2020 United States Senate election in Illinois

The 2020 United States Senate election in Illinois was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Illinois, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, various state and local elections, and the Illinois Fair Tax. Incumbent Democratic Senator Dick Durbin, who had been Senate Minority Whip since 2015, won reelection to a fifth term in office, defeating Republican nominee Mark Curran.

2020 United States Senate election in Illinois

← 2014
November 3, 2020
2026 →
Turnout72.14%
 
Nominee Dick Durbin Mark Curran
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 3,278,930 2,319,870
Percentage 54.93% 38.87%

Durbin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Curran:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      No data

U.S. senator before election

Dick Durbin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Dick Durbin
Democratic

Durbin decisively won re-election with 54.9% of the vote. Key to Durbin's landslide victory was the heavily populated and very Democratic Cook County home of Chicago, which he won by around 560,000 votes. Durbin also did well in the suburban counties, often called "collar counties", of Chicago, winning all of them except McHenry County. Durbin did well in Champaign County, home of the University of Illinois, and St. Clair County, where his birth home of East St. Louis is located. Nevertheless, Curran did well in most rural areas of the state, including winning rural Alexander County where a Republican had not won since 1972. Durbin became the first senator from Illinois to be elected five consecutive times since senators began being elected by popular vote in 1913.

Background

The primaries and general elections coincide with those for federal (president and House) and those for state offices.

For the primaries, turnout was 28.36%, with 2,279,439 votes cast.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

  • Marilyn Jordan Lawlor, anti-war activist
  • Anne Stava-Murray, state representative

Declined

  • Cheri Bustos, incumbent U.S. representative for Illinois's 17th congressional district (running for re-election)
  • Lisa Madigan, former Illinois attorney general

Endorsements

Dick Durbin

Organizations

  • Brady Campaign
  • Chicago Federation of Labor
  • End Citizens United
  • Illinois AFL–CIO
  • J Street
  • National Organization for Women
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund
  • Planned Parenthood Illinois Action
  • Sierra Club

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dick Durbin (incumbent) 1,446,118 100.00%
Total votes 1,446,118 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Mark Curran, former Lake County sheriff and candidate for attorney general in 2014

Eliminated in primary

  • Casey Chlebek, businessman
  • Peggy Hubbard, U.S. Navy veteran and former police officer
  • Robert Marshall, physician and perennial candidate, Democratic primary candidate for governor of Illinois in 2018
  • Richard Mayers (as a write-in candidate), perennial candidate and alleged white supremacist;
  • Tom Tarter, cancer surgeon

Withdrew

  • Preston Nelson, Republican candidate for Illinois's 12th congressional district in 2018 (ran for IL-08 as a Libertarian)
  • Dean Seppelfrick
  • Connor Vlakancic, CEO of 5Star Inc. (switched to independent)

Declined

  • Rodney Davis, incumbent U.S. representative for Illinois's 13th congressional district (running for re-election)
  • Erika Harold, attorney, former Miss America, candidate for IL-13 in 2014, and nominee for attorney general in 2018
  • Darin LaHood, incumbent U.S. representative for Illinois's 18th congressional district (running for re-election)

Endorsements

Mark Curran

U.S. representatives

  • Bob Dold, former congressman (IL-10)
  • Randy Hultgren, former congressman (IL-14)

U.S. lieutenant governors

  • Evelyn Sanguinetti, former lt. governor of Illinois

U.S. attorneys general

  • Jim Ryan, former attorney general of Illinois

Illinois legislators

  • Mike Connelly, former state senator and state representative
  • Dan McConchie, state senator
  • Matt Murphy, former state senator
  • Paul Schimpf, state senator
  • W. Timothy Simms, former state senator and state representative
  • Al Salvi, former state representative
  • Darlene Senger, former state representative
  • Tom Weber, state representative

Newspapers

  • Chicago Sun-Times
  • Chicago Tribune
  • Daily Herald

Organizations

  • Addison Township
  • Cook County GOP
  • Fremont Township GOP
  • Illinois Family Action PAC
  • Illinois Federation for Right to Life PAC
  • Lake County GOP
  • Libertyville Township GOP
  • Lyons Township GOP
  • National Right to Life Committee
  • New Trier Republican Organization
  • Niles Township Republican Organization
  • Northfield Township GOP
  • Northwest Side GOP Club
  • Paul Caprio's Family-PAC
  • Republican Women of Park Ridge
  • Republicans of Maine Township
  • United Hellenic Voters of America
  • Warren Township GOP
  • Wheeling Township GOP

Individuals

  • David Clarke, former Milwaukee County sheriff

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mark Curran 205,747 41.55%
Republican Peggy Hubbard 113,189 22.86%
Republican Robert Marshall 75,561 15.26%
Republican Tom Tarter 73,009 14.74%
Republican Casey Chlebek 27,655 5.58%
Republican Richard Mayers (write-in) 7 0.00%
Total votes 495,168 100.00%

Other candidates

A legal ruling, taking note of the COVID-19 pandemic in Illinois, allowed the Libertarian and Green parties to have their selected candidate on the ballot without the normal signature requirements, as they each ran a candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016.

Constitution Party

Removed from ballot

  • Chad Koppie, perennial candidate and former member of the Kane County Regional Board of School Trustees

Green Party

Nominee

  • David F. Black, Green Party nominee for Illinois attorney general in 2010

Independent American Party

Withdrawn

  • Keith Richardson

Libertarian Party

Nominee

  • Danny Malouf, human resource director, former Republican candidate for the 2020 Illinois 14th congressional district election

Willie Wilson Party

Declared

  • Willie Wilson, businessman and perennial candidate

Independents

Declared

  • Kevin Keely, substitute teacher and community activist (as a write-in candidate)
  • Albert A. Schaal (as a write-in candidate)
  • Lowell Martin Seida, perennial candidate (as a write-in candidate)

Withdrawn

  • Patrick Feges
  • Julie Rushing
  • Connor Vlakancic, affiliated with the Republican Party (switched from Republican candidacy)

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe D October 29, 2020
Inside Elections Safe D October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D November 2, 2020
Daily Kos Safe D October 30, 2020
Politico Safe D November 2, 2020
RCP Safe D October 23, 2020
DDHQ Safe D November 3, 2020
538 Safe D November 2, 2020
Economist Safe D November 2, 2020

Additional general election endorsements

Dick Durbin (D)

U.S. presidents

  • Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)

Newspapers

  • Chicago Sun-Times
  • Daily Chronicle
  • Daily Herald
  • The Dispatch/The Dispatch–Argus
  • The News-Gazette

Organizations

Unions

  • International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers
  • SEIU Healthcare: Indiana-Illinois-Missouri-Kansas
  • United Auto Workers
Mark Curran (R)

Organizations

  • Log Cabin Republicans
  • Tazewell County Republican Party
Willie Wilson (WW)

Aldermen

  • Anthony Napolitano, alderman for Chicago's 41st Ward
  • Nicholas Sposato, alderman for Chicago's 38th Ward
  • Chris Taliaferro, alderman for Chicago's 29th Ward

Organizations

  • Chicago Police Union

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Dick
Durbin (D)
Mark
Curran (R)
Willie
Wilson (I)
Other Undecided
Research Co. October 31 – November 1, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 52% 30% 4% 14%
Victory Research October 26 – November 1, 2020 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 51% 26% 15% 5% 4%
Hypothetical polling

with Dick Durbin, generic Republican and Willie Wilson

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Dick
Durbin (D)
Generic Republican (R) Willie
Wilson (I)
Undecided
Ogden & Fry/Citizens for Willie Wilson September 4, 2019 449 (LV) ± 4.31% 44% 34% 4% 18%

with Dick Durbin and Willie Wilson

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Dick
Durbin (D)
Willie
Wilson (I)
Undecided
Ogden & Fry/Citizens for Willie Wilson September 4, 2019 420 (LV) ± 4.31% 44% 25% 31%

Results

Durbin also kept his landslide winning streak by winning with at least a ten-point margin. Durbin was sworn in on January 3, 2021, for his fifth term, which expires on January 3, 2027.

United States Senate election in Illinois, 2020
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Dick Durbin (incumbent) 3,278,930 54.93% +1.38%
Republican Mark Curran 2,319,870 38.87% −3.82%
Willie Wilson Party Willie Wilson 237,699 3.98% N/A
Libertarian Danny Malouf 75,673 1.27% −2.49%
Green David Black 56,711 0.95% N/A
Write-in 18 0.00% N/A
Total votes 5,968,901 100.0%
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Alexander (largest city: Cairo)
  • Calhoun (largest village: Hardin)
  • Fulton (largest city: Canton)
  • Gallatin (largest city: Shawneetown)
  • Henderson (largest village: Oquawka)
  • Knox (largest city: Galesburg)
  • Pulaski (largest city: Mounds)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • DeKalb (largest city: DeKalb)
  • DuPage (largest city: Aurora)
  • Kane (largest city: Aurora)
  • Kendall (largest village: Oswego)
  • McLean (largest city: Bloomington)
  • Peoria (largest city: Peoria)
  • Will (largest city: Joliet)
  • Winnebago (largest city: Rockford)

By congressional district

Durbin won 12 of the 18 congressional districts, with the remaining six going to Curran, including one that elected a Democrat.

District Durbin Curran Representative
1st 64% 22% Bobby Rush
2nd 68% 18% Robin Kelly
3rd 55% 37% Dan Lipinski
Marie Newman
4th 78% 14% Chuy García
5th 69% 25% Mike Quigley
6th 51% 44% Sean Casten
7th 75% 12% Danny Davis
8th 58% 37% Raja Krishnamoorthi
9th 68% 27% Jan Schakowsky
10th 60% 36% Brad Schneider
11th 59% 35% Bill Foster
12th 44% 53% Mike Bost
13th 47.7% 48.3% Rodney Davis
14th 47% 48% Lauren Underwood
15th 29% 68% Mary Miller
16th 41% 55% Adam Kinzinger
17th 49% 48% Cheri Bustos
18th 37% 60% Darin LaHood

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