 ? 20.2
76
25.3
105
14.6
47
15.0
53
2.7
13
1.3
6
1.8
0
0.8
3
0.3
1
12.3
35
1.3
3
1.3
4
0.3
2
5.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–24 Apr 11,000 ? 20.1
77
25.6
107
14.1
44
15.1
53
2.7
13
1.3
6
1.9
0
0.8
3
0.2
0
12.4
36
1.3
3
1.3
4
0.3
2
5.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–23 Apr 11,000 ? 19.9
74
26.2
111
13.5
40
15.1
53
2.7
13
1.3
6
2.1
1
0.8
3
0.2
0
12.4
37
1.3
3
1.3
4
0.3
2
6.3
Hamalgama Métrica/Espiral21 22 Apr ? 70.5 23.1
90/100
28.1
115/120
12.1
30/40
13.2
32/42
3.1
13/14
1.3
5/6
1.4
0
0.8
2/3
0.3
0/1
10.1
25/37
0.9
3/4
1.4
5/6
0.1
2
5.0
Llorente & Cuenca 22 Apr ? ? 22.0
86
28.3
124
13.8
38
18.9
65
2.8
12
?
4
?
2
?
1
7.9
12
1.3
6
6.3
KeyData/Público 22 Apr ? 67.7 20.4
83
29.4
128
13.1
34
15.3
53
3.3
14
1.2
6
0.9
2
0.4
1
10.4
22
1.5
5
?
2
9.0
Demoscopia Servicios/Okdiario 17–22 Apr ? ? 21.8
89
28.1
120
12.6
29
14.4
46
2.9
13
1.4
6
0.9
3
0.3
1
12.7
36
1.1
2
1.3
5
6.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–22 Apr 11,000 ? 19.5
71
27.2
118
12.8
38
15.0
52
2.7
12
1.3
6
2.2
1
0.8
3
0.2
0
12.4
36
1.3
3
1.3
4
0.3
2
7.7
Infortécnica 21 Apr 1,600 ? ?
93/103
?
100/110
?
33/38
?
39/43
?
27/42
?
SocioMétrica/El Español 14–21 Apr 1,800 ? 18.2
72/77
29.5
126/134
13.6
35/43
15.1
43/49
3.3
11/12
1.1
4/5
0.9
0
0.9
2
0.2
0/1
12.6
31/37
1.1
1/2
1.3
4
0.3
2
11.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–21 Apr 11,000 ? 19.9
74
27.4
120
12.4
35
14.4
48
2.8
13
1.3
6
2.3
1
0.8
3
0.2
0
12.5
38
1.3
3
1.3
4
0.3
2
7.5
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 15–20 Apr 1,100 68.3 23.5
93/99
28.9
119/123
13.5
38/40
15.1
49/52
2.9
13/14
1.2
6
1.3
0
0.8
2/3
0.3
1
7.9
14/18
1.3
3
1.5
4/5
0.4
2
5.4
IMOP/El Confidencial 14–20 Apr 1,400 70.0 19.8
68/78
29.8
123/137
14.1
35/42
15.1
48/52
3.0
13/14
1.2
6
1.8
0
0.8
2/3
0.3
0/1
10.0
23/28
0.8
2/3
1.2
4/5
0.3
2
10.0
SocioMétrica/El Español 13–20 Apr 1,800 ? 18.4
75
30.0
129
13.7
38
15.5
52
3.2
11
1.1
5
0.8
0
1.0
2
0.2
0
11.8
32
1.0
2
1.4
4
0.3
2
11.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–20 Apr 10,800 ? 19.9
74
27.5
121
12.3
34
14.3
48
2.7
12
1.3
6
2.2
1
0.8
3
0.2
0
12.5
38
1.3
3
1.3
4
0.3
2
7.6
InvyMark/laSexta 15–19 Apr ? ? 20.4 28.1 13.0 15.2 3.3 1.3 12.7 1.3 7.7
NC Report/La Razón 15–19 Apr 1,000 68.9 23.8
100/101
28.1
116/118
13.0
34/38
14.9
50
2.9
13/14
1.3
6
0.8
2/3
0.3
1
9.0
13/14
1.5
3
1.4
5
0.4
2
4.3
SocioMétrica/El Español 12–19 Apr 1,800 ? 18.5
74
30.5
131
13.8
37
15.9
54
3.1
12
1.0
5
0.7
0
1.1
2
0.2
0
10.9
27
0.8
1
1.5
5
0.2
2
12.0
GAD3/ABC 1–19 Apr 10,000 ? 20.1
81/86
31.5
134/139
12.1
27
13.9
42/44
3.3
13
1.2
6
1.9
0
0.9
2
0.3
1
11.4
30/32
0.4
1
1.2
4
0.5
2
11.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–19 Apr 10,700 ? 20.1
76
27.6
122
12.4
34
14.2
47
2.8
13
1.3
6
2.3
1
0.8
4
0.2
0
12.5
38
1.3
2
1.3
4
0.4
2
7.5
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario 15–18 Apr 950 ? 21.6
87
28.4
122
12.7
30
14.7
48
2.4
11
1.4
6
0.9
3
0.3
1
12.4
34
1.2
3
1.2
5
6.8
40dB/El País 15–18 Apr 2,000 ? 17.8
75
28.8
129
13.2
33
14.1
49
3.3
13
1.0
5
2.8
2
1.0
3
0.4
1
12.5
32
0.9
3
1.9
5
11.0
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia 11–18 Apr 1,000 ? 18.3
71
30.9
137
13.6
33
13.8
50
2.8
11
2.1
9
0.8
2
0.4
1
10.5
28
1.5
6
0.3
2
12.6
SocioMétrica/El Español 11–18 Apr 1,800 ? 18.6
72
31.0
134
13.4
38
15.5
52
3.2
11
1.1
5
0.9
0
1.0
4
0.2
0
11.0
27
0.6
1
1.4
5
0.2
2
12.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–18 Apr 10,600 ? 20.3
77
27.6
121
12.4
35
14.3
47
2.8
13
1.4
6
2.3
1
0.9
4
0.2
0
12.4
37
1.3
2
1.3
4
0.4
2
7.3
PP 17 Apr ? ? 19.0 30.0 12.5 12.5 11.0 11.0
DYM/El Independiente 15–17 Apr 1,025 ? 20.4
80/86
29.0
122/127
13.7
34/40
15.5
46/52
10.4
26/32
8.6
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 11–17 Apr 1,100 ? 23.8
95/98
28.1
115/118
12.9
38/39
15.8
52/53
2.9
13/14
1.2
6
1.4
0
0.8
2
0.3
1
7.7
13/18
1.4
3
1.4
4/5
0.4
2
4.3
SocioMétrica/El Español 10–17 Apr 1,800 ? 18.7
75
30.8
133
13.1
38
15.8
53
3.4
12
1.1
5
0.8
0
1.1
3
0.2
0
10.6
27
0.7
2
1.3
4
0.3
2
12.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 3–17 Apr 8,000 ? 20.1
74/86
30.3
122/133
13.2
30/41
15.0
48/56
3.8
15
1.3
6
10.2
20/32
1.3
4
10.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–17 Apr 10,200 ? 20.4
79
27.7
120
12.4
34
14.6
50
2.7
13
1.4
6
2.2
1
0.8
4
0.2
0
12.0
35
1.3
1
1.3
4
0.4
2
7.3
Metroscopia/Henneo 11–16 Apr 4,775 ? 19.6
76/88
29.1
115/128
14.3
32/37
14.2
44/53
3.5
15
1.4
6/7
0.7
2/3
0.3
1
11.1
20/36
1.1
3/4
1.4
5
0.3
2
9.5
IMOP/El Confidencial 10–16 Apr 1,400 71.0 19.3
72
30.4
131
13.5
34
15.3
52
3.2
14
1.2
6
1.9
0
0.8
3
0.3
1
9.6
27
0.8
2
1.4
5
0.3
2
11.1
SocioMétrica/El Español 9–16 Apr 1,800 ? 18.8
73
30.5
132
12.7
35
16.0
52
3.3
14
1.1
6
1.0
0
1.0
4
0.2
0
10.9
27
0.8
2
1.3
4
0.3
1
11.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–16 Apr 10,200 ? 20.2
77
28.2
124
12.4
33
15.3
53
2.8
13
1.3
6
2.1
1
0.8
4
0.2
0
11.5
31
1.3
1
1.3
4
0.4
2
8.0
Top Position 13–15 Apr 1,200 ? 22.3
90/98
27.8
110/118
12.2
26/30
13.1
29/35
3.2
12/14
1.2
?
14.2
48/54
1.6
4/6
5.5
Demoscopia Servicios/Okdiario 12–15 Apr ? ? 21.3
86
28.9
124
12.8
29
14.9
49
2.3
10
1.5
6
1.2
3
?
1
12.2
33
?
2
1.3
7
7.6
GAD3/ABC 9–15 Apr 2,000 ? 20.9
82/86
31.3
136/139
12.3
28/32
13.2
39/41
11.8
30/34
10.4
SocioMétrica/El Español 8–15 Apr 1,800 ? 19.0
74
30.2
131
13.2
37
15.7
52
3.2
12
1.2
6
1.1
0
0.9
3
0.2
0
11.0
28
0.9
2
1.2
3
0.3
1
11.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–15 Apr 10,100 ? 20.2
77
28.2
123
12.3
34
15.1
53
2.8
13
1.3
6
2.1
1
0.9
4
0.2
0
11.5
31
1.3
1
1.3
4
0.4
2
8.0
KeyData/Público 14 Apr ? 65.2 20.8
82
28.8
126
13.5
36
15.6
54
3.4
15
1.3
6
0.9
3
0.3
1
9.8
20
1.6
5
?
2
8.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–14 Apr 10,000 ? 20.0
78
28.1
124
12.1
34
15.3
53
2.8
13
1.3
6
1.9
0
0.8
4
0.2
1
11.1
28
1.3
1
1.3
5
0.4
2
8.1
NC Report/La Razón 9–13 Apr 1,000 66.5 24.1
99/101
27.5
111/113
12.1
31/33
15.8
53/55
2.9
12/13
1.3
6
0.8
2
0.3
1
9.1
18/20
1.8
4/5
1.3
4
0.4
2
3.4
IMOP/El Confidencial 7–13 Apr 1,410 70.0 18.6
68
31.0
135
13.4
34
15.8
53
3.3
14
1.2
6
2.0
1
0.8
3
0.3
1
9.5
25
0.9
3
1.3
4
0.3
2
12.4
SocioMétrica/El Español 5–12 Apr 1,800 ? 19.1
73/77
29.9
124/130
13.0
29/33
15.4
49/56
3.2
11/13
1.3
5/6
1.2
0
1.0
3
0.3
0/1
11.2
31/36
0.8
2/3
1.4
5/6
0.4
2
10.8
GAD3/La Vanguardia 9–11 Apr 1,800 71.0 21.0
81/86
31.1
137/139
11.4
27/30
14.4
44/46
3.6
13/15
1.2
6
1.4
0
0.7
2
0.3
1
11.2
26/29
0.5
1
1.2
3/4
10.1
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario 8–11 Apr 920 ? 20.8
83
27.9
117
13.2
31
16.6
59
2.3
14
1.5
6
1.1
2
0.2
1
11.7
27
1.0
4
1.2
6
7.1
InvyMark/laSexta 8–11 Apr ? ? 20.8 27.1 13.2 16.4 12.7 6.3
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 4–10 Apr 1,100 ? 23.9
99/102
27.3
112/117
13.1
32/37
15.9
51/56
2.8
11/13
1.2
6
1.5
0
0.8
2/3
0.3
1
7.8
12/14
1.5
4/5
1.6
5
0.5
1
3.4
GAD3/ABC 8–9 Apr 2,000 ? 21.3
85/91
30.9
135/137
12.0
29/30
13.5
43/46
?
12/13
?
6
?
2
?
1
11.2
25/29
?
1
?
4/5
?
2
9.6
IMOP/El Confidencial 3–9 Apr 1,407 70.7 19.4
70
31.0
135
13.2
33
16.0
56
3.1
14
1.3
6
1.5
0
0.8
3
?
1
9.8
23
0.8
3
1.3
4
?
2
11.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–7 Apr 9,600 ? 20.1
80
27.4
116
11.9
34
15.6
59
2.6
12
1.3
6
1.2
0
0.9
4
0.3
1
10.6
27
1.5
2
1.3
4
0.4
2
7.3
NC Report/La Razón 2–6 Apr 1,000 66.3 24.0
99/101
26.9
108/112
12.3
29/31
16.1
55/56
2.8
11/12
1.3
6
0.8
2/3
0.3
1
9.4
19/22
1.7
5
1.3
4/5
0.4
2
2.9
IMOP/El Confidencial 31 Mar–6 Apr 1,440 72.0 20.0
76
31.5
136
12.9
32
15.5
53
3.2
14
1.3
6
1.2
0
0.9
3
?
1
9.3
20
0.6
3
1.2
4
?
2
11.5
Simple Lógica 1–5 Apr 1,054 73.7 16.7 30.5 14.4 15.5 9.8 13.8
GESOP/El Periódico 1–5 Apr 1,500 ? 21.0
84/87
29.8
128/132
12.0
30/32
14.5
48/50
?
14/15
10.6
21/23
?
4/5
8.8
SocioMétrica/El Español 29 Mar–5 Apr 1,800 ? 19.4
75
30.1
129
12.3
30
15.1
54
3.0
12
1.2
5
1.2
0
0.8
2
0.3
1
10.6
29
1.0
3
1.3
5
0.5
3
10.7
GAD3/ABC 26 Mar–4 Apr 4,000 ? 20.9
86/90
31.1
137/139
11.5
28/30
14.9
47/50
?
12/13
?
6
?
2
?
1
9.8
16/18
?
1
?
4/5
?
2
10.2
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 26 Mar–3 Apr 1,100 ? 23.6
97/100
27.2
113/118
12.2
31/33
15.7
52/55
2.8
11/13
1.2
6
1.5
0
0.7
2/3
0.3
1
8.7
14/16
1.6
4/5
1.6
5
0.5
1
3.6
KeyData/Público 2 Apr ? 68.9 20.6
83
28.7
120
13.7
41
16.0
56
2.9
13
1.2
6
0.8
3
0.2
1
10.8
22
1.4
5
8.1
IMOP/El Confidencial 27 Mar–2 Apr 1,431 69.0 20.8
83
30.0
127
13.9
35
14.8
52
3.5
15
1.1
6
1.5
0
1.0
3
?
1
9.6
20
0.5
2
1.1
4
?
2
9.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–31 Mar 8,850 ? 19.9
80
27.7
116
11.4
34
16.6
61
2.4
10
1.3
6
1.1
0
0.9
4
0.2
1
10.7
27
1.8
3
1.3
5
7.8
IMOP/El Confidencial 24–30 Mar 1,419 67.0 21.6
89
30.0
130
13.7
35
14.0
47
3.5
15
1.1
6
1.8
0
1.0
3
?
1
9.5
18
0.5
2
1.1
4
8.4
NC Report/La Razón 25–29 Mar 1,000 66.2 23.1
93/96
26.7
109/113
11.9
26/28
16.5
56/59
3.0
12
1.3
4/5
0.7
2/3
?
1
10.3
23/25
?
5
1.3
4/5
?
1
3.6
SocioMétrica/El Español 25–29 Mar 1,600 ? 18.8
69/74
29.0
124/131
12.6
28/34
16.1
48/54
3.0
11/12
1.2
5/6
1.2
0/1
0.9
2/3
0.3
0/1
11.9
31/37
0.5
2/3
1.3
5/6
0.3
2/3
10.2
InvyMark/laSexta 25–29 Mar ? ? 20.1 25.9 13.0 17.5 12.9 5.8
Demoscopia Servicios/Okdiario 24–27 Mar 1,175 ? 21.0
88
27.7
118
13.4
30
16.9
59
2.1
11
1.5
6
1.0
2
11.2
23
1.4
4
1.4
8
6.7
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 21–27 Mar 1,100 ? 22.9
93/95
27.0
110/115
12.1
31/33
16.7
56/59
2.8
11/13
1.2
6
1.4
0
0.7
2/3
0.3
1
9.1
18/20
1.6
4/5
1.7
5
0.5
1
4.1
IMOP/El Confidencial 20–26 Mar 1,400 65.0 20.0
77
31.0
133
11.9
28
14.9
53
3.3
14
1.2
6
2.0
1
1.1
3
?
1
10.1
27
0.7
3
1.3
4
11.0
Metroscopia/Henneo 18–25 Mar 2,722 67 19.0
72/78
28.7
116/126
14.0
35/41
16.3
53/62
?
14
?
6
?
2/4
?
1
11.7
30/37
?
6
9.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–24 Mar 8,200 ? 20.1
82
28.6
118
11.1
32
16.3
60
2.4
9
1.3
6
1.1
0
0.9
4
0.2
1
10.5
25
1.8
3
1.3
5
8.5
IMOP/El Confidencial 17–23 Mar 1,399 65.5 19.5
75
30.5
131
12.4
31
14.4
52
3.5
14
1.3
6
2.1
1
1.0
3
?
1
11.0
29
?
2
1.3
5
11.0
NC Report/La Razón 18–22 Mar 1,000 ? 22.4
91/93
26.9
106/111
12.0
27/29
17.1
57/61
2.9
11/12
1.3
6
0.7
2/3
?
1
10.7
24/26
1.5
6
1.2
4/5
4.5
GAD3/ABC 1–22 Mar 7,500 ? 21.9
94/99
30.9
131/134
11.3
27
13.1
37/38
2.6
12
1.2
6
0.7
2
0.3
1
11.5
24/27
0.5
1
1.5
6
?
2
9.0
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia 15–20 Mar 1,000 ? 18.9
78
26.9
113
13.4
35
13.8
44
3.9
15
1.0
5
0.8
3
0.5
1
13.9
50
1.7
6
8.0
40dB/El País 14–19 Mar 1,500 ? 19.3
76
27.1
122
12.3
40
17.7
55
10.2
31
7.8
CIS (SocioMétrica) 1–18 Mar 16,194 ? 20.1 30.6 13.3 14.7 3.9 1.4 1.8 0.9 0.4 9.0 0.6 1.3 0.3 10.5
CIS 74.8 17.2
66/76
30.2
123/138
12.9
33/41
13.6
42/51
4.5
17/18
1.3
6
1.4
0/2
1.1
3/5
0.4
0/1
11.9
29/37
0.9
1/2
1.2
4/5
0.1
1/2
13.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–17 Mar 7,400 ? 20.7
84
27.3
115
11.3
30
15.4
55
3.2
13
1.3
4
1.3
6
0.9
0
0.8
2
0.3
1
12.5
36
1.7
3
6.6
NC Report/La Razón 11–15 Mar 1,000 65.7 23.2
95/98
26.0
104/107
14.8
40/43
17.8
61/64
2.8
11
1.2
5
1.1
5
0.6
2
10.3
20/23
2.8
Simple Lógica 4–13 Mar 1,092 72.8 17.1 31.2 12.4 16.7 8.6 14.1
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 4–11 Mar 1,100 66.4 22.8
95/97
25.4
100/103
14.3
42/45
18.1
62/65
2.7
10/11
1.7
6
1.2
6
1.2
0
0.7
2/3
0.3
0
9.6
21/22
2.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–10 Mar 6,800 ? 20.3
83
26.9
115
11.4
32
16.1
55
3.3
13
1.3
4
1.3
6
0.9
0
0.8
2
0.3
1
12.3
35
1.8
3
6.6
KeyData/Público 9 Mar ? 69.9 21.5
88
26.6
112
14.5
43
16.1
57
2.9
13
1.5
5
1.2
6
0.8
3
0.3
1
10.2
22
5.1
SocioMétrica/El Español 5–8 Mar 1,600 74.0 17.5
69/71
27.6
119/121
14.1
37/39
17.8
63/65
3.1
11/13
1.5
5/6
1.0
4/5
2.0
0/1
0.9
2/3
0.2
0/1
12.1
31/34
9.8
GAD3/ABC 4–8 Mar 1,000 ? 22.1
87
30.6
134
11.8
30
13.2
38
2.8
12
1.5
5
1.2
6
0.6
2
0.2
0
12.1
36
8.5
InvyMark/laSexta 4–8 Mar ? ? 20.4 25.2 13.2 20.3 11.5 4.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–3 Mar 5,200 ? 20.5
84
26.7
115
11.5
33
16.2
55
3.3
13
1.3
4
1.3
6
0.8
0
0.8
2
0.3
1
12.1
34
1.8
3
6.2
KeyData/Público 26 Feb ? 67.9 21.5
88
25.1
107
14.5
46
18.0
61
3.1
13
1.5
5
1.3
5
0.8
3
0.3
1
10.9
21
3.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 19–22 Feb 1,200 ? 19.1
71/75
27.3
110/114
14.4
37/39
16.0
54/58
3.2
11/13
1.1
3/5
1.2
6
13.3
44/46
8.2
GAD3/ABC 18–22 Feb 800 71 23.2
97
28.9
122
11.5
29
15.7
53
3.0
13
1.5
5
1.3
6
0.6
2
0.2
0
10.8
23
5.7
InvyMark/laSexta 18–21 Feb ? ? 21.0 24.3 13.9 20.2 11.3 3.3
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia 13–21 Feb 1,500 ? 19.3
76
28.2
116
14.2
39
13.5
40
3.8
14
1.7
6
1.4
6
0.8
2
14.2
51
8.9
SocioMétrica/El Español 13–15 Feb 1,000 71.0 18.6
73
24.3
106
11.9
33
18.7
65
3.3
12
1.3
4
1.1
6
1.9
0
0.8
2
0.3
1
11.8
40
2.3
6
5.6
71.0 18.6
72/74
24.3
105/107
15.2
40/42
18.7
64/66
3.3
11/13
1.3
4
1.1
6
1.9
0
0.8
2
0.3
1
11.8
38/42
5.6
GESOP/El Periódico 13–15 Feb 1,000 ? 19.9
75/77
27.4
115/117
13.6
36/39
14.5
44/47
?
16/17
?
2/3
13.0
43/46
7.5
GAD3/La Vanguardia 12–15 Feb 1,200 71.0 23.6
97
28.2
119
12.4
32
17.1
60
2.8
11
1.6
6
1.2
6
0.6
2
0.3
1
8.8
16
4.6
NC Report/La Razón 11–15 Feb 1,000 65.6 23.6
97/100
24.1
96/99
16.0
43/46
18.9
65/66
2.8
12
1.3
5
1.1
5
0.6
2
10.0
19/22
0.5
Metroscopia/Henneo 11–13 Feb 1,995 65 20.5 27.6 13.8 15.4 12.7 7.1
CIS (Kiko Llaneras) 1–10 Feb 2,964 ? 23.0 27.0 17.0 17.0 6.0 4.0
CIS (SocioMétrica) 67.7 20.3 27.9 17.3 17.5 2.9 1.0 1.0 2.2 0.8 0.2 6.8 7.6
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 4–8 Feb 1,100 66.4 23.1
96/98
23.7
94/97
15.8
47/49
19.2
63/67
2.8
11/12
1.7
6
1.2
5/6
1.1
0
0.8
2/3
0.3
1
8.9
17/20
0.6
Simple Lógica 1–8 Feb 1,017 74.2 17.9 25.4 13.9 17.0 11.7 7.5
InvyMark/laSexta 28 Jan–1 Feb ? ? 21.3 23.9 13.5 20.9 11.2 2.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 26–30 Jan 2,890 ? 20.1
83
23.1
91
14.9
50
19.6
71
?
12
?
4
?
6
?
2
12.1
31
3.0
KeyData/Público 27 Jan ? 68.7 21.5
89
22.3
98
14.8
51
19.8
67
3.1
12
1.6
6
1.1
6
0.9
2
0.3
1
10.3
18
0.8
NC Report/La Razón 21–25 Jan 1,000 65.9 24.0
98/100
24.2
97/99
16.6
45/48
18.7
63/65
2.8
11
1.2
5
0.9
5
0.7
2
9.4
17/20
0.2
GAD3/ABC 14–24 Jan 1,800 ? 23.0
97
26.5
111
11.6
31
17.1
61
2.8
13
1.6
6
1.2
6
0.6
2
0.2
0
9.8
23
3.5
InvyMark/laSexta 14–18 Jan ? ? 21.5 23.2 14.4 23.0 8.9 0.2
Metroscopia/Henneo 9–15 Jan 2,332 67 19.1 23.7 17.1 17.8 12.1 4.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 6–13 Jan 1,399 ? 19.1
74
21.3
87
16.3
53
19.9
73
?
12
?
5
?
6
1.1
0
?
3
13.0
37
1.4
CIS (Kiko Llaneras) 1–13 Jan 2,989 ? 21.0 24.0 18.6 18.6 7.5 3.0
CIS (SocioMétrica) 65.0 19.3 23.8 18.0 19.0 3.7 1.1 1.2 1.9 1.1 0.3 8.1 4.5
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia 15 Dec–13 Jan ? ? 22.5
84/86
21.2
74/78
19.3
62/65
18.2
66/70
2.5
8
1.8
4/5
2.0
7
0.6
2
0.2
0/1
8.7
28/29
1.3
Simple Lógica 3–9 Jan 1,042 71.0 18.2 25.1 14.0 17.9 11.5 6.9
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 2–8 Jan 1,100 66.8 23.8
97/98
24.1
95/97
16.1
48/50
19.6
65/68
2.8
10/12
1.5
5/6
1.0
5
0.8
0
0.7
2/3
0.3
1
8.1
15/18
0.3
SocioMétrica/El Español 22 Dec–5 Jan 2,200 ? 18.3
74/76
22.4
89/91
17.1
58/60
18.5
64/66
3.2
13
1.4
6
1.2
6
0.9
3
0.3
1
12.5
31/33
3.9
KeyData/Público 2 Jan ? 68.1 22.0
90
22.6
101
15.2
51
20.5
71
2.9
11
1.7
6
1.1
6
0.8
2
0.3
1
8.6
11
0.6
2018
2017
2016

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.


Senate projections

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size
April 2019 general election 28 Apr 2019 54 123 0 4 11 2 9 1 0 0 1 3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 3–17 Apr 2019 8,000 48 136 0 0 9 7 0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 19–22 Feb 2019 1,200 57 125 0 0 12 7 0
SocioMétrica/El Español 13–15 Feb 2019 1,000 123 56 7 12 2 6 0 1 1
75 97 7 5 12 2 6 0 1 3
SocioMétrica/El Español 22 Dec–5 Jan 2019 2,200 61 86 14 20 11 2 5 1 0 8
2016 general election 26 Jun 2016 130 43 16 0 10 2 5 0 1 0 1

Hypothetical scenarios

Podemos & IU

PP candidates

1977 parties

PSOE candidates

Aznar's party


Sub-national polling

Leadership polling

Preferred coalition

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