Opinion polling for the November 2019 Spanish general election

Home Page | Opinion polling for the November 2019 Spanish general election

In the run up to the November 2019 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 13th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 28 April 2019, to the day the next election was held, on 10 November 2019.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Electoral polling

Nationwide polling

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 28 April 2019 to 10 November 2019, with each line corresponding to a political party.


Voting intention estimates

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PRC Lead
November 2019 general election 10 Nov — 66.2 28.0
120 		20.8
89 		6.8
10 		12.9
35 		15.1
52 		3.6
13 		2.2
8 		1.6
6 		1.1
5 		0.5
2 		0.4
2 		0.3
1 		2.4
3 		1.0
2 		7.2
NC Report/La Razón 10 Nov ? ? 26.9
115/118 		21.4
95/97 		8.9
14/15 		12.5
31/32 		13.6
44/46 		3.8
14/15 		1.7
6/7 		1.7
6/7 		1.0
4/5 		0.7
2/3 		0.5
1/2 		0.2
1 		3.0
2/4 		1.0
2/3 		5.5
SocioMétrica/El Español 9–10 Nov 4,000 ? 26.1
112/118 		19.9
87/92 		7.8
11/16 		14.0
36/40 		14.1
52/58 		3.5
11/14 		1.7
6/7 		1.5
6/7 		1.1
4/5 		0.4
1/2 		0.3
1/2 		0.2
0/1 		3.4
0/5 		1.5
2/3 		6.2
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 8–10 Nov 1,100 67.8 27.4
119 		20.8
94 		8.5
14 		12.9
33 		13.5
44 		3.6
14 		1.8
7 		1.7
7 		1.1
5 		0.8
3 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		2.8
3 		1.1
3 		6.6
GAD3/RTVE–FORTA 25 Oct–10 Nov 13,000 72 27.3
114/119 		20.1
85/90 		8.5
14/15 		12.2
30/34 		16.3
56/59 		3.5
13/14 		1.6
6/7 		1.5
6/7 		1.0
3/4 		0.5
1/2 		0.4
2 		0.2
0/1 		2.1
3 		1.2
3/4 		7.2
GESOP/El Periòdic 7–9 Nov 903 70–72 26.7
116/122 		19.4
83/88 		7.9
14/18 		14.3
39/44 		14.9
47/53 		2.6
12/13 		1.4
6/7 		– – – – – 2.8
2/4 		1.1
3/4 		7.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 7–8 Nov 1,250 ? 27.1
113 		20.4
90 		7.3
11 		13.7
38 		15.5
54 		3.7
14 		1.6
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.7
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		3.0
3 		1.2
4 		6.7
GESOP/El Periòdic 6–8 Nov 903 ? 26.3
113/118 		19.0
80/85 		7.5
10/15 		14.0
38/42 		15.6
54/60 		2.7
12/13 		1.4
6/7 		– – – – – 2.9
2/4 		1.1
3/4 		7.3
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario 7 Nov ? 72.1 26.6
116 		20.9
93 		7.2
12 		13.2
35 		15.7
52 		4.1
15 		1.5
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.3
1 		2.7
3 		1.0
2 		5.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 6–7 Nov 1,250 ? 27.3
114 		20.1
90 		7.8
13 		13.5
37 		15.2
51 		3.7
14 		1.6
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.7
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		3.1
3 		1.2
4 		7.2
GESOP/El Periòdic 5–7 Nov 904 ? 26.9
115/120 		20.1
84/88 		6.5
8/10 		13.4
36/40 		15.6
54/59 		2.7
12/13 		1.6
6/7 		– – – – – 2.5
2/4 		1.4
4 		6.8
PSOE 6 Nov ? ? 30.0
120/130 		?
75/80 		7.0
15 		?
35 		15.0
50/55 		– – – – – – – – – – ?
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 5–6 Nov 1,250 ? 27.3
118 		20.2
90 		8.1
14 		13.1
34 		14.8
50 		3.7
14 		1.6
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.7
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		3.1
3 		1.2
3 		7.1
Hamalgama Métrica/Okdiario 4–6 Nov ? ? ?
118 		?
98 		?
14 		?
33 		?
43 		?
15 		?
7 		– – – – – ?
2 		– ?
GESOP/El Periòdic 4–6 Nov 905 ? 26.8
115/120 		19.9
84/88 		7.0
10/14 		13.0
34/38 		15.6
53/58 		3.0
13/14 		1.5
6/7 		– – – – – 2.6
2/4 		1.3
4 		6.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 4–5 Nov 1,250 ? 27.1
117 		20.4
90 		8.4
14 		12.8
34 		14.7
51 		3.8
14 		1.7
6 		1.5
6 		1.1
4 		0.7
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
0 		3.1
3 		1.3
4 		6.7
GESOP/El Periòdic 3–5 Nov 904 ? 26.8
116/121 		19.0
80/85 		7.8
12/16 		12.6
32/36 		15.6
53/58 		3.3
13/14 		1.8
6/7 		– – – – – 2.8
2/4 		1.4
4 		7.8
KeyData/Público 4 Nov ? 71.2 27.4
121 		21.1
96 		9.5
20 		12.7
34 		12.5
39 		3.8
15 		1.9
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
3 		0.5
2 		?
2 		?
1 		3.7
4 		?
1 		6.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 3–4 Nov 1,250 ? 27.2
118 		20.8
91 		8.7
14 		12.8
34 		14.1
48 		3.9
14 		1.6
6 		1.5
6 		1.1
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		3.1
3 		1.2
4 		6.4
GESOP/El Periòdic 31 Oct–4 Nov 861 ? 26.6
115/120 		19.0
80/85 		8.2
13/17 		12.8
34/38 		15.0
50/55 		3.6
14/15 		1.5
6/7 		– – – – – 2.8
2/4 		1.5
4/5 		7.6
GI Internacional/Diario16 3 Nov ? ? 28.5
122/139 		21.2
94/95 		9.5
21/26 		13.2
35/40 		9.5
27/31 		4.2
15/17 		1.6
4/5 		1.6
6/7 		1.3
5/6 		0.2
1 		0.4
1/2 		0.3
1 		4.3
5/7 		0.5
1/2 		7.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 2–3 Nov 1,250 ? 27.1
117 		21.2
95 		8.5
14 		12.5
34 		13.6
44 		4.0
14 		1.5
6 		1.6
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		3.4
4 		1.3
4 		5.9
Infortécnica 2 Nov 1,586 ? ?
130/139 		?
80/86 		?
25/31 		?
27/33 		?
33/39 		– – – – – – – – – – ?
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 1–2 Nov 1,250 ? 27.5
120 		21.4
96 		8.8
14 		12.6
34 		13.1
41 		?
14 		?
6 		?
6 		?
4 		?
2 		?
2 		?
1 		3.4
4 		?
4 		6.1
SocioMétrica/El Español 31 Oct–2 Nov 1,100 ? 25.1
110/119 		20.6
93/100 		8.5
15/18 		12.9
36/40 		14.3
42/48 		3.5
13/15 		1.6
5/7 		1.3
6/7 		0.9
3/4 		0.6
1/2 		0.4
1/2 		0.2
1/2 		3.9
1/3 		1.4
2/4 		4.5
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario 30 Oct–2 Nov ? ? 27.3
120 		22.1
99 		9.2
16 		12.8
33 		12.7
39 		?
15 		?
6 		?
6 		?
4 		?
2 		?
2 		?
1 		3.8
4 		?
2 		5.2
IMOP/El Confidencial 29 Oct–2 Nov 1,639 68 28.0
118/128 		19.6
81/90 		10.1
19/24 		11.5
29/34 		13.9
42/50 		?
14/16 		?
5/7 		?
6/7 		?
3/4 		?
2 		?
2 		?
0/1 		3.3
3/5 		?
3/4 		8.4
SW Demoscopia/infoLibre 28 Oct–2 Nov 1,517 ? 28.5
123/128 		20.3
88/93 		8.8
15/19 		12.0
34/38 		13.7
41/46 		4.0
16 		1.4
6 		?
6 		– – ?
2 		– 4.7
3/6 		0.8
1 		8.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 31 Oct–1 Nov 1,250 ? 27.5
121 		21.6
97 		9.2
16 		12.5
34 		12.5
37 		4.0
15 		1.6
6 		1.6
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.3
1 		3.6
5 		1.2
2 		5.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 30–31 Oct 1,250 ? 27.6
123 		21.4
97 		9.0
15 		12.5
34 		12.5
38 		?
15 		?
5 		?
6 		?
4 		?
2 		?
2 		?
1 		3.5
4 		?
3 		6.2
Hamalgama Métrica/Okdiario 29–31 Oct 1,000 68.2 27.2
120 		22.2
100 		8.8
16 		12.7
32 		12.8
40 		3.9
14 		1.6
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.7
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		3.7
5 		1.1
2 		5.0
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia 28–31 Oct 1,001 72.8 26.5
114 		20.4
96 		9.3
18 		12.1
32 		12.6
42 		4.1
14 		1.8
7 		1.5
6 		1.6
6 		0.5
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		3.7
5 		1.2
4 		6.1
GESOP/El Periódico 28–31 Oct 1,504 ? 27.7
119/123 		19.5
84/87 		8.0
13/17 		13.4
37/41 		14.2
49/53 		3.6
14/15 		1.5
5/6 		– – – – – 2.6
2/4 		1.5
4/5 		8.2
InvyMark/laSexta 28–31 Oct ? ? 27.9 22.0 9.9 11.8 10.5 – – – – – – – 3.8 – 5.9
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 25–31 Oct 1,100 67.8 27.6
121 		21.9
99 		9.2
16 		12.9
33 		12.0
36 		3.9
15 		1.7
7 		1.6
6 		1.0
4 		0.8
3 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		3.2
4 		0.9
2 		5.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 24–31 Oct 1,800 ? 27.9
118/126 		20.3
89/97 		8.9
16/19 		13.5
35/40 		13.2
39/44 		4.0
13/15 		1.2
4/6 		1.4
5/7 		– – – – 4.0
3/4 		– 7.6
NC Report/La Razón 14–31 Oct ? 67.1 27.3
114/120 		22.7
99/107 		8.8
15 		12.1
32 		12.2
37/39 		3.9
15 		1.6
7 		1.6
6 		1.0
4 		– – – 3.5
4 		– 4.6
GAD3/ABC 14–31 Oct 7,900 70.5 27.4
120/123 		21.6
92/95 		8.0
15 		11.2
28/31 		14.9
49 		3.5
13/14 		1.4
5/6 		1.5
6 		0.8
3/4 		0.4
1 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		2.8
3 		1.6
4 		5.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 29–30 Oct 1,250 ? 27.0
120 		21.7
98 		8.9
14 		12.5
33 		12.7
40 		4.0
15 		1.4
5 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.3
1 		3.9
5 		1.2
3 		5.3
DYM/Prensa Ibérica 25–30 Oct 1,005 ? 26.8
115/124 		19.4
90/96 		10.0
20/24 		12.5
31/36 		13.6
35/42 		– – – – – – – 3.3
4/5 		– 7.4
PSOE 29 Oct ? ? ?
130 		?
88 		?
16 		?
30 		?
50 		– – – – – – – – – – ?
Ipsos/Henneo 28–29 Oct 2,000 70 26.0
110/121 		19.4
84/95 		10.0
18/31 		13.0
31/40 		14.0
38/52 		3.5
13/15 		2.1
7/8 		1.5
6/7 		– – – – 4.7
4/6 		– 6.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 28–29 Oct 1,250 ? 26.9
120 		21.8
98 		9.1
15 		12.7
35 		12.4
37 		?
15 		?
5 		?
6 		?
4 		?
2 		?
2 		?
1 		4.1
5 		?
3 		5.1
Hamalgama Métrica/Okdiario 25–29 Oct 1,000 67.6 27.1
120 		22.5
102 		9.0
19 		12.6
32 		12.1
35 		3.9
14 		1.5
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		3.8
5 		1.1
2 		4.6
40dB/El País 23–29 Oct 2,002 ? 27.3
108/123 		21.2
86/98 		8.3
13/16 		12.4
30/36 		13.7
44/50 		?
14 		?
8 		?
7 		?
5 		?
2 		?
2 		?
1 		4.4
4/5 		?
2 		6.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 21–29 Oct 1,800 ? 27.5
120 		20.6
94 		8.9
16 		13.5
36 		13.4
44 		4.0
15 		1.2
4 		1.4
6 		– – – – 3.9
3 		– 6.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 27–28 Oct 1,250 ? 26.6
118 		21.8
98 		9.0
15 		12.7
33 		12.6
40 		4.1
16 		1.5
5 		1.4
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.3
1 		4.0
5 		1.2
3 		4.8
Sigma Dos/Antena 3 27 Oct ? ? 27.1
116/123 		20.4
91/98 		8.9
16/19 		13.2
35/40 		13.3
39/43 		4.5
14/17 		1.2
4/5 		1.4
5/7 		– – – – 3.9
2/3 		1.1
3/4 		6.7
SyM Consulting/EPDA 26–27 Oct 1,923 72.3 27.1
102/115 		22.2
80/94 		10.3
35/40 		9.6
34/36 		13.8
45/49 		3.5
11/13 		– – – – – – 3.3
3/5 		– 4.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 26–27 Oct 1,250 ? 26.6
118 		21.6
97 		9.1
15 		12.6
32 		12.7
41 		?
16 		?
5 		?
6 		?
4 		?
2 		?
2 		?
1 		4.1
5 		?
4 		5.0
KeyData/Público 26 Oct ? 70.8 27.6
122 		21.5
99 		10.2
24 		12.3
32 		10.7
30 		3.9
15 		1.9
7 		1.5
6 		1.0
3 		0.5
2 		?
2 		?
1 		4.6
6 		?
1 		6.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 25–26 Oct 1,250 ? 27.2
121 		22.2
99 		9.3
16 		12.2
32 		11.8
37 		3.9
15 		1.5
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		4.4
5 		1.1
2 		5.0
SocioMétrica/El Español 24–26 Oct 1,100 ? 25.5
115/119 		21.0
99/103 		9.3
18/20 		12.2
33/35 		12.2
37/39 		3.6
13/15 		1.8
6/7 		1.3
6/7 		1.0
3/5 		0.4
1/2 		0.3
1/2 		0.3
1/2 		5.1
4/5 		1.3
1/3 		4.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 24–25 Oct 1,250 ? 27.6
123 		22.2
100 		9.4
17 		12.0
28 		11.3
36 		?
15 		?
6 		?
6 		?
4 		?
2 		?
2 		?
1 		4.4
5 		?
3 		5.4
Hamalgama Métrica/Okdiario 22–25 Oct 1,000 66.4 26.9
119 		22.7
103 		9.2
20 		12.7
33 		11.7
33 		3.9
14 		1.5
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.4
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		4.3
6 		0.8
1 		4.2
InvyMark/laSexta 21–25 Oct ? ? 28.6 21.7 10.6 11.5 10.0 – – – – – – – 4.2 – 6.9
NC Report/La Razón 16–25 Oct 1,000 66.2 27.5
120/123 		23.0
103/105 		9.0
18/19 		12.1
32/34 		11.3
30/32 		4.0
14/15 		– 1.7
6 		– – – – 4.3
4/5 		– 4.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 23–24 Oct 1,250 ? 27.9
123 		22.3
100 		9.4
17 		12.0
28 		11.3
36 		4.0
15 		1.5
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		4.2
5 		1.1
3 		5.6
GAD3/ABC 21–24 Oct 2,730 69 27.3
118 		21.7
100 		8.9
17 		12.7
34 		13.5
41 		3.2
13 		1.6
7 		1.4
6 		0.9
3 		0.4
1 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		2.8
3 		1.1
3 		5.6
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 21–24 Oct 1,100 66.9 27.7
120 		22.2
101 		10.0
20 		12.9
34 		10.5
31 		4.0
15 		1.6
7 		1.6
6 		1.0
4 		0.7
3 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		4.4
5 		0.8
1 		5.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 16–24 Oct 1,600 ? 27.0
120 		20.8
97 		8.6
16 		13.1
34 		13.0
41 		4.4
17 		1.3
4 		1.4
6 		– – – – 4.0
4 		– 6.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22–23 Oct 1,250 ? 27.6
123 		22.1
99 		9.9
19 		12.2
31 		10.9
33 		?
15 		?
5 		?
6 		?
4 		?
2 		?
2 		?
1 		4.3
5 		?
3 		5.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 21–22 Oct 1,250 ? 27.2
122 		22.1
99 		9.9
19 		12.6
32 		10.8
33 		3.9
16 		1.4
4 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		4.4
5 		1.2
3 		5.1
Hamalgama Métrica/Okdiario 18–22 Oct 1,000 ? 26.5
117 		22.8
104 		9.8
22 		12.9
33 		11.1
31 		4.0
15 		– – – – – – 4.1
6 		– 3.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 11–22 Oct 1,600 ? 27.3
122 		21.4
99 		8.8
18 		12.7
33 		12.0
35 		4.2
16 		1.5
4 		1.6
6 		– – – – 4.5
7 		– 5.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 20–21 Oct 1,250 ? 26.9
118 		22.1
100 		10.0
22 		12.7
33 		10.7
32 		?
17 		?
4 		?
6 		?
4 		?
2 		?
2 		?
1 		4.6
5 		?
2 		4.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 19–20 Oct 1,250 ? 26.9
117 		22.3
103 		10.0
22 		12.8
33 		10.6
30 		4.0
16 		1.3
4 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		4.5
6 		1.2
3 		4.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 18–19 Oct 1,250 ? 26.7
115 		22.4
103 		10.1
23 		12.9
35 		10.5
28 		?
16 		?
4 		?
6 		?
4 		?
2 		?
2 		?
1 		4.6
6 		?
3 		4.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 17–18 Oct 1,250 69.1 26.8
117 		22.3
103 		10.0
22 		12.9
35 		10.3
27 		4.1
16 		1.2
4 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.3
1 		4.5
5 		1.3
4 		4.5
Hamalgama Métrica/Okdiario 16–18 Oct 1,000 66.4 26.4
117 		22.7
104 		10.0
24 		13.1
35 		10.7
28 		4.0
14 		1.5
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.5
2 		0.2
1 		3.9
6 		0.8
1 		3.7
GAD3/ABC 14–18 Oct 3,233 70 28.7
123 		23.0
102 		8.3
18 		11.2
31 		11.9
33 		3.8
16 		1.6
7 		1.5
7 		0.9
3 		0.3
1 		0.5
2 		0.3
1 		3.7
4 		0.9
1 		5.7
InvyMark/laSexta 14–18 Oct ? ? 29.6 20.6 11.2 11.3 9.0 – – – – – – – 4.3 – 9.0
SocioMétrica/El Español 14–18 Oct ? ? 26.1
118/122 		21.5
99/104 		9.7
19/21 		11.8
32/34 		11.7
33/35 		3.3
13/15 		1.8
7/8 		1.4
5/7 		0.9
3/5 		0.3
1 		0.3
1 		0.2
1 		5.6
4/6 		1.2
1/3 		4.6
NC Report/La Razón 9–18 Oct ? 65.1 27.2
120/122 		22.8
104/105 		9.8
22/24 		12.7
33/36 		10.6
24/26 		4.1
14/15 		– 1.7
6 		– – – – 4.1
4/6 		– 4.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 16–17 Oct 1,250 ? 27.5
124 		21.9
100 		9.7
19 		12.8
34 		10.4
28 		?
14 		?
5 		?
6 		?
4 		?
2 		?
2 		?
1 		4.3
5 		?
4 		5.6
Ipsos/Henneo 15–17 Oct 2,000 ? 26.7
116/120 		21.7
96/101 		9.4
19/23 		12.3
31/35 		11.8
32/36 		4.0
13/15 		1.8
6/7 		1.4
6 		– – – – 4.6
5/7 		– 5.0
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 14–17 Oct 1,100 65.3 27.0
117 		22.3
103 		11.1
27 		13.4
36 		9.1
24 		4.2
15 		1.5
6 		1.6
6 		1.0
4 		0.7
3 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		4.6
5 		0.7
1 		4.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 10–17 Oct 1,600 ? 27.0
121 		21.0
97 		9.6
19 		12.5
32 		11.5
36 		4.2
16 		1.5
4 		1.7
7 		– – – – 4.6
7 		– 6.0
KeyData/Público 16 Oct ? 68.9 28.2
124 		20.7
95 		10.8
27 		12.2
33 		10.3
28 		3.9
14 		1.7
7 		1.5
6 		1.0
3 		0.5
2 		?
2 		?
1 		4.9
7 		?
1 		7.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 15–16 Oct 1,250 ? 27.7
124 		21.4
96 		9.5
19 		12.4
32 		10.9
33 		3.9
14 		1.5
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.3
1 		4.8
6 		1.2
3 		6.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 14–15 Oct 1,250 ? 27.4
123 		21.6
98 		9.3
16 		12.5
33 		10.8
34 		?
14 		?
6 		?
6 		?
4 		?
2 		?
2 		?
1 		4.7
6 		?
3 		5.8
Hamalgama Métrica/Okdiario 11–15 Oct 1,000 ? 26.5
116 		22.7
104 		10.2
24 		13.3
36 		10.1
26 		4.2
15 		– – – – – ?
1 		4.0
6 		– 3.8
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 7–15 Oct 1,600 ? 27.1
122 		21.2
98 		9.3
19 		12.8
33 		11.3
34 		4.2
16 		1.4
4 		1.7
7 		– – – – 4.2
6 		– 5.9
CIS 21 Sep–13 Oct 17,650 ? 32.2
133/150 		18.1
74/81 		10.6
27/35 		14.6
37/45 		7.9
14/21 		4.4
16/18 		1.8
4/6 		1.5
6/7 		1.2
5 		0.3
1/2 		0.4
2 		0.2
0/1 		2.9
3/4 		0.6
1/2 		14.1
Llorente & Cuenca 9–12 Oct ? 68 25.8
115/120 		21.0
95/100 		10.8
35/40 		10.9
35/40 		8.5
18/20 		– – – – – – – 3.8
5/8 		– 4.8
SocioMétrica/El Español 9–12 Oct 1,000 ? 27.4
127/129 		20.9
95/99 		9.3
17/19 		12.3
31/33 		10.5
32/34 		3.2
12/14 		1.7
6/8 		1.4
5/7 		1.1
4/6 		0.3
1 		0.2
1 		0.2
1 		5.1
3/5 		1.5
3/5 		6.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 9–12 Oct 1,250 ? 27.5
125 		22.0
102 		9.0
16 		12.0
30 		10.5
30 		4.0
15 		1.6
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
3 		0.4
2 		0.3
1 		4.8
6 		0.8
2 		5.5
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 7–11 Oct 1,100 ? 27.3
117 		22.2
102 		11.4
29 		13.7
37 		8.4
20 		4.2
15 		1.5
6 		1.6
6 		1.0
4 		0.7
3 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		4.9
7 		0.7
1 		5.1
GAD3/ABC 7–11 Oct 3,121 68 28.4
126 		22.2
98 		8.6
20 		11.9
32 		11.8
33 		3.2
13 		1.8
7 		1.4
7 		0.9
3 		0.3
1 		0.5
2 		0.2
1 		3.9
5 		1.0
1 		6.2
Hamalgama Métrica/Okdiario 7–10 Oct 1,000 65.9 26.4
115 		22.5
103 		10.6
26 		13.4
37 		9.8
23 		4.2
16 		1.6
7 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.5
2 		0.2
1 		4.1
7 		0.7
1 		3.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 2–10 Oct 1,600 ? 27.5
124 		20.6
96 		9.8
21 		13.2
34 		10.7
31 		4.0
15 		1.5
5 		1.6
7 		– – – – 4.4
6 		– 6.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 6–8 Oct 2,000 ? 27.9
128 		22.5
103 		8.9
15 		12.1
31 		9.8
28 		3.9
15 		1.6
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.3
1 		4.5
5 		0.9
2 		5.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 30 Sep–8 Oct 1,600 ? 27.9
124 		21.3
98 		10.0
22 		12.6
35 		10.2
28 		3.6
14 		1.7
7 		1.6
6 		– – – – 4.3
6 		– 6.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 2–5 Oct ? ? 26.4 22.4 10.1 12.1 8.7 – – – – – – – 6.0 – 4.0
KeyData/Público 4 Oct ? 68.6 28.4
124 		20.0
93 		11.6
36 		12.1
34 		9.1
19 		3.6
14 		1.6
7 		1.3
6 		1.0
3 		0.4
1 		?
2 		?
1 		5.9
10 		– 8.4
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 1–4 Oct 1,100 65.7 27.2
118 		21.8
99 		12.2
37 		13.9
37 		7.5
13 		4.2
15 		1.6
6 		1.6
6 		1.0
4 		0.7
2 		0.5
2 		0.2
1 		5.1
9 		0.5
1 		5.4
Simple Lógica 1–4 Oct 1,046 66.3 29.1 19.1 10.0 12.5 12.2 – – – – – – – 5.2 – 10.0
SocioMétrica/El Español 1–4 Oct 1,000 ? 27.2
122/126 		20.7
93/97 		10.6
28/31 		11.7
29/32 		10.9
27/31 		3.5
12/16 		1.8
6/8 		1.3
5/7 		1.1
4/6 		0.4
1 		0.3
1 		0.2
1 		5.5
4/6 		1.2
0/1 		6.5
GAD3/ABC 30 Sep–4 Oct 3,121 67 27.2
122 		20.9
93 		11.0
29 		12.4
33 		10.6
29 		3.8
15 		1.6
7 		1.5
7 		0.9
3 		0.3
1 		0.5
2 		0.2
1 		4.3
7 		0.9
1 		6.3
Hamalgama Métrica/Okdiario 30 Sep–4 Oct 900 65.9 26.1
115 		22.1
98 		11.7
34 		13.5
39 		8.5
17 		4.3
16 		1.7
6 		1.6
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
3 		0.5
2 		0.2
1 		4.6
8 		0.6
1 		4.0
InvyMark/laSexta 30 Sep–4 Oct ? ? 29.9 20.5 11.7 11.2 7.7 – – – – – – – 4.6 – 9.4
IMOP/El Confidencial 1–3 Oct 1,227 65.7 28.3 20.1 10.7 12.0 10.8 3.3 2.2 1.6 1.0 – – – 4.1 1.1 8.2
GESOP/El Periódico 30 Sep–3 Oct 1,005 ? 28.0
124/128 		19.6
87/91 		10.4
24/28 		12.2
32/36 		10.3
24/28 		3.2
12/13 		1.8
6/7 		– – – – – 5.5
8/12 		1.5
3/5 		8.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 30 Sep–2 Oct 1,000 ? 28.9
127 		21.2
98 		10.1
24 		12.2
32 		9.2
22 		3.8
15 		1.8
7 		1.7
7 		– – – – 4.6
10 		– 7.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 28 Sep–1 Oct 1,200 ? 26.0
118 		22.4
105 		10.5
29 		12.3
28 		8.7
20 		4.0
15 		1.6
6 		1.6
6 		1.0
4 		0.6
2 		0.4
2 		0.3
1 		6.2
12 		0.7
1 		3.6
GAD3/ABC 27–29 Sep ? 70 27.8
124 		21.4
97 		11.5
32 		11.7
31 		9.5
21 		4.0
16 		1.9
7 		1.5
6 		1.0
3 		0.3
1 		0.5
2 		0.2
1 		5.1
9 		– 6.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22–27 Sep 3,000 ? 25.2
109 		21.7
103 		11.3
35 		11.6
31 		8.7
19 		4.2
16 		1.8
7 		1.5
6 		0.9
4 		0.7
3 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		7.7
14 		– 3.5
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia 23–26 Sep 1,001 ? 26.1
119 		19.1
87 		10.3
27 		12.1
41 		10.1
21 		?
14 		?
7 		1.3
6 		?
4 		?
1 		?
2 		?
1 		6.4
19 		– 7.0
GAD3/ABC 23–25 Sep 1,207 ? 27.2
121 		21.4
97 		11.3
32 		12.4
34 		9.6
21 		3.9
15 		2.0
7 		1.6
6 		1.0
4 		0.4
1 		0.5
2 		0.2
1 		5.2
9 		– 5.8
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 19–23 Sep 1,100 65.6 29.4
126 		22.1
95 		13.4
42 		14.1
37 		7.0
12 		4.2
16 		1.7
6 		1.6
6 		1.1
4 		0.7
1 		0.6
2 		0.5
2 		0.2
1 		– – 7.3
NC Report/La Razón 18–21 Sep 1,000 65.0 28.6
124/127 		22.0
89/92 		13.7
47/49 		13.6
35/37 		7.5
14/16 		– – – – – – – – – – 6.6
Ipsos/Henneo 18–20 Sep 1,837 69.5 28.0
117/121 		19.8
79/83 		14.2
49/52 		15.2
41/45 		9.8
20/23 		3.7
13/15 		1.7
6/7 		1.5
6 		– – – – – – – 8.2
SocioMétrica/El Español 18–20 Sep 1,000 ? 28.6
126 		19.4
85 		11.9
36 		14.5
39 		10.0
24 		4.2
16 		1.8
7 		1.6
7 		1.2
5 		0.8
1 		0.6
1 		0.3
2 		0.3
1 		– – 9.2
40dB/El País 18–20 Sep 1,544 62.8 30.3
132 		23.5
94 		13.3
34 		14.0
38 		8.6
18 		?
14 		?
6 		?
7 		?
2 		?
1 		?
1 		?
2 		?
1 		– – 6.8
GAD3/La Vanguardia 16–20 Sep 1,006 69.0 31.6
134 		20.3
87 		13.1
41 		13.4
37 		9.6
19 		3.4
13 		1.7
7 		1.3
6 		1.0
3 		?
1 		?
1 		?
1 		– – 11.3
InvyMark/laSexta 16–20 Sep ? ? 33.4 20.2 12.1 12.5 6.8 – – – – – – – – – – 13.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 17–18 Sep 1,000 64.7 27.7
115 		21.0
93 		13.0
45 		13.8
38 		9.6
20 		4.4
16 		1.8
7 		1.6
7 		1.0
4 		0.8
1 		0.5
1 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		– – 6.7
CIS (SocioMétrica) 1–18 Sep 5,906 ? 29.4 19.9 13.3 15.4 9.7 3.8 1.9 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 – – 9.5
CIS (Gravitas) 68.0 29.3
121/131 		16.8
66/72 		13.2
41/46 		16.0
43/50 		10.4
25/30 		– – – – – – 0.5
2 		– – – 12.5
CIS ? 34.2 17.1 12.9 15.5 7.5 3.7 2.0 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 – – 17.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 10–15 Sep 1,200 64.7 28.4
121 		20.8
93 		12.7
39 		13.5
36 		9.7
20 		4.5
16 		2.1
8 		1.7
7 		1.0
4 		0.9
1 		0.5
1 		0.4
2 		0.3
1 		– – 7.6
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario 12–14 Sep ? 71.3 31.8
140 		20.6
86 		14.0
46 		12.7
31 		7.0
11 		– – – – – – – – – – 11.2
InvyMark/laSexta 9–13 Sep ? ? 33.9 20.0 11.7 12.3 7.0 – – – – – – – – – – 13.9
DYM/El Independiente 9–12 Sep 1,001 ? 29.8
125/130 		18.4
75/80 		13.3
35/40 		14.6
40/45 		10.2
20/25 		– – – – – – – – – – 11.4
KeyData/Público 6 Sep ? 72.1 31.2
135 		19.3
83 		13.6
45 		13.7
36 		8.4
16 		3.9
15 		1.5
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
3 		?
1 		0.5
1 		?
2 		?
0 		– – 11.9
Simple Lógica 2–6 Sep 1,089 68.3 30.6 18.4 13.6 13.8 12.1 – – – – – – – – – – 12.2
GAD3/ABC 2–6 Sep 1,000 70 32.1
137 		19.9
82 		14.0
45 		13.3
35 		7.9
14 		3.8
15 		1.9
7 		1.4
7 		1.0
3 		– – 0.4
2 		– – – 12.2
InvyMark/laSexta 2–6 Sep ? ? 34.4 20.1 11.5 12.2 6.7 – – – – – – – – – – 14.3
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 2–5 Sep 1,100 65.9 30.5
128 		20.1
85 		14.1
49 		13.7
36 		8.0
13 		4.3
16 		1.7
6 		1.6
6 		1.0
4 		0.5
1 		0.6
2 		0.6
3 		0.2
1 		– – 10.4
SocioMétrica/El Español 27–30 Aug 1,100 ? 31.3
139 		18.1
76 		12.2
38 		13.9
37 		9.7
22 		4.1
15 		1.8
7 		1.6
6 		1.1
5 		0.8
1 		0.4
1 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		– – 13.2
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 27–29 Aug 1,000 ? 33.4
145 		19.0
78 		11.8
34 		14.2
40 		8.3
17 		4.3
18 		1.1
3 		1.5
6 		– – – – – – – 14.4
NC Report/La Razón 20–24 Aug 1,000 66.6 29.5
127/130 		21.9
84/87 		13.9
49/52 		13.1
33/36 		7.7
15/17 		3.6
14/15 		1.8
6 		1.5
6 		1.1
4 		0.5
1 		0.6
2 		0.5
2 		0.2
1 		– – 7.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 1–15 Aug 2,500 64.1 29.3
126 		21.0
92 		12.5
38 		13.2
36 		9.0
18 		4.5
16 		2.0
7 		1.6
7 		1.1
4 		0.9
1 		0.6
1 		0.4
2 		0.3
1 		– – 8.3
NC Report/La Razón 11 Aug ? 67.6 29.7
126/130 		21.8
82/86 		14.1
50/53 		12.9
31/34 		7.8
17/20 		3.5
14/15 		2.0
7 		1.5
6 		1.2
4 		0.4
1 		0.7
2 		0.6
2 		0.2
1 		– – 7.9
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 1–7 Aug 1,100 67.0 30.9
129 		20.2
83 		14.3
52 		13.4
36 		8.3
17 		3.7
14 		1.8
6 		1.5
5 		0.9
3 		0.4
1 		0.6
2 		0.5
2 		0.2
0 		– – 10.7
KeyData/Público 5 Aug ? 72.7 31.5
135 		18.7
75 		14.4
52 		13.4
39 		7.6
14 		?
15 		?
6 		?
6 		?
3 		?
1 		?
1 		?
2 		?
1 		– – 12.8
Simple Lógica 1–5 Aug 1,074 68.0 31.4 17.2 14.9 13.8 11.0 – – – – – – – – – – 14.2
InvyMark/laSexta 29 Jul–1 Aug ? ? 36.1 17.0 12.6 12.3 6.5 – – – – – – – – – – 19.1
SocioMétrica/El Español 25–26 Jul 1,000 ? 29.3
125 		18.2
77 		16.2
57 		14.3
42 		8.7
20 		– – – – – – – – – – 11.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 24–26 Jul 1,200 64.2 29.2
128 		20.8
93 		12.3
37 		13.2
39 		9.5
19 		?
16 		?
7 		?
6 		?
3 		?
1 		?
1 		?
2 		?
1 		– – 8.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 23 Jul ? ? 32.2
140 		19.8
86 		11.6
32 		13.9
39 		8.8
17 		?
15 		?
7 		?
6 		?
3 		?
1 		?
1 		?
2 		?
1 		– – 12.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 21 Jul ? ? 31.9
137 		20.3
92 		11.7
33 		13.8
36 		9.1
17 		?
15 		?
7 		?
6 		?
2 		?
1 		?
1 		?
2 		?
1 		– – 11.6
InvyMark/laSexta 15–19 Jul ? ? 36.7 16.1 12.9 12.5 7.3 – – – – – – – – – – 20.6
Metroscopia/Henneo 11–12 Jul 1,251 ? 31.0 19.0 13.0 13.0 8.0 – – – – – – – – – – 12.0
CIS (El Mundo) 1–11 Jul 2,952 ? 32.6 15.7 15.3 15.0 8.1 – – – – – – – – – – 16.9
Simple Lógica 1–9 Jul 1,037 70.2 32.7 17.9 13.1 15.2 9.3 – – – – – – – – – – 14.8
KeyData/Público 7 Jul ? 72.1 31.2
134 		17.4
71 		16.6
63 		13.1
35 		7.6
14 		3.9
14 		1.5
5 		1.3
6 		1.1
3 		?
1 		0.4
1 		?
2 		?
1 		– – 13.8
InvyMark/laSexta 3–6 Jul 1,200 ? 36.6 15.5 13.2 12.9 7.6 – – – – – – – – – – 21.1
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario 2–5 Jul ? 72.4 31.3
142 		21.5
87 		16.2
47 		11.2
29 		7.7
12 		?
13 		– – – – – – – – – 9.8
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 1–5 Jul 1,100 67.6 31.2
131 		19.9
79 		14.4
52 		13.2
37 		8.4
18 		3.8
14 		1.8
6 		1.5
5 		0.9
3 		0.4
1 		0.6
2 		0.5
2 		0.2
0 		– – 11.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22–25 Jun 8,800 ? 32.1
138 		20.2
89 		12.5
37 		12.2
32 		9.0
18 		?
15 		?
7 		?
6 		?
3 		?
1 		?
1 		?
2 		?
1 		– – 11.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo 21 Jun 1,000 ? 32.6 19.4 13.1 13.2 8.0 4.2 1.7 1.5 – – – – – – – 13.2
GAD3/ABC 17–21 Jun 800 70 30.8
130 		20.6
85 		16.2
58 		13.0
34 		5.6
9 		– – – – – – – – – – 10.2
InvyMark/laSexta 17–21 Jun ? ? 35.9 15.1 14.0 12.9 8.1 – – – – – – – – – – 20.8
NC Report/La Razón 7–13 Jun 1,000 68.8 30.5
130/132 		20.2
77/80 		14.9
53/57 		12.7
29/32 		8.0
19/21 		3.6
14/15 		1.9
7 		1.6
6 		1.1
4 		0.4
1 		0.7
2 		0.6
2 		0.2
1 		– – 10.3
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es 5–11 Jun 1,100 68.1 30.6
128 		19.4
76 		14.6
53 		13.2
38 		8.7
20 		3.9
14 		1.9
6 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.4
1 		0.7
2 		0.5
2 		0.2
0 		– – 11.2
Simple Lógica 3–11 Jun 1,090 75.9 32.0 15.7 19.7 13.4 8.9 – – – – – – – – – – 12.3
CIS (El Mundo) 1–11 Jun 2,974 ? 30.4 14.2 15.1 12.2 8.2 – – – – – – – – – – 15.3
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario 4–7 Jun 1,000 ? 30.4
134 		21.1
84 		17.6
63 		10.8
24 		7.9
13 		?
13 		– – – – – – – – – 9.3
InvyMark/laSexta 27–31 May ? ? 33.6 15.4 15.1 13.3 8.4 – – – – – – – – – – 18.2
2019 EP election 26 May — 60.7 32.9
(152) 		20.2
(82) 		12.2
(32) 		10.1
(25) 		6.2
(10) 		3.4
(11) 		4.4
(17) 		1.7
(9) 		1.3
(5) 		0.9
(2) 		0.8
(3) 		– – – – 12.7
Simple Lógica 6–14 May 1,058 75.6 33.7 18.6 21.7 14.8 3.2 – – – – – – – – – – 12.0
April 2019 general election 28 Apr — 71.8 28.7
123 		16.7
66 		15.9
57 		14.3
42 		10.3
24 		3.9
15 		1.9
7 		1.5
6 		1.0
4 		0.7
1 		0.5
2 		0.4
2 		0.2
1 		– – 12.0

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Senate projections

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size E+
November 2019 general election 10 Nov — 93 83 0 0 2 11 3 9 3 1 0 1 –
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario 7 Nov ? 79 102 0 0 0 12 1 9 3 1 1 0 –
KeyData/Público 27 Oct ? 96 85 0 0 0 11 2 9 ? ? ? ? –
NC Report/La Razón 18–21 Sep 1,000 78 103 0 0 0 11 2 9 3 1 ? 1 –
SocioMétrica/El Español 27–30 Aug 1,100 88/92 0 9/11 2 6/8 1 ? 1 94/100
126/132 53/57 0 0 0 9/11 2 6/8 3 1 ? 1 –
April 2019 general election 28 Apr — 123 54 4 0 0 11 2 9 3 1 0 1 –

Sub-national polling

Hypothetical scenarios

Errejón's party

España Suma

España Suma & Errejón's party

PSOE+Errejón's party & España Suma

Leadership polling

Preferred coalition

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